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Alba Berlin vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-58
24-22 25-8 17-16 15-12
Position#15
Record11-22
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#17
Record10-23
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game79.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34
European cup2020
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Crvena zvezda
06 Feb 2025
ABE71
CZV77
25 Jan 2024
ABE89
CZV80
22 Nov 2022
ABE84
CZV88
25 Mar 2022
ABE74
CZV70
08 Apr 2021
ABE81
CZV58
26 Mar 2015
ABE73
CZV68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#11
W
89-58
89
58
+31
55avg 76
H14/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
96-82
96
82
+14
91avg 76
A16/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
L
80-84
80
84
-4
77avg 76
H18/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#12
W
94-60
94
60
+34
101avg 76
A21/03
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
66avg 76
A23/03
BBL
Barcelona
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
62avg 76
A26/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
93-82
93
82
+11
92avg 76
H28/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
84avg 76
A30/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
82avg 76
H02/04
Euroleague
Bonn
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
83avg 76
A04/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
20-15
25-13
24-15
15-18
39-20
21-13
21-31
18-16
24-21
20-25
18-22
25-10
20-25
21-21
28-4
27-30
23-19
14-21
11-20
23-22
17-23
18-17
9-18
32-18
13-20
30-21
18-23
23-21
28-20
10-27
25-28
26-13
27-29
17-22
16-26
21-22
16-20
21-13
22-20
164.3Avg total
84.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.683.5162.0-4.933%
Season at home (16)76.480.8157.2-4.431%
Season away (17)80.685.9166.6-5.335%
Last 10 (10)84.679.7164.3+4.950%
Last 5 (5)82.484.6167.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.382.6158.9-6.314%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.484.0167.4-0.643%
vs Weaker (16)89.573.1162.6+16.488%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Split
#11
W
71-60
71
60
+11
61avg 70
A08/03
ABA League
Khimki M.
#18
W
92-81
92
81
+11
88avg 70
H11/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#7
W
73-64
73
64
+9
67avg 70
H14/03
ABA League
Cibona
#9
W
85-63
85
63
+22
83avg 70
H16/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
85avg 70
A19/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
50avg 70
A21/03
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
62avg 70
A25/03
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#8
W
101-71
101
71
+30
104avg 70
H27/03
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
72-93
72
93
-21
62avg 70
H30/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
76-64
76
64
+12
79avg 70
H01/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
15-15
21-17
17-11
8-15
26-23
28-22
30-21
15-14
26-20
16-16
16-14
21-10
20-18
16-12
28-23
17-23
23-17
20-19
26-23
12-24
20-19
14-24
17-16
19-31
20-19
20-21
13-16
35-27
28-20
17-4
21-20
12-22
24-25
15-28
21-18
15-21
18-13
20-11
23-19
153.9Avg total
79.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.679.6154.2-5.030%
Season at home (17)75.877.2153.1-1.435%
Season away (16)73.382.2155.5-8.925%
Last 10 (10)79.174.8153.9+4.370%
Last 5 (5)76.879.6156.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.881.7153.4-9.917%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.276.8154.0+0.550%
vs Weaker (13)76.865.5142.4+11.392%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
Alba BerlinCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H14/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A16/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#12
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H18/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A21/03
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A23/03
BBL
Barcelona
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A26/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A30/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H02/04
Euroleague
Bonn
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A04/04
BBL
85.4Avg total
45.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.982.8+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.436.978.2+4.571%-
Last 30 away (16)44.342.686.9+1.856%-
Last 10 (10)45.739.785.4+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.686.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.441.083.4+1.457%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.443.082.4-3.629%-
vs Weaker (16)44.738.182.8+6.681%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#11
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A08/03
ABA League
Khimki M.
#18
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H11/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H14/03
ABA League
Cibona
#9
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H16/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/03
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A21/03
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A25/03
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#8
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H27/03
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H30/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/04
Euroleague
78.5Avg total
39.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.840.380.1-0.448%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.937.178.0+3.862%-
Last 30 away (13)38.544.282.7-5.631%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.378.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.284.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.644.281.8-6.725%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.240.081.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (12)40.837.778.5+3.267%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.9
54.7%
52.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.5
37.0%
38.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.412.1
84.0%
79.3%12.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.4
50.8%
52.7%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.4
40.8%
38.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.814.3
76.1%
79.3%14.3
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLWLLWLWW
Crvena zvezda
WLWLLWWWWW
#15
League position
#17
+5.6
Net rating
+6.3
108.0
Offensive rating
110.2
102.4
Defensive rating
103.9
55.0%
Effective FG%
55.4%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.0%
3-point %
40.8%
65.5%
Assist %
62.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 110.2Defence102.4 · 103.9Shooting55.0% · 55.4%3-point %37.0% · 40.8%Ball care19.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds28.4% · 29.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alba Berlin wins
1
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
15/12/20Crvena zvezda v Alba Berlin84-90 OT
26/03/15Alba Berlin v Crvena zvezda73-68
29/01/15Crvena zvezda v Alba Berlin86-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/21ABonn80-75
02/04/21HValencia86-90
30/03/21AZalgiris Kaunas86-96
28/03/21HSyntainics MBC93-82
26/03/21ABarcelona67-80
23/03/21AHamburg75-90
21/03/21AFrankfurt94-60
18/03/21HOlympiacos80-84
16/03/21ASyntainics MBC96-82
14/03/21HGottingen89-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv76-64
30/03/21HOlimpia Milano72-93
27/03/21HFMP Beograd101-71
25/03/21ACSKA Moscow72-87
21/03/21ABuducnost63-83
19/03/21APanathinaikos86-82
16/03/21HCibona85-63
14/03/21HPartizan73-64
11/03/21HKhimki M.92-81
08/03/21ASplit71-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLLWLL31%
AwayLWWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %33%31%35%
Points / game78.676.480.6
Allowed / game83.580.885.9
Point differential-4.9-4.4-5.3
Avg total162.0157.2166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW30%
HomeLLWLW35%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %30%35%25%
Points / game74.675.873.3
Allowed / game79.677.282.2
Point differential-5.0-1.4-8.9
Avg total154.2153.1155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)38% (8)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3324973%80.973.3+7.6
2 CSKA Moscow33231070%84.179.5+4.5
3 Anadolu Efes33221167%84.376.2+8.1
4 Olimpia Milano33201361%80.978.0+2.8
5 Bayern33201361%78.177.4+0.7
6 Real Madrid34201459%80.177.5+2.6
7 Fenerbahce34201459%78.579.1-0.6
8 Zenit Petersburg32181456%77.274.8+2.4
9 Baskonia33181555%80.977.3+3.6
10 Valencia33181555%81.781.2+0.5
11 Zalgiris Kaunas34171750%77.477.8-0.4
12 Olympiacos33151845%78.579.9-1.4
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv33141942%78.679.0-0.4
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%76.780.6-3.9
15 Panathinaikos32112134%79.482.5-3.1
16 Alba Berlin33112233%78.683.5-4.9
17 Crvena zvezda33102330%74.679.6-5.0
18 Khimki M.3342912%77.590.5-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2425171581
Crvena zvezda228161258
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