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Alba Berlin vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-63
20-12 25-21 15-18 23-12
Position#17
Record5-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game84.4
Alba Berlin 🏆
vs
Olimpia Milano
Position#12
Record6-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game76.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18
European cup2022
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano
12 Nov 2024
ABE105
MIL101
26 Oct 2023
ABE85
MIL82
10 Jan 2023
ABE83
MIL63
03 Dec 2021
ABE81
MIL76
14 Jan 2021
ABE70
MIL84
06 Jan 2016
ABE83
MIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
91-83
91
83
+8
86avg 83
H10/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 83
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
81avg 83
A16/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#4
W
110-83
110
83
+27
117avg 83
A18/12
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
56avg 83
H22/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
86-60
86
60
+26
92avg 83
H27/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 83
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
106avg 83
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
85-84
85
84
+1
88avg 83
H05/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
75avg 83
A08/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
13-29
21-18
30-16
15-18
14-22
23-23
24-22
25-28
19-24
21-20
24-20
32-16
30-20
29-24
19-23
21-19
26-21
16-21
7-22
16-15
21-14
26-20
23-11
15-27
32-22
26-16
18-14
28-17
18-19
27-24
26-14
27-20
27-28
23-19
8-17
23-27
21-17
20-17
16-18
167.9Avg total
87.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.484.4165.7-3.029%
Season at home (8)83.984.4168.2-0.538%
Season away (9)79.184.3163.4-5.222%
Last 10 (10)87.780.2167.9+7.570%
Last 5 (5)88.275.2163.4+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.887.7168.4-6.922%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.880.4162.2+1.344%
vs Weaker (11)95.079.0174.0+16.091%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
81-63
81
63
+18
74avg 71
H11/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 71
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
64avg 71
A15/12
Euroleague
Trento
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 71
A18/12
Lega A
Monaco
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 71
H23/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
101avg 71
H26/12
Lega A
Valencia
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 71
H29/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
96-74
96
74
+22
95avg 71
A02/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
66avg 71
A06/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#12
L
81-87 OT
81
87
-6
no box
A08/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
22-20
25-17
13-13
21-21
19-11
19-27
12-18
26-16
17-13
14-20
14-18
16-21
12-18
19-18
28-20
24-21
10-26
17-15
28-9
36-21
21-11
25-28
14-24
29-22
21-21
21-17
19-19
19-15
21-17
25-18
31-24
15-27
23-17
6-15
22-23
18-23
19-18
21-11
17-23
156.7Avg total
80.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.576.2146.8-5.735%
Season at home (8)71.677.0148.6-5.425%
Season away (9)69.675.6145.1-6.044%
Last 10 (10)80.676.1156.7+4.560%
Last 5 (5)85.881.2167.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.978.9145.8-12.012%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.875.2152.0+1.656%
vs Weaker (13)82.772.8155.5+9.877%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
Alba BerlinOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H10/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A16/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#4
W
62-36
62
36
+26
A18/12
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H27/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H05/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A08/01
BBL
87.3Avg total
45.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.885.1+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.685.2+2.171%-
Last 30 away (16)42.942.084.9+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.387.3+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.286.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)44.346.190.4-1.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.340.080.3+0.344%-
vs Weaker (11)44.639.183.7+5.582%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H13/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/12
Euroleague
Trento
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A18/12
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/12
Euroleague
Varese
#4
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H26/12
Lega A
Valencia
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H29/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A02/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A06/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/01
Lega A
78.2Avg total
41.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.777.3+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.237.278.3+4.062%-
Last 30 away (17)38.538.176.5+0.441%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.278.2+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.482.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.039.976.9-2.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.237.674.8-0.344%-
vs Weaker (13)42.936.479.3+6.562%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.821.3
61.2%
53.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.1
34.7%
36.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.214.3
78.6%
78.5%14.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.6
56.6%
53.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.2
38.1%
36.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
78.5%14.9
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWWWLWLLW
Olimpia Milano
LLWWWWLWLW
#17
League position
#12
+10.7
Net rating
+11.4
116.4
Offensive rating
114.8
105.7
Defensive rating
103.4
57.0%
Effective FG%
56.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.0%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.7%
3-point %
38.1%
68.5%
Assist %
60.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 114.8Defence105.7 · 103.4Shooting57.0% · 56.8%3-point %34.7% · 38.1%Ball care18.6% · 18.0%Off. rebounds33.8% · 28.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
14/10/22Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin74-80 OT
18/01/22Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin84-76
03/12/21Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano81-76
14/01/21Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano70-84
01/12/20Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin75-55
03/02/16Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin91-78
06/01/16Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano83-67
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23ABayern80-79
05/01/23HBaskonia85-84
03/01/23HFrankfurt99-74
30/12/22ALyon-Villeurbanne91-79
27/12/22HSyntainics MBC86-60
22/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-83
18/12/22AUlm110-83
16/12/22AMonaco89-92
14/12/22AVirtus Bologna76-85
10/12/22HBayreuth91-83
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23ABasket Napoli81-87 OT
06/01/23AOlympiacos66-82
02/01/23AVirtus Bologna96-74
29/12/22HValencia90-79
26/12/22HVarese96-84
23/12/22HMonaco79-71
18/12/22ATrento75-77
15/12/22ACrvena zvezda71-67
13/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-77
11/12/22HReggiana81-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW29%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%38%22%
Points / game81.483.979.1
Allowed / game84.484.484.3
Point differential-3.0-0.5-5.2
Avg total165.7168.2163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL35%
HomeLLLWW25%
AwayLLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%25%44%
Points / game70.571.669.6
Allowed / game76.277.075.6
Point differential-5.7-5.4-6.0
Avg total146.8148.6145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %12%12%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1812667%84.477.1+7.4
2 Monaco1812667%81.480.8+0.6
3 Baskonia1711665%85.980.7+5.2
4 Barcelona1711665%80.377.4+2.9
5 Olympiacos1811761%85.276.4+8.7
6 Fenerbahce1710759%82.878.5+4.2
7 Anadolu Efes179853%82.377.5+4.8
8 Zalgiris Kaunas179853%77.077.6-0.6
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv179853%80.581.6-1.1
10 Crvena zvezda189950%75.078.4-3.4
11 Partizan178947%84.584.9-0.5
12 Virtus Bologna178947%77.280.7-3.5
13 Valencia1771041%80.984.4-3.5
14 Bayern1761135%75.178.2-3.1
15 Panathinaikos1761135%78.383.0-4.7
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne1761135%74.179.6-5.6
17 Olimpia Milano1761135%70.576.2-5.7
18 Alba Berlin1751229%81.484.4-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2025152383
Olimpia Milano1221181263
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