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Alba Berlin vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-80
18-16 33-20 21-18 17-26
Position#18
Record4-18
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#16
Record9-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23· Uber Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Crvena zvezda
06 Feb 2025
ABE71
CZV77
25 Jan 2024
ABE89
CZV80
22 Nov 2022
ABE84
CZV88
25 Mar 2022
ABE74
CZV70
08 Apr 2021
ABE81
CZV58
26 Mar 2015
ABE73
CZV68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
57avg 79
H29/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
101-90
101
90
+11
91avg 79
H31/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
71-77
71
77
-6
64avg 79
A02/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
68-83
68
83
-15
60avg 79
H05/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 79
A07/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 79
A09/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
88-63
88
63
+25
90avg 79
A12/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
95avg 79
H14/01
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
65-82
65
82
-17
57avg 79
H18/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
95avg 79
A21/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
18-21
8-27
16-27
34-19
26-26
20-25
21-20
25-22
16-26
11-13
19-16
9-26
18-22
24-15
17-20
23-15
18-18
19-28
17-36
17-16
18-21
23-23
18-22
19-20
22-17
21-13
26-13
17-17
25-20
22-14
26-31
19-19
11-24
21-23
14-16
25-30
19-14
27-23
24-20
163.5Avg total
79.8Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.484.2159.6-8.818%
Season at home (11)75.784.0159.7-8.327%
Season away (11)75.184.5159.5-9.49%
Last 10 (10)79.883.7163.5-3.940%
Last 5 (5)82.879.2162.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.283.8159.1-8.622%
vs Similar (3)96.384.0180.3+12.3100%
vs Weaker (9)89.384.0173.3+5.367%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-82
65
82
-17
56avg 81
A28/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
80-48
80
48
+32
76avg 81
H30/12
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
86avg 81
A02/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
88-72
88
72
+16
86avg 81
H04/01
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
86-96
86
96
-10
72avg 81
A06/01
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
91-100
91
100
-9
82avg 81
A09/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 81
A11/01
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
90-74
90
74
+16
83avg 81
H14/01
ABA League
Baskonia
#9
L
90-91
90
91
-1
82avg 81
H18/01
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
87-54
87
54
+33
88avg 81
H21/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
14-18
19-23
15-21
31-13
16-16
17-15
16-4
18-26
16-9
23-22
28-19
24-13
26-16
15-19
23-24
21-23
16-26
28-21
21-26
25-25
20-23
22-22
24-30
23-15
24-16
10-16
19-15
35-18
16-26
22-18
17-12
30-20
22-23
10-26
28-22
26-13
20-19
18-14
23-8
159.3Avg total
83.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.080.5162.5+1.541%
Season at home (10)82.076.1158.1+5.960%
Season away (12)82.084.2166.2-2.225%
Last 10 (10)83.875.5159.3+8.360%
Last 5 (5)86.876.2163.0+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.674.8150.4+0.840%
vs Similar (11)84.483.4167.7+1.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.773.8162.5+14.986%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
Alba BerlinCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H31/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H05/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A07/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A09/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/01
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H18/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A21/01
BBL
81.6Avg total
40.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.284.0-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.142.882.9-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)41.543.685.1-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.281.6-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.678.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.843.781.5-5.917%-
vs Similar (3)52.042.094.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (9)43.142.685.7+0.644%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A28/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H30/12
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A02/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H04/01
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A06/01
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A09/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A11/01
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H14/01
ABA League
Baskonia
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H18/01
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H21/01
ABA League
81.8Avg total
44.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.883.8+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.937.183.0+8.980%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.684.7-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)44.037.881.8+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.687.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.637.875.4-0.220%-
vs Similar (11)43.442.686.0+0.745%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.838.485.1+8.486%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.9
50.3%
53.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.3
39.1%
36.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.215.7
74.1%
77.4%15.7
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.5
57.7%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
36.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.314.4
74.6%
77.4%14.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLWWLLLLWL
Crvena zvezda
WLWWLLWWWL
#18
League position
#16
-6.4
Net rating
+11.0
108.4
Offensive rating
115.1
114.8
Defensive rating
104.1
53.6%
Effective FG%
55.3%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
21.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.1%
3-point %
34.9%
63.2%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 115.1Defence114.8 · 104.1Shooting53.6% · 55.3%3-point %39.1% · 34.9%Ball care21.5% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.9% · 31.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alba Berlin wins
3
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ABonn95-87
18/01/24HBayern65-82
14/01/24HWurzburg90-82
12/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne88-63
09/01/24AOlimpia Milano76-82
07/01/24ABamberg77-97
05/01/24HVirtus Bologna68-83
02/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas71-77
31/12/23HChemnitz101-90
29/12/23HOlympiacos67-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HFMP Beograd87-54
18/01/24HBaskonia90-91
14/01/24HBorac Mozzart90-74
11/01/24AOlimpia Milano76-62
09/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne91-100
06/01/24ACedevita Olimpija86-96
04/01/24HPartizan88-72
02/01/24AFenerbahce85-76
30/12/23HIgokea80-48
28/12/23APanathinaikos65-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeWLLLL27%
AwayLLLLW9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %18%27%9%
Points / game75.475.775.1
Allowed / game84.284.084.5
Point differential-8.8-8.3-9.4
Avg total159.6159.7159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL41%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %41%60%25%
Points / game82.082.082.0
Allowed / game80.576.184.2
Point differential+1.5+5.9-2.2
Avg total162.5158.1166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (7)0% (1)0% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2219386%89.078.7+10.3
2 Barcelona2215768%83.079.8+3.1
3 Virtus Bologna2315865%81.381.0+0.3
4 Panathinaikos2214864%82.178.0+4.0
5 Fenerbahce2314961%84.081.7+2.3
6 Olympiacos22121055%77.574.6+2.9
7 Monaco22121055%81.580.0+1.5
8 Baskonia22121055%82.382.7-0.4
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv22121055%85.687.3-1.7
10 Valencia22111150%76.976.7+0.2
11 Partizan22111150%83.984.1-0.2
12 Crvena zvezda2291341%82.080.5+1.5
13 Olimpia Milano2291341%77.776.8+1.0
14 Bayern2291341%79.281.9-2.7
15 Anadolu Efes2291341%84.988.0-3.0
16 Zalgiris Kaunas2281436%79.481.3-2.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2241818%78.687.0-8.4
18 Alba Berlin2241818%75.484.2-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1833211789
Crvena zvezda1620182680
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