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Alba Berlin vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-62
22-14 19-7 19-21 16-20
Position#26
Record7-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#20
Record8-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game78.5
EuropeEurocupRound 6
European cup2015
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A02/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H06/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#20
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A13/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A16/01
BBL
Aris
#11
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H19/01
Eurocup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#7
W
102-73
102
73
+29
H23/01
German Cup
Aris
#11
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A27/01
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#16
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A31/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A03/02
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H06/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
21-19
24-26
24-20
25-21
16-19
19-12
23-15
9-20
20-18
23-12
13-23
14-13
10-7
10-13
9-13
21-20
17-17
20-21
24-9
26-18
30-18
22-12
24-25
19-15
15-27
20-13
9-18
22-17
25-19
16-16
21-23
29-24
16-23
12-22
21-22
16-23
17-20
17-21
24-14
148.7Avg total
75.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.377.4153.7-1.147%
Season at home (7)81.476.6158.0+4.971%
Season away (8)71.978.1150.0-6.225%
Last 10 (10)75.473.3148.7+2.140%
Last 5 (5)80.278.0158.2+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.082.6164.6-0.640%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.776.5153.3+0.236%
vs Weaker (13)80.271.5151.7+8.877%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A10/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#26
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H13/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H16/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A19/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H23/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H24/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H26/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
57-89
57
89
-32
A31/01
LKL
Aris
#11
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H03/02
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A06/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
16-6
9-20
19-13
20-9
18-20
12-23
23-13
13-22
26-16
13-19
18-17
20-24
12-17
22-12
17-26
24-16
12-18
14-15
18-24
32-18
28-19
17-19
24-18
15-16
11-20
26-28
21-10
13-28
16-21
13-19
15-21
21-16
22-25
7-9
22-18
19-16
15-13
19-15
24-25
144.0Avg total
71.7Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.478.5156.9-0.153%
Season at home (8)82.079.6161.6+2.462%
Season away (7)74.377.1151.4-2.943%
Last 10 (10)71.772.3144.0-0.640%
Last 5 (5)76.074.8150.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.079.8149.8-9.820%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.275.4149.5-1.246%
vs Weaker (12)81.071.6152.6+9.475%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
Alba BerlinNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#5
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A02/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H06/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#20
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A13/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A16/01
BBL
Aris
#11
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/01
Eurocup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#7
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H23/01
German Cup
Aris
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A27/01
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#16
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A31/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A03/02
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#5
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H06/02
BBL
76.2Avg total
37.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.178.4+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.941.681.5-1.850%-
Last 30 away (16)38.736.975.6+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.376.2-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.883.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.448.084.4-11.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.740.277.9-2.536%-
vs Weaker (13)40.335.175.4+5.277%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A10/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#26
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H13/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H16/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A19/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H24/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H26/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A31/01
LKL
Aris
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/02
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A06/02
LKL
72.3Avg total
36.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.474.8+2.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.236.277.4+5.081%-
Last 30 away (14)35.336.671.9-1.357%-
Last 10 (10)36.435.972.3+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.039.876.8-2.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.838.374.2-2.562%-
vs Weaker (12)41.832.874.7+9.092%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alba Berlin wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
13/01/16Neptunas v Alba Berlin73-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/16HLudwigsburg74-78
03/02/16AOlimpia Milano78-91
31/01/16AMitteldeutscher84-75
27/01/16AAris63-73
23/01/16Hs.Oliver Wurzburg102-73
19/01/16HAris82-67
16/01/16ABasketball Braunschweig43-46
13/01/16ANeptunas65-73
06/01/16HOlimpia Milano83-67
02/01/16ALudwigsburg80-90
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/16ANevezis77-69
03/02/16HAris72-68
31/01/16AZalgiris Kaunas57-89
26/01/16HOlimpia Milano73-74
24/01/16HJuventus101-74
23/01/16HSiauliai68-73
19/01/16AOlimpia Milano71-79
16/01/16HLietkabelis70-74
13/01/16HAlba Berlin73-65
10/01/16AAlytaus Dzukija55-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL47%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%71%25%
Points / game76.381.471.9
Allowed / game77.476.678.1
Point differential-1.1+4.9-6.2
Avg total153.7158.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Neptunas
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game78.482.074.3
Allowed / game78.579.677.1
Point differential-0.1+2.4-2.9
Avg total156.9161.6151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano54180%81.271.8+9.4
2 Gran Canaria1512380%84.175.4+8.7
3 Valencia1512380%80.472.6+7.8
4 Unics Kazan1512380%81.573.9+7.6
5 Zenit Petersburg1512380%81.875.4+6.4
6 Bayern54180%82.276.0+6.2
7 Strasbourg54180%76.873.8+3.0
8 Bilbao1511473%84.974.7+10.3
9 Trento1511473%84.880.3+4.5
10 Galatasaray1510567%84.975.6+9.3
11 Tecnyconta Zaragoza1510567%77.375.9+1.5
12 Saratov159660%92.786.6+6.1
13 Ludwigsburg159660%80.275.2+5.0
14 Aris159660%71.971.4+0.5
15 Sassari53260%78.878.6+0.2
16 Banvit158753%78.976.5+2.5
17 Nizhny Novgorod158753%79.778.5+1.2
18 Reggiana158753%77.777.6+0.1
19 Neptunas158753%78.478.5-0.1
20 Oldenburg158753%79.782.2-2.5
21 AEK Athens105550%79.481.2-1.8
22 Alba Berlin157847%76.377.4-1.1
23 Trabzonspor157847%74.376.7-2.4
24 PAOK157847%75.881.3-5.5
25 Karsiyaka52340%77.872.0+5.8
26 Buducnost104640%74.772.5+2.2
27 Limoges52340%83.081.2+1.8
28 Maccabi Tel Aviv52340%77.079.8-2.8
29 Venezia156940%74.977.7-2.8
30 Nanterre104640%77.280.1-2.9
31 Zielona Gora52340%78.081.0-3.0
32 Besiktas104640%81.084.2-3.2
33 Petrol Olimpija156940%78.381.7-3.3
34 Hapoel M. Jerusalem1551033%80.182.3-2.2
35 Szolnoki Olaj1551033%73.182.7-9.7
36 Spirou Charleroi103730%73.178.2-5.1
37 Le Mans103730%72.178.5-6.4
38 Ulm1541127%77.782.3-4.7
39 Rytas102820%85.688.4-2.8
40 Nancy102820%71.475.9-4.5
41 Bonn102820%83.889.9-6.1
42 BC Steaua Bucuresti102820%67.681.4-13.8
43 Brindisi101910%71.081.5-10.5
44 Volgograd101910%79.791.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2219191676
Neptunas147212062
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