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Alba Berlin vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-88 (OT)
19-20 21-17 17-18 18-20 9-13
Position#17
Record3-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#11
Record2-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game78.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9
European cup2022
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Crvena zvezda
06 Feb 2025
ABE71
CZV77
25 Jan 2024
ABE89
CZV80
22 Nov 2022
ABE84
CZV88
25 Mar 2022
ABE74
CZV70
08 Apr 2021
ABE81
CZV58
26 Mar 2015
ABE73
CZV68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#10
W
98-95
98
95
+3
no box
H17/10
German Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 82
H19/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
68avg 82
A21/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
80avg 82
H23/10
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
73-87
73
87
-14
70avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
104-70
104
70
+34
103avg 82
A30/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
85avg 82
A04/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
77-79
77
79
-2
76avg 82
H10/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
58avg 82
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
101avg 82
H20/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
21-22
30-20
23-26
17-9
26-24
21-12
30-20
23-22
14-19
23-17
14-20
16-18
17-12
16-18
29-22
20-23
19-27
16-22
18-15
26-18
20-18
25-16
33-18
25-13
19-19
17-22
20-34
15-26
24-19
19-23
19-11
20-26
17-27
15-17
20-20
23-24
22-20
27-25
27-22
166.3Avg total
85.0Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.480.6162.0+0.838%
Season at home (3)90.376.0166.3+14.367%
Season away (5)76.083.4159.4-7.420%
Last 10 (10)85.081.3166.3+3.750%
Last 5 (5)86.683.6170.2+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.084.0166.0-2.033%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.078.6159.6+2.440%
vs Weaker (21)91.376.6167.9+14.795%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
75-92
75
92
-17
77avg 74
A19/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
56-72
56
72
-16
40avg 74
A21/10
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H24/10
ABA League
Bayern
#16
W
78-72
78
72
+6
78avg 74
H28/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
A31/10
ABA League
Monaco
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
71avg 74
A04/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
L
96-98
96
98
-2
92avg 74
H07/11
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
79-93
79
93
-14
66avg 74
A10/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
71-67
71
67
+4
63avg 74
H17/11
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
92-53
92
53
+39
100avg 74
H19/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
23-19
10-17
18-33
10-25
20-14
14-15
12-18
24-25
27-15
17-22
15-15
28-17
16-26
21-14
13-15
23-18
18-17
18-20
17-15
19-17
12-21
22-21
24-26
19-27
22-25
25-23
30-23
23-24
18-18
16-24
22-27
17-14
21-9
16-30
17-14
21-20
29-18
22-8
20-7
156.2Avg total
78.3Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.278.8150.0-7.525%
Season at home (3)74.772.0146.7+2.767%
Season away (5)69.282.8152.0-13.60%
Last 10 (10)78.377.9156.2+0.450%
Last 5 (5)83.079.2162.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.072.0128.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.481.9159.3-4.542%
vs Weaker (17)84.671.5156.2+13.182%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
Alba BerlinCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H17/10
German Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H19/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H23/10
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A30/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A04/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H10/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H20/11
BBL
82.1Avg total
40.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.039.084.0+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.840.287.0+6.571%-
Last 30 away (13)42.637.580.1+5.269%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.382.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.084.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.045.790.7-0.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.638.078.6+2.660%-
vs Weaker (21)46.037.983.9+8.181%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A19/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A21/10
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H24/10
ABA League
Bayern
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H28/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A31/10
ABA League
Monaco
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A04/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H07/11
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H17/11
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H19/11
ABA League
80.6Avg total
41.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.779.8+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.237.182.2+8.182%-
Last 30 away (13)38.038.676.6-0.654%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.280.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.039.069.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.841.881.5-2.042%-
vs Weaker (17)44.434.879.2+9.694%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.9
51.2%
53.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.4
38.1%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.112.9
71.3%
78.5%12.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.615.9
50.3%
53.5%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.0
36.2%
36.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.715.5
78.7%
78.5%15.5
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLLWLWLWW
Crvena zvezda
WWLLLWWWLL
#17
League position
#11
+5.1
Net rating
+0.3
110.7
Offensive rating
109.1
105.6
Defensive rating
108.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.2%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.5%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.1%
3-point %
36.2%
72.3%
Assist %
66.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 109.1Defence105.6 · 108.8Shooting53.4% · 52.2%3-point %38.1% · 36.2%Ball care18.1% · 17.5%Off. rebounds33.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alba Berlin wins
1
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/22HLudwigsburg99-91
17/11/22AReal Madrid72-90
10/11/22HBayern77-79
04/11/22AZalgiris Kaunas81-88
30/10/22ARostock104-70
27/10/22AValencia73-87
23/10/22HHeidelberg78-70
21/10/22AAnadolu Efes74-78
19/10/22HPanathinaikos94-65
17/10/22HBonn98-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HCibona92-53
17/11/22HLyon-Villeurbanne71-67
10/11/22AFenerbahce79-93
07/11/22HZadar96-98
04/11/22AMonaco77-85
31/10/22AIgokea76-70
28/10/22HBayern78-72
24/10/22HFMP Beograd83-77
21/10/22AReal Madrid56-72
19/10/22ABaskonia75-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game81.490.376.0
Allowed / game80.676.083.4
Point differential+0.8+14.3-7.4
Avg total162.0166.3159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%67%0%
Points / game71.274.769.2
Allowed / game78.872.082.8
Point differential-7.5+2.7-13.6
Avg total150.0146.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce98189%87.475.8+11.7
2 Olympiacos86275%85.477.8+7.6
3 Monaco96367%83.780.9+2.8
4 Real Madrid85362%82.677.1+5.5
5 Barcelona85362%78.576.2+2.2
6 Zalgiris Kaunas85362%79.077.1+1.9
7 Baskonia84450%87.886.2+1.5
8 Partizan84450%84.685.6-1.0
9 Virtus Bologna84450%73.274.6-1.4
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv84450%82.585.0-2.5
11 Valencia84450%79.282.0-2.8
12 Alba Berlin83538%81.480.6+0.8
13 Anadolu Efes83538%83.983.6+0.2
14 Olimpia Milano83538%70.073.8-3.8
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne83538%73.177.6-4.5
16 Bayern82625%72.877.8-5.0
17 Crvena zvezda82625%71.278.8-7.5
18 Panathinaikos82625%78.586.1-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Alba Berlin19211718984
Crvena zvezda201718201388
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