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Alba Berlin vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-82
12-18 23-19 22-24 28-21
Position#18
Record0-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game86.0
Alba Berlin 🏆
vs
Olimpia Milano
Position#12
Record1-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game75.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5· Uber Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano
12 Nov 2024
ABE105
MIL101
26 Oct 2023
ABE85
MIL82
10 Jan 2023
ABE83
MIL63
03 Dec 2021
ABE81
MIL76
14 Jan 2021
ABE70
MIL84
06 Jan 2016
ABE83
MIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
81-83
81
83
-2
81avg 81
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
96avg 81
A28/09
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
110-75
110
75
+35
113avg 81
H02/10
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 81
A05/10
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
88-100
88
100
-12
78avg 81
A07/10
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 81
H12/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
W
96-71
96
71
+25
96avg 81
H15/10
German Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
70avg 81
A18/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 81
A20/10
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
96avg 81
H22/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
29-24
16-18
14-15
21-17
23-22
26-19
20-23
30-14
29-26
30-18
21-17
17-19
27-17
7-25
17-19
27-20
25-29
16-19
20-32
21-25
26-26
14-25
25-15
23-17
28-17
25-17
20-20
11-27
15-17
25-23
25-20
16-18
24-29
16-20
19-19
22-27
32-17
22-18
22-18
170.2Avg total
86.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.286.0162.2-9.80%
Season at home (1)86.091.0177.0-5.00%
Season away (3)73.084.3157.3-11.30%
Last 10 (10)86.883.4170.2+3.440%
Last 5 (5)86.283.0169.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.585.8163.2-8.212%
vs Similar (4)90.583.8174.2+6.875%
vs Weaker (18)86.074.4160.4+11.683%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-85
66
85
-19
56avg 76
A21/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
67-55
67
55
+12
63avg 76
H23/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 76
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 76
H01/10
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
79avg 76
A06/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
61avg 76
A08/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
79-68
79
68
+11
86avg 76
H14/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
65-53
65
53
+12
61avg 76
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
59avg 76
A19/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
80avg 76
A22/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
16-26
16-18
7-18
21-9
17-20
10-5
19-21
12-14
20-20
21-25
20-19
17-24
21-16
24-21
24-19
23-19
12-19
19-24
22-14
13-23
22-12
12-23
21-19
9-18
25-9
26-18
19-23
19-17
12-15
13-9
21-12
25-19
17-23
19-25
10-21
22-19
19-12
13-24
25-20
148.0Avg total
73.6Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.775.3148.0-2.733%
Season at home (1)65.053.0118.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)76.586.5163.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)73.674.4148.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)72.472.2144.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.582.0159.5-4.550%
vs Similar (10)76.475.9152.3+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.872.2158.0+13.588%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
Alba BerlinOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/09
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H02/10
BBL
Bayern
#15
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A05/10
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A07/10
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H12/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H15/10
German Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A18/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A20/10
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H22/10
BBL
90.2Avg total
46.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.685.0+3.773%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.340.186.4+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)42.741.183.8+1.675%-
Last 10 (10)46.843.490.2+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.087.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.942.883.6-1.950%-
vs Similar (4)48.242.891.0+5.5100%-
vs Weaker (18)45.139.284.3+5.878%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A21/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/10
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A08/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H14/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A19/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A22/10
Lega A
72.6Avg total
36.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.935.475.4+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.833.773.5+6.165%-
Last 30 away (13)40.237.777.8+2.546%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.772.6+1.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.470.0+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (10)37.037.774.7-0.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.133.875.8+8.371%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.7
55.5%
53.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.6
37.8%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.915.4
81.5%
77.4%15.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.1
56.9%
53.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.6
30.6%
36.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.8
77.5%
77.4%13.8
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLWLLLWWL
Olimpia Milano
WLWWLLWLWL
#18
League position
#12
+4.0
Net rating
-0.8
113.7
Offensive rating
102.8
109.8
Defensive rating
103.6
56.0%
Effective FG%
52.1%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
22.0%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.8%
3-point %
30.6%
66.0%
Assist %
63.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 102.8Defence109.8 · 103.6Shooting56.0% · 52.1%3-point %37.8% · 30.6%Ball care19.4% · 22.0%Off. rebounds31.2% · 29.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
10/01/23Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano83-63
14/10/22Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin74-80 OT
18/01/22Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin84-76
03/12/21Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano81-76
14/01/21Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano70-84
01/12/20Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin75-55
03/02/16Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin91-78
06/01/16Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano83-67
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HVechta98-80
20/10/23AMonaco75-86
18/10/23AVirtus Bologna76-87
15/10/23HBasketball Braunschweig96-71
12/10/23HBaskonia86-91
07/10/23AUlm88-100
05/10/23ABayern68-80
02/10/23HCrailsheim Merlins110-75
28/09/23AHeidelberg90-81
24/05/23AUlm81-83
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23ATortona79-75
19/10/23AReal Madrid71-88
17/10/23HOlympiacos65-53
14/10/23HReggiana79-68
08/10/23ABasket Napoli68-77
06/10/23AFenerbahce82-85 OT
01/10/23HTreviso86-80
23/09/23HVirtus Bologna73-78
23/06/23HVirtus Bologna67-55
21/06/23AVirtus Bologna66-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.286.073.0
Allowed / game86.091.084.3
Point differential-9.8-5.0-11.3
Avg total162.2177.0157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game72.765.076.5
Allowed / game75.353.086.5
Point differential-2.7+12.0-10.0
Avg total148.0118.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona440100%89.571.0+18.5
2 Real Madrid440100%90.876.8+14.0
3 Virtus Bologna43175%83.574.0+9.5
4 Fenerbahce43175%85.878.5+7.2
5 Valencia43175%73.870.5+3.2
6 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%84.882.0+2.8
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv32167%82.779.0+3.7
8 Olympiacos42250%76.878.5-1.8
9 Monaco42250%73.076.0-3.0
10 Bayern42250%71.578.0-6.5
11 Anadolu Efes42250%80.087.8-7.8
12 Partizan52340%86.886.8+0.0
13 Olimpia Milano31233%72.775.3-2.7
14 Baskonia41325%79.585.0-5.5
15 Panathinaikos41325%76.582.0-5.5
16 Crvena zvezda51420%81.881.4+0.4
17 Alba Berlin4040%76.286.0-9.8
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne4040%76.293.0-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1223222885
Olimpia Milano1819242182
← all games of the day
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