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Fenerbahce vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 57-66
19-16 8-21 11-11 19-18
Position#13
Record12-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#14
Record12-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21
European cup2021
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Alba Berlin
09 Jan 2025
FEN90
ABE73
29 Mar 2024
FEN103
ABE68
03 Feb 2023
FEN101
ABE86
29 Mar 2022
FEN57
ABE66
19 Feb 2021
FEN89
ABE84
30 Oct 2008
FEN82
ABE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
H20/02
Turkish Cup
Monaco
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
68avg 75
A25/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
60avg 75
A27/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
79-84
79
84
-5
71avg 75
A03/03
Euroleague
Yalovaspor
#15
W
89-63
89
63
+26
94avg 75
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 75
A11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
83avg 75
H19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#15
L
62-77
62
77
-15
60avg 75
A23/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
60avg 75
A25/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
69avg 75
A27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
13-25
22-21
23-24
20-19
13-36
22-20
23-17
18-20
19-21
23-18
9-15
14-23
11-18
23-18
31-25
22-11
24-6
23-23
20-23
23-19
21-16
28-16
10-25
19-19
32-15
18-23
21-24
19-20
21-12
13-22
9-23
21-25
13-17
15-28
18-18
25-14
13-20
13-17
21-23
155.5Avg total
76.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.474.6149.9+0.844%
Season at home (12)76.868.6145.3+8.275%
Season away (15)74.379.3153.6-5.120%
Last 10 (10)76.079.5155.5-3.530%
Last 5 (5)74.679.2153.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.375.0143.3-6.733%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.076.1154.1+1.956%
vs Weaker (17)80.874.4155.2+6.571%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
A20/02
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
81avg 78
A24/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H03/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#5
W
90-75
90
75
+15
95avg 78
H10/03
Euroleague
Giessen
#18
W
84-58
84
58
+26
89avg 78
A13/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-80
95
80
+15
93avg 78
H16/03
BBL
Baskonia
#15
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 78
A18/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
79-95
79
95
-16
69avg 78
H22/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
74-70
74
70
+4
no box
H25/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#6
L
64-81
64
81
-17
58avg 78
A27/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
24-21
25-15
22-18
21-21
22-19
17-15
22-25
24-24
20-6
15-20
23-24
16-17
21-13
20-21
33-24
23-14
22-12
22-18
17-14
21-22
21-15
30-18
23-25
19-21
12-23
29-20
8-21
13-21
26-26
19-26
21-22
24-15
13-20
21-22
16-13
22-17
11-21
18-21
13-22
157.8Avg total
80.4Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.879.7155.4-3.940%
Season at home (16)79.378.4157.8+0.956%
Season away (14)71.781.1152.8-9.421%
Last 10 (10)80.477.4157.8+3.070%
Last 5 (5)76.082.2158.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.481.8161.2-2.440%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.376.3149.7-3.050%
vs Weaker (14)87.173.6160.7+13.686%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
FenerbahceAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H20/02
Turkish Cup
Monaco
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A25/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A27/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A03/03
Euroleague
Yalovaspor
#15
W
46-17
46
17
+29
H06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A23/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
74.7Avg total
37.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.775.8+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.033.673.6+6.473%-
Last 30 away (15)38.239.777.9-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.274.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.476.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.333.362.7-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.240.077.2-2.844%-
vs Weaker (17)41.934.876.8+7.176%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A20/02
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A24/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#5
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H10/03
Euroleague
Giessen
#18
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A13/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/03
BBL
Baskonia
#15
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A18/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H22/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A27/03
BBL
76.0Avg total
39.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.878.7+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.037.178.1+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)38.940.279.2-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.076.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.276.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.339.476.7-2.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.337.073.3-0.750%-
vs Weaker (14)43.339.182.4+4.257%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.516.7
51.4%
52.4%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.0
35.8%
35.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.512.7
81.9%
77.2%12.7
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.6
54.1%
52.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.6
38.4%
35.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws13.810.6
76.8%
77.2%10.6
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LLLWWWLLLL
Alba Berlin
LWLLWWWWWW
#13
League position
#14
-4.6
Net rating
+5.8
110.1
Offensive rating
109.4
114.8
Defensive rating
103.6
52.5%
Effective FG%
55.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
18.1%
Turnover %
21.0%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.8%
3-point %
38.4%
65.9%
Assist %
63.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 109.4Defence114.8 · 103.6Shooting52.5% · 55.6%3-point %35.8% · 38.4%Ball care18.1% · 21.0%Off. rebounds31.3% · 32.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fenerbahce wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22AKarsiyaka72-74
25/03/22ABarcelona67-88
23/03/22ABaskonia62-77
19/03/22HBesiktas90-81
11/03/22AMerkezefendi82-76
06/03/22HYalovaspor89-63
03/03/22AAnadolu Efes79-84
27/02/22ACrvena zvezda69-74
25/02/22AMonaco78-92
20/02/22HAnadolu Efes72-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22AChemnitz64-81
25/03/22HCrvena zvezda74-70
22/03/22HBarcelona79-95
18/03/22ABaskonia68-85
16/03/22HBasketball Braunschweig95-80
13/03/22AGiessen84-58
10/03/22HOlympiacos90-75
03/03/22HZalgiris Kaunas82-74
24/02/22ALyon-Villeurbanne82-80
20/02/22ACrailsheim Merlins86-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game75.476.874.3
Allowed / game74.668.679.3
Point differential+0.8+8.2-5.1
Avg total149.9145.3153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)33% (3)0% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW40%
HomeWWWLW56%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %40%56%21%
Points / game75.879.371.7
Allowed / game79.778.481.1
Point differential-3.9+0.9-9.4
Avg total155.4157.8152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%19%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3024680%83.575.5+8.1
2 Real Madrid3122971%77.972.6+5.4
3 Olimpia Milano29191066%73.871.6+2.2
4 Olympiacos30191163%80.675.2+5.4
5 Zenit Petersburg2314961%74.073.5+0.6
6 CSKA Moscow24141058%80.879.0+1.8
7 Monaco31171455%84.181.4+2.7
8 Unics Kazan25131252%76.775.5+1.2
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv29151452%79.078.9+0.1
10 Anadolu Efes31161552%82.980.9+2.0
11 Bayern26121446%74.274.7-0.5
12 Fenerbahce27121544%75.474.6+0.8
13 Crvena zvezda30131743%72.974.2-1.3
14 Alba Berlin30121840%75.879.7-3.9
15 Baskonia31112035%74.278.8-4.6
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne30102033%72.779.2-6.4
17 Panathinaikos2982128%74.380.6-6.2
18 Zalgiris Kaunas3072323%71.878.7-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce198111957
Alba Berlin1621111866
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