PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 103-100
24-26 19-22 31-24 29-28
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game82.5
Vs
45%
55%
■ ABE 45%■ BIL 55%
Pythia win probability
Projected 84-85
Projected total 168.8
Position#13
Record2-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeChampions League· Uber Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bilbao
28 Oct 2026
ABE103
BIL100
27 Dec 2017
ABE86
BIL68
23 Nov 2016
ABE88
BIL92
17 Apr 2010
ABE77
BIL70
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Alba Berlin host Bilbao in the Basketball Champions League. Pythia makes Bilbao the favourite at 55% and projects 84-85, about 169 points in all (over 174: 37%). On the market's main spread (Alba Berlin -3) Pythia gives Alba Berlin 36% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Alba Berlin are 2-0 this season (100.0 scored, 82.5 allowed a game), form LWLWW; Bilbao are 2-0 this season (94.5 scored, 82.5 allowed a game), form WWWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
44.9%fair 2.23
Best odds1.64
Implied58.8%
Edge-14.0pp
Bilbao winLost
55.1%fair 1.81
Best odds2.38
Implied41.2%
Edge+14.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 28 Oct 12:17 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
71-61
71
61
+10
67avg 81
H19/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 81
A21/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
89-82
89
82
+7
89avg 81
H18/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
W
94-83
94
83
+11
96avg 81
H24/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
61-95
61
95
-34
46avg 81
A26/09
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 81
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
110-86
110
86
+24
110avg 81
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 81
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#35
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 81
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#10
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 81
H25/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
16-22
16-9
13-7
20-25
7-22
26-19
31-15
21-20
20-23
18-19
30-20
20-16
21-23
28-16
25-28
12-22
12-18
18-26
19-29
11-22
28-24
19-25
25-27
21-15
31-25
34-22
24-24
24-31
23-19
15-26
13-19
18-21
20-19
23-22
29-17
23-18
22-25
23-16
30-23
169.7Avg total
85.5Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)100.082.5182.5+17.5100%
Season at home (1)90.079.0169.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)110.086.0196.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.584.2169.7+1.370%
Last 5 (5)91.288.0179.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.087.0168.0-6.040%
vs Similar (8)87.978.2166.1+9.675%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.781.2171.8+9.575%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
W
87-82
87
82
+5
87avg 83
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 83
A03/06
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
55avg 83
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
107-92
107
92
+15
102avg 83
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
90avg 83
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#35
W
92-79
92
79
+13
90avg 83
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 83
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 83
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-119
84
119
-35
75avg 83
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
88-76
88
76
+12
83avg 83
H25/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
17-17
30-22
25-26
19-18
16-17
27-20
18-28
16-22
21-25
12-24
22-17
19-18
25-20
32-27
31-27
18-22
27-24
22-23
24-22
28-21
22-14
22-21
20-23
19-20
25-25
30-25
22-17
27-21
15-14
26-26
29-25
13-36
22-26
22-27
27-30
15-22
27-18
23-17
23-19
179.9Avg total
90.3Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.582.5177.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)97.086.0183.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)92.079.0171.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.389.6179.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)91.489.4180.8+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.190.8167.9-13.612%
vs Similar (8)90.686.2176.9+4.475%
vs Weaker (14)90.982.8173.7+8.179%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1251%1302%1353%1405%1457%15010%15512%16012%16512%17010%1758%1806%1854%1903%1952%2001%2051%2100%215
0%1252%1355%14510%15512%16510%1756%1853%1951%2050%215
Pythia expects about 169 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%). The market's main line is 174.
Over/Under 169Actual: Over 169
Over 169
48.7%
@ 1.48-15.5pp
Under 169
51.3%
@ 2.60+15.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.48
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Over/Under 174 · main lineActual: Over 174
Over 174
37.4%
@ 1.93-12.2pp
Under 174
62.6%
@ 2.00+12.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.82
Marathon Be
1.82
SBO
1.78
Bet365
1.71
Under
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Marathon Be
1.89
SBO
1.86
Over/Under 179Actual: Over 179
Over 179
27.2%
@ 2.20-15.0pp
Under 179
72.8%
@ 1.60+15.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Under
Bet365
1.60
Marathon Be
1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

Alba Berlin total 85.5Actual: Alba Berlin over 85.5
Over 85.5
43.1%
@ 1.42-20.4pp
Under 85.5
56.9%
@ 2.47+20.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.47
Alba Berlin total 89.5 · main lineActual: Alba Berlin over 89.5
Over 89.5
29.7%
@ 1.93-18.8pp
Under 89.5
70.3%
@ 1.83+18.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.93
1xBet
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.76
1xBet
1.72
Alba Berlin total 93.5Actual: Alba Berlin over 93.5
Over 93.5
18.8%
@ 2.50-17.5pp
Under 93.5
81.2%
@ 1.42+17.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.42
Bilbao total 81.5Actual: Bilbao over 81.5
Over 81.5
63.2%
@ 1.43-2.2pp
Under 81.5
36.8%
@ 2.65+2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.37
Under
Betano
2.65
Bet365
2.65
Bilbao total 85.5 · main lineActual: Bilbao over 85.5
Over 85.5
48.5%
@ 1.81-2.7pp
Under 85.5
51.5%
@ 1.93+2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Marathon Be
1.81
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
1.93
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.81
Bilbao total 89.5Actual: Bilbao over 89.5
Over 89.5
34.0%
@ 2.40-4.6pp
Under 89.5
66.0%
@ 1.52+4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.35
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-360%-331%-301%-272%-243%-214%-186%-157%-129%-910%-610%-36%+09%+39%+66%+95%+124%+153%+182%+211%+241%+270%+30
0%-361%-302%-244%-187%-1210%-66%+09%+65%+123%+181%+240%+30
Margin from Alba Berlin's side (positive = Alba Berlin win). Pythia's expected margin is -1.5; Alba Berlin win by 1+ in 39% of simulations.
Spread Alba Berlin -6Actual: Bilbao +6
ABE -6
26.5%
@ 2.44-12.5pp
BIL +6
73.5%
@ 1.58+12.5pp
Best 5 market prices
ABE
Pinnacle
2.44
Bet365
2.22
1xBet
2.18
Marathon Be
2.18
BIL
Bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Marathon Be
1.55
Spread Alba Berlin -3 · main linePush
ABE -3
36.2%
@ 1.92-13.6pp
BIL +3
63.8%
@ 1.91+13.6pp
Best 5 market prices
ABE
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
SBO
1.78
BIL
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Bet365
1.86
Spread Alba Berlin 0Actual: Alba Berlin 0
ABE 0
44.9%
BIL 0
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
ABE
No market prices yet.
BIL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
Alba BerlinBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H19/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A21/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H18/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H24/09
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A26/09
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#35
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
BBL
82.9Avg total
39.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86
Last 30 (30)42.041.783.7+0.340%43%
Last 30 at home (16)43.440.183.6+3.356%38%
Last 30 away (14)40.443.483.8-3.121%50%
Last 10 (10)39.643.382.9-3.730%40%
Last 5 (5)44.243.888.0+0.440%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.245.584.7-6.310%30%
vs Similar (8)43.937.281.1+6.662%38%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.141.484.5+1.750%58%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/06
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/06
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/09
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/10
ACB
Igokea
#35
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A06/10
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/10
ACB
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/10
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A18/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H25/10
ACB
82.3Avg total
40.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86
Last 30 (30)41.241.782.9-0.547%37%
Last 30 at home (15)43.039.782.7+3.367%27%
Last 30 away (15)39.543.783.2-4.327%47%
Last 10 (10)40.641.782.3-1.140%30%
Last 5 (5)42.643.486.0-0.860%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.244.479.6-9.112%25%
vs Similar (8)41.141.582.6-0.450%50%
vs Weaker (14)44.740.385.0+4.464%36%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Bilbao win
ABE win
48.0%
@ 1.68-8.7pp
BIL win
52.0%
@ 2.20+8.7pp
1st half Spread Alba Berlin -1.5 · main lineActual: Bilbao +1.5
ABE -1.5
42.0%
@ 1.93-7.4pp
BIL +1.5
58.0%
@ 1.91+7.4pp
1st half Over/Under 86 · main lineActual: Over 86
Over
43.7%
@ 1.92-6.2pp
Under
56.3%
@ 1.91+6.2pp
Alba Berlin 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Alba Berlin under 44.5
Over
36.5%
@ 1.93-12.3pp
Under
63.5%
@ 1.83+12.3pp
Bilbao 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Bilbao over 42.5
Over
49.7%
@ 1.92+0.6pp
Under
50.3%
@ 1.87-0.6pp
1st half: ABE + total 86.5
ABE & over
20.1%
@ 3.20-7.2pp
ABE & under
25.9%
@ 3.35-0.2pp
1st half: Draw + total 86.5
Draw & over
1.8%
@ 26.00-1.5pp
Draw & under
2.4%
@ 26.00-1.0pp
1st half: BIL + total 86.5
BIL & over
20.1%
@ 4.25-0.5pp
BIL & under
29.8%
@ 4.50+10.4pp
1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Over 84.5
Over
49.7%
@ 1.63-8.2pp
Under
50.3%
@ 2.20+8.2pp
1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Over 87.5
Over
38.4%
@ 2.16-5.8pp
Under
61.6%
@ 1.82+5.8pp
1st half Spread Alba Berlin -2.5Actual: Bilbao +2.5
ABE -2.5
37.9%
@ 2.10-7.7pp
BIL +2.5
62.1%
@ 1.85+7.7pp
1st half Spread Alba Berlin 0Actual: Bilbao 0
ABE 0
48.0%
@ 1.61-9.4pp
BIL 0
52.0%
@ 2.17+9.4pp
1st half Spread Alba Berlin -3.5Actual: Bilbao +3.5
ABE -3.5
34.1%
@ 2.15-9.0pp
BIL +3.5
66.0%
@ 1.65+9.0pp
1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Over 82.5
Over
57.3%
@ 1.44-7.2pp
Under
42.7%
@ 2.62+7.2pp
1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Over 89.5
Over
31.3%
@ 2.18-10.6pp
Under
68.7%
@ 1.57+10.6pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Alba Berlin (regulation)
ABE
45.9%
@ 1.70-8.0pp
Draw
4.2%
@ 17.00-1.3pp
BIL
49.8%
@ 2.25+9.6pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ABE win + total 175.5
🔒 Pro
BIL win + total 175.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ABE leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BIL leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (ABE:BIL): ABE wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Alba Berlin under 9072.5%1.78
Marathon Bet
1.78
----+20.8ppLost
Alba Berlin under 90.573.3%1.72
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.62
--+19.5ppLost
Alba Berlin under 92.578.8%1.52
Bet365
1.55
1xBet
1.51
Betano
1.50
--+18.8ppLost
Alba Berlin under 89.570.3%1.79
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.76
1xBet
1.72
+18.8ppLost
Alba Berlin under 91.576.1%1.58
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.55
---+18.3ppLost
Alba Berlin under 93.581.2%1.42
Betano
1.42
----+17.5ppLost
Alba Berlin under 94.583.5%1.38
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.35
---+17.3ppLost
Alba Berlin under 95.585.6%1.30
Betano
1.30
----+15.8ppLost
Alba Berlin under 96.587.5%1.27
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.25
---+15.5ppLost
Under 18074.7%1.52
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Bet
1.48
---+15.0ppLost
Under 17972.8%1.56
Bet365
1.60
Marathon Bet
1.53
---+15.0ppLost
Under 178.571.5%1.59
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.64
Marathon Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.52
-+14.9ppLost
Bilbao +6.574.3%1.54
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Marathon Bet
1.52
-+14.7ppWon
Alba Berlin under 98.590.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+14.6ppLost
Under 17870.9%1.64
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.66
Marathon Bet
1.59
--+14.3ppLost
Bilbao +7.577.0%1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
Marathon Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
-+14.3ppWon
Under 179.573.4%1.52
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Marathon Bet
1.51
1xBet
1.46
-+14.1ppLost
Bilbao +8.579.5%1.40
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Marathon Bet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
-+14.1ppWon
Bilbao +879.0%1.42
Bet365
1.43
Marathon Bet
1.41
---+14.0ppWon
Under 18176.5%1.50
Bet365
1.50
----+14.0ppLost
Under 18278.2%1.45
Bet365
1.45
----+14.0ppLost
Under 180.575.2%1.49
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
Marathon Bet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
-+13.9ppLost
Bilbao +981.4%1.37
Bet365
1.37
Marathon Bet
1.36
---+13.9ppWon
Bilbao +776.3%1.49
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.48
---+13.8ppWon
Under 18379.8%1.40
Bet365
1.40
----+13.8ppLost
Bilbao +14.590.5%1.20
Betano
1.20
----+13.6ppWon
1st half: Alba Berlin under 46.573.6%1.53
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.52
---+13.5ppWon
Under 181.576.9%1.46
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.45
---+13.5ppLost
Under 182.578.5%1.42
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.42
---+13.5ppLost
Bilbao +9.581.8%1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.35
Marathon Bet
1.34
--+13.4ppWon
Alba Berlin under 99.592.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+13.3ppLost
Bilbao +10.583.9%1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
---+13.1ppWon
Under 183.580.1%1.38
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.37
---+13.0ppLost
Under 184.581.6%1.34
Betano
1.34
----+12.8ppLost
Alba Berlin under 100.593.3%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+12.8ppLost
Bilbao +1083.6%1.31
Bet365
1.31
----+12.6ppWon
Bilbao +570.4%1.65
Bet365
1.66
Marathon Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.64
-+12.6ppWon
Bilbao +12.587.6%1.23
Betano
1.23
----+12.5ppWon
Bilbao +673.5%1.56
Bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Marathon Bet
1.55
-+12.5ppWon
Bilbao +1185.6%1.27
Bet365
1.27
----+12.5ppWon
1st half: Alba Berlin under 48.581.9%1.34
Bet365
1.34
----+12.4ppWon
Bilbao +11.585.8%1.26
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.26
---+12.3ppWon
Under 185.583.0%1.31
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.30
---+12.1ppLost
Bilbao +5.571.3%1.62
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.64
1xBet
1.60
Marathon Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
+11.8ppWon
Q1: Under 46.571.8%1.50
Betano
1.50
----+11.1ppLost
Q1: Alba Berlin under 24.574.7%1.44
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.44
---+11.1ppWon
Bilbao +13.589.1%1.19
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
---+10.9ppWon
Alba Berlin under 102.595.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+10.9ppLost
1st half: Under 90.572.0%1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
---+10.4ppLost
Q1: Under 47.576.6%1.40
Bet365
1.40
----+10.4ppLost
1st half: Alba Berlin under 50.588.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+10.3ppWon
1st half: Under 92.578.3%1.36
Bet365
1.36
----+10.2ppWon
Under 190.588.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+10.1ppLost
1st half: Under 94.583.8%1.26
Bet365
1.26
----+9.7ppWon
1st half: Alba Berlin under 52.592.8%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+9.7ppWon
Alba Berlin under 104.596.7%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+9.6ppWon
Q1: Under 49.584.3%1.25
Bet365
1.25
----+9.6ppLost
Q1: Alba Berlin under 26.585.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+9.4ppWon
1st half: Under 96.588.0%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+9.1ppWon
1st half: Bilbao +5.573.4%1.44
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.43
---+9.1ppWon
Alba Berlin under 106.597.8%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+8.8ppWon
1st half: Alba Berlin under 54.596.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+8.5ppWon
Alba Berlin under 108.598.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+8.1ppWon
1st half: Bilbao +7.579.9%1.29
Bet365
1.29
----+8.0ppWon
Bilbao +18.594.6%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+8.0ppWon
Q1: Alba Berlin under 28.592.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+7.7ppWon
Alba Berlin under 109.598.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+7.7ppWon
Under 195.593.1%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+7.6ppLost
Alba Berlin under 110.599.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+7.5ppWon
Q1: Alba Berlin under 30.596.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+7.5ppWon
1st half: Bilbao +9.585.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+7.5ppWon
Bilbao +23.597.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+7.0ppWon
Under 200.595.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+6.9ppLost
Q1: Bilbao +4.574.2%1.37
Bet365
1.37
----+6.6ppWon
Q1: Alba Berlin under 32.598.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.5ppWon
1st half: Bilbao +11.589.5%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+6.4ppWon
Q1: Bilbao +6.582.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+6.2ppWon
Bilbao under 97.587.6%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+6.2ppLost
Bilbao under 96.585.6%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+6.1ppLost
Bilbao under 106.597.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.0ppWon
Bilbao under 103.595.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.9ppWon
Bilbao under 105.597.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.8ppWon
Bilbao under 107.598.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.8ppWon
Bilbao under 93.578.4%1.26
Bet365
1.27
Betano
1.25
---+5.7ppLost
Bilbao under 95.583.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+5.6ppLost
Bilbao under 101.593.6%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+5.6ppWon
Q1: Bilbao under 29.595.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.5ppWon
Bilbao under 91.572.6%1.36
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.35
---+5.4ppLost
Bilbao under 99.591.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+5.4ppLost
Bilbao under 92.575.6%1.29
Betano
1.29
----+5.3ppLost
Q1: Bilbao under 31.598.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.3ppWon
1st half: Bilbao under 52.592.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+5.3ppWon
Bilbao +28.598.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.2ppWon
1st half: Bilbao under 48.581.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+5.0ppWon
1st half: Bilbao under 50.587.9%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+4.8ppWon
Q1: Bilbao over 11.597.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.7ppWon
1st half: Bilbao over 32.592.6%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+4.7ppWon
Bilbao over 65.596.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.5ppWon
Bilbao over 66.596.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.5ppWon
1st half: Bilbao over 34.587.5%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+4.4ppWon
Q1: Bilbao over 13.594.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+4.4ppWon
Bilbao over 67.595.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.4ppWon
Q1: Alba Berlin or Bilbao94.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+4.3pp-
Q1: Bilbao under 27.589.6%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+4.1ppWon
Q1: Bilbao under 25.580.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+4.1ppLost
Q1: Alba Berlin over 12.595.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.7ppWon
Bilbao over 69.592.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.6ppWon
1st half: Bilbao under 46.572.4%1.35
Bet365
1.35
----+3.4ppLost
1st half: Bilbao over 36.580.5%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+2.7ppWon
Q1: Bilbao over 15.587.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+2.5ppWon
Bilbao over 71.590.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+2.5ppWon
1st half: Bilbao over 38.571.9%1.34
Bet365
1.34
----+2.4ppWon
Overtime: no94.8%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
---+2.2pp-
Q2: Alba Berlin or Bilbao94.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+2.1pp-
Q1: Bilbao over 17.577.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+1.4ppWon
Q1: Alba Berlin over 14.590.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+1.4ppWon
Bilbao over 73.586.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+1.3ppWon
Bilbao over 75.581.7%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+1.2ppWon
Alba Berlin +21.594.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+0.9ppWon
Bilbao over 76.579.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+0.3ppWon
Bilbao over 77.576.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+0.1ppWon
Alba Berlin over 68.591.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
-----0.8ppWon
Alba Berlin +16.589.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03
-----1.1ppWon
Bilbao over 79.570.1%1.29
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.26
----1.3ppWon
Q1: Alba Berlin +5.578.0%1.16
Bet365
1.16
-----1.5ppWon
Alba Berlin over 69.589.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02
-----1.6ppWon
1st half: Over 76.577.8%1.16
Bet365
1.16
-----1.7ppWon
1st half: Alba Berlin over 34.585.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----2.1ppWon
Q1: Alba Berlin over 16.582.0%1.11
Bet365
1.11
-----2.4ppWon
Q1: Over 37.575.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----2.5ppWon
Alba Berlin over 70.588.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
-----2.6ppWon
1st half: Alba Berlin +8.580.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11
-----4.1ppWon
1st half: Over 78.571.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----4.6ppWon
1st half: Alba Berlin over 36.577.6%1.13
Bet365
1.13
-----4.6ppWon
Over 150.585.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----4.7ppWon
1st half: Alba Berlin +6.573.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18
-----5.0ppWon
Alba Berlin over 72.584.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----5.2ppWon
Alba Berlin +11.579.8%1.09
Bet365
1.09
-----6.3ppWon
Alba Berlin +8.571.8%1.16
Betano
1.16
-----7.3ppWon
Alba Berlin over 74.579.4%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----8.1ppWon
Over 155.577.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09
-----8.9ppWon
Alba Berlin over 76.573.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----11.2ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.1
56.0%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.8
34.2%
35.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.414.9
76.8%
72.1%14.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.6
50.1%
53.1%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.8
38.1%
35.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws25.819.7
76.4%
72.1%19.7
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWLWLLWWWW
Bilbao
WLWWWLWLLW
#2
League position
#13
+1.4
Net rating
+0.8
94.7
Offensive rating
99.3
93.3
Defensive rating
98.5
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.7%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.2%
3-point %
38.1%
71.2%
Assist %
66.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.7 · 99.3Defence93.3 · 98.5Shooting53.7% · 53.4%3-point %34.2% · 38.1%Ball care17.7% · 14.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
27/12/17Alba Berlin v Bilbao86-68
08/11/17Bilbao v Alba Berlin86-94
23/11/16Alba Berlin v Bilbao88-92
19/10/16Bilbao v Alba Berlin77-85
17/04/10Alba Berlin v Bilbao77-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HUlm98-82
13/10/26HIgokea90-79
10/10/26ATrier75-95
07/10/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK110-86
03/10/26HBamberg83-98
26/09/26ABayern61-95
24/09/26HFrankfurt94-83
18/09/26HChemnitz89-82
21/06/26ABayern84-81
19/06/26HBayern71-61
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-76
18/10/26AReal Madrid84-119
14/10/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK97-86
11/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos96-87
06/10/26AIgokea92-79
04/10/26ALeyma Coruna101-104 OT
26/09/26HManresa107-92
05/06/26HValencia71-88
03/06/26AValencia80-83
29/05/26ATenerife87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Champions League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.090.0110.0
Allowed / game82.579.086.0
Point differential+17.5+11.0+24.0
Avg total182.5169.0196.0
Over 17450%0%100%
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
Champions League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.597.092.0
Allowed / game82.586.079.0
Point differential+12.0+11.0+13.0
Avg total177.0183.0171.0
Over 17450%100%0%
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja220100%92.064.5+27.5
2 Cholet220100%91.572.5+19.0
3 Alba Berlin220100%100.082.5+17.5
4 Antwerp Giants220100%101.084.5+16.5
5 Bilbao220100%94.582.5+12.0
6 Joventut Badalona220100%81.074.5+6.5
7 Peristeri330100%86.080.3+5.7
8 Dziki Warszawa43175%103.299.2+4.0
9 Breogan32167%113.792.3+21.3
10 Murcia32167%81.068.3+12.7
11 CSM Oradea32167%94.787.3+7.3
12 Trabzonspor32167%91.387.7+3.7
13 Rytas32167%81.382.3-1.0
14 Hapoel Holon32167%84.388.0-3.7
15 Promitheas32167%86.392.7-6.3
16 Salon Vilpas53260%88.687.0+1.6
17 Vechta74357%86.687.0-0.4
18 Strasbourg21150%88.572.5+16.0
19 Spartak Subotica21150%90.075.0+15.0
20 Reggiana21150%78.570.5+8.0
21 Korfez Basket21150%92.086.5+5.5
22 VEF Riga21150%100.095.0+5.0
23 FC Porto21150%80.076.0+4.0
24 Szombathely21150%89.085.5+3.5
25 Bonn21150%76.075.0+1.0
26 Cibona21150%86.585.5+1.0
27 Benfica21150%87.588.0-0.5
28 Bakken Bears21150%80.584.0-3.5
29 Galatasaray21150%79.586.5-7.0
30 Batumi21150%81.589.0-7.5
31 Legia21150%78.588.5-10.0
32 Manchester Basketball21150%79.089.0-10.0
33 AEK Athens21150%85.598.0-12.5
34 Juventus21150%71.090.0-19.0
35 Nanterre31233%85.381.7+3.7
36 Varese31233%78.377.0+1.3
37 Igokea31233%78.384.7-6.3
38 Sabah Baku31233%81.087.3-6.3
39 Fribourg Olympic1010%85.086.0-1.0
40 Wurzburg1010%73.074.0-1.0
41 Denizli Basket1010%98.0101.0-3.0
42 Levice1010%87.090.0-3.0
43 AEK Larnaca1010%87.095.0-8.0
44 Geneva Lions1010%78.087.0-9.0
45 Vienna Basket1010%82.092.0-10.0
46 Zwolle1010%78.089.0-11.0
47 Bnei Herzliya2020%74.586.0-11.5
48 Kolossos Rhodes1010%79.091.0-12.0
49 Slavia Prague ERA NBK3030%81.394.7-13.3
50 Pardubice2020%64.080.5-16.5
51 Absheron Lions1010%88.0105.0-17.0
52 Opava1010%99.0116.0-17.0
53 Bamberg3030%71.791.3-19.7
54 Rilski Sportist1010%80.0126.0-46.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin24193129103
Bilbao26222428100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.