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Alba Berlin vs Hamburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record5-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game90.8
GermanyBBLRound 18· Uber Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Hamburg
23 Jan 2027
ABE v HAM
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
ABE87
HAM93
09 Feb 2025
ABE92
HAM77
31 Mar 2024
ABE85
HAM65
28 Sep 2022
ABE81
HAM78
27 Apr 2022
ABE96
HAM81
22 May 2021
ABE95
HAM83
20 May 2021
ABE82
HAM59
10 Apr 2021
ABE68
HAM75
14 Apr 2020
ABE v HAM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#10
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 80
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
110-86
110
86
+24
110avg 80
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 80
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 80
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#11
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 80
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
W
103-100
103
100
+3
93avg 80
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#5
L
88-95
88
95
-7
72avg 80
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
102-72
102
72
+30
no box
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
W
95-77
95
77
+18
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
28-24
19-25
25-27
21-15
31-25
34-22
24-24
24-31
23-19
15-26
13-19
18-21
20-19
23-22
29-17
23-18
22-25
23-16
30-23
24-26
19-22
31-24
29-28
26-21
19-21
20-24
23-29
26-26
30-21
27-11
19-14
18-22
21-23
14-19
22-19
23-18
28-11
31-17
13-31
178.6Avg total
91.9Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.286.6173.8+0.756%
Season at home (5)93.283.4176.6+9.880%
Season away (4)79.890.5170.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)91.986.7178.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)92.685.4178.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.287.4167.6-7.138%
vs Similar (11)88.183.0171.1+5.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)91.582.7174.2+8.773%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
33avg 75
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#5
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 75
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
76avg 75
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 75
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 75
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 75
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
60avg 75
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 75
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
23-27
18-15
12-29
24-25
24-25
25-29
14-27
26-28
32-18
21-28
22-22
16-19
24-17
33-23
24-16
10-28
174.1Avg total
82.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.390.8174.1-7.433%
Season at home (4)89.593.5183.0-4.050%
Season away (5)78.488.6167.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)82.192.0174.1-9.930%
Last 5 (5)85.293.0178.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.792.0174.7-9.328%
vs Similar (8)88.182.4170.5+5.850%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.550%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
Alba BerlinHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/11
Champions League
Oldenburg
#12
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A14/11
BBL
88.5Avg total
45.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.484.9+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.641.485.0+2.353%-
Last 30 away (13)41.143.784.8-2.623%-
Last 10 (10)45.543.088.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.289.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.046.286.2-6.212%-
vs Similar (11)42.339.782.0+2.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.642.286.8+2.555%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H14/11
BBL
86.6Avg total
43.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.488.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.846.590.3-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.686.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.893.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.645.686.1-5.028%-
vs Similar (8)46.043.189.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker (4)47.249.096.2-1.850%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.0
56.3%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.5
35.6%
33.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.6
78.9%
73.4%14.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.1
50.3%
55.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.8
28.2%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.4%14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLWLWWWLWL
Hamburg
WWLLLLLWLL
#8
League position
#15
-0.4
Net rating
-16.1
98.6
Offensive rating
86.6
99.0
Defensive rating
102.7
54.9%
Effective FG%
46.5%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.6%
3-point %
28.2%
66.7%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 86.6Defence99.0 · 102.7Shooting54.9% · 46.5%3-point %35.6% · 28.2%Ball care15.6% · 14.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alba Berlin wins
3
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
17/02/26Alba Berlin v Hamburg87-93
14/12/25Hamburg v Alba Berlin99-80
09/02/25Alba Berlin v Hamburg92-77
22/09/24Hamburg v Alba Berlin97-80
17/04/24Hamburg v Alba Berlin76-84
31/03/24Alba Berlin v Hamburg85-65
16/04/23Hamburg v Alba Berlin63-83
28/09/22Alba Berlin v Hamburg81-78
27/04/22Alba Berlin v Hamburg96-81
02/01/22Hamburg v Alba Berlin80-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOldenburg95-77
10/11/26ABilbao75-83
06/11/26HPhoenix Hagen102-72
01/11/26ABonn88-95
28/10/26HBilbao103-100
25/10/26HUlm98-82
13/10/26HIgokea90-79
10/10/26ATrier75-95
07/10/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK110-86
03/10/26HBamberg83-98
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWurzburg91-84
09/11/26AJena91-87
01/11/26HSyntainics MBC89-109
25/10/26ABayern77-96
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game87.293.279.8
Allowed / game86.683.490.5
Point differential+0.7+9.8-10.8
Avg total173.8176.6170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game83.389.578.4
Allowed / game90.893.588.6
Point differential-7.4-4.0-10.2
Avg total174.1183.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
5 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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