PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 105-101 (OT)
19-23 24-32 26-22 23-15 13-9
Position#18
Record1-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#11
Record3-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game86.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9· Uber Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano
12 Nov 2024
ABE105
MIL101
26 Oct 2023
ABE85
MIL82
10 Jan 2023
ABE83
MIL63
03 Dec 2021
ABE81
MIL76
14 Jan 2021
ABE70
MIL84
06 Jan 2016
ABE83
MIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
82avg 76
H15/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
68avg 76
H17/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
76avg 76
H20/10
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
57-80
57
80
-23
48avg 76
A24/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
65-61
65
61
+4
57avg 76
H27/10
BBL
Paris
#9
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 76
H29/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
70-86
70
86
-16
61avg 76
H31/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 76
A03/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
71-92
71
92
-21
65avg 76
A07/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
96-88
96
88
+8
88avg 76
H09/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
16-23
28-18
20-25
16-15
15-23
16-20
24-20
21-21
20-16
19-25
18-19
13-24
13-15
14-24
17-17
17-14
20-17
17-9
11-21
26-16
18-21
19-28
20-27
19-25
16-26
17-17
18-18
18-18
16-21
24-22
24-26
14-23
18-18
18-22
21-29
22-22
25-22
22-27
27-17
158.1Avg total
75.7Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.285.2158.5-12.012%
Season at home (5)77.084.4161.4-7.420%
Season away (3)67.086.7153.7-19.70%
Last 10 (10)75.782.4158.1-6.730%
Last 5 (5)80.489.0169.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.484.0157.4-10.622%
vs Similar (12)78.776.5155.2+2.258%
vs Weaker (9)89.481.4170.9+8.056%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
63avg 75
A15/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
82-85
82
85
-3
74avg 75
H17/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 75
A20/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
84-96
84
96
-12
69avg 75
H24/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
89-82
89
82
+7
92avg 75
H26/10
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
L
83-88
83
88
-5
70avg 75
A29/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
99-90
99
90
+9
94avg 75
H31/10
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
57-91
57
91
-34
42avg 75
A03/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 75
H07/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 75
H10/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
10-16
21-24
20-26
24-17
25-14
17-17
16-37
21-14
15-23
26-18
21-23
11-23
14-23
34-20
25-30
20-13
19-22
27-26
23-21
21-20
24-32
18-15
20-21
21-14
23-21
22-32
33-23
18-21
11-27
13-18
15-25
24-16
23-24
15-15
23-21
24-20
20-12
22-17
13-29
166.2Avg total
80.9Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.586.4168.9-3.938%
Season at home (5)85.884.2170.0+1.660%
Season away (3)77.090.0167.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)80.985.3166.2-4.450%
Last 5 (5)80.684.6165.2-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.392.7170.0-15.30%
vs Similar (18)83.181.3164.3+1.872%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.977.8165.6+10.188%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -4.7-4.7
Alba BerlinOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H15/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H17/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H20/10
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A24/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/10
BBL
Paris
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H29/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H31/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/11
BBL
75.6Avg total
36.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.379.3-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.539.478.9+0.259%-
Last 30 away (13)38.241.679.8-3.523%-
Last 10 (10)36.339.375.6-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.480.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.941.475.3-7.611%-
vs Similar (12)39.839.479.2+0.458%-
vs Weaker (9)42.840.483.2+2.356%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A15/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H17/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A20/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H24/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H26/10
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A29/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H31/10
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A03/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H07/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H10/11
Lega A
78.0Avg total
38.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.280.1+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.338.682.8+5.778%-
Last 30 away (12)35.740.275.9-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.578.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.483.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.044.070.0-18.00%-
vs Similar (18)41.939.981.8+2.161%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.137.982.0+6.262%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.8
54.0%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.3
28.5%
36.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.611.8
67.0%
78.0%11.8
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.8
48.7%
54.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.0
38.3%
36.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.815.5
78.3%
78.0%15.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLLLWLLLW
Olimpia Milano
WWLWLWLWLL
#18
League position
#11
-7.8
Net rating
-5.5
103.3
Offensive rating
110.0
111.1
Defensive rating
115.5
49.5%
Effective FG%
52.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.5%
3-point %
38.3%
65.5%
Assist %
59.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 110.0Defence111.1 · 115.5Shooting49.5% · 52.0%3-point %28.5% · 38.3%Ball care18.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds32.9% · 30.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alba Berlin wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HUlm96-88
07/11/24ACrvena zvezda71-92
03/11/24ABamberg82-87
31/10/24HAnadolu Efes70-86
29/10/24HParis83-92
27/10/24HBasketball Braunschweig65-61
24/10/24ABaskonia57-80
20/10/24HChemnitz78-81
17/10/24HFenerbahce71-78
15/10/24HLyon-Villeurbanne84-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HVenezia79-78
07/11/24HReal Madrid85-76
03/11/24ATrento57-91
31/10/24HVirtus Bologna99-90
29/10/24ABaskonia83-88
26/10/24HBasket Napoli89-82
24/10/24HAnadolu Efes84-96
20/10/24AScafati83-78
17/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas82-85
15/10/24AOlympiacos68-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %12%20%0%
Points / game73.277.067.0
Allowed / game85.284.486.7
Point differential-12.0-7.4-19.7
Avg total158.5161.4153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%60%0%
Points / game82.585.877.0
Allowed / game86.484.290.0
Point differential-3.9+1.6-13.0
Avg total168.9170.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce97278%79.275.6+3.7
2 Barcelona86275%86.480.8+5.6
3 Zalgiris Kaunas86275%74.972.1+2.8
4 Bayern96367%85.785.8-0.1
5 Olympiacos85362%83.978.1+5.8
6 Panathinaikos85362%86.280.6+5.6
7 Paris85362%82.880.9+1.9
8 Crvena zvezda95456%83.480.7+2.8
9 Monaco95456%82.480.1+2.3
10 Anadolu Efes84450%84.483.0+1.4
11 Baskonia84450%75.675.8-0.1
12 Real Madrid83538%82.882.5+0.2
13 Olimpia Milano83538%82.586.4-3.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv83538%80.184.1-4.0
15 Partizan82625%78.981.2-2.4
16 Virtus Bologna82625%79.183.4-4.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne82625%77.483.8-6.4
18 Alba Berlin81712%73.285.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Alba Berlin1924262313105
Olimpia Milano233222159101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.