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Alba Berlin vs Partizan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-91
28-30 18-21 18-23 26-17
Position#18
Record3-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game91.9
vs
Position#12
Record6-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· Uber Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Partizan
12 Dec 2024
ABE90
PAR91
04 Apr 2024
ABE83
PAR94
07 Oct 2022
ABE100
PAR84
05 Feb 2019
ABE97
PAR74
11 Oct 2017
ABE111
PAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Partizan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#2
W
96-88
96
88
+8
88avg 77
H09/11
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
101avg 77
H12/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
88-115
88
115
-27
76avg 77
A14/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
93-96
93
96
-3
85avg 77
A17/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
84-98
84
98
-14
78avg 77
A21/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
85-103
85
103
-18
80avg 77
H28/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
60-74
60
74
-14
55avg 77
H01/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
84avg 77
A04/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
80-100
80
100
-20
61avg 77
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
62avg 77
A08/12
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
25-22
22-27
27-17
19-23
24-32
26-22
23-15
27-28
17-34
14-34
30-19
33-22
17-29
16-19
27-26
22-23
33-32
13-24
16-19
16-32
20-20
20-25
29-26
13-17
4-23
23-14
20-20
26-18
22-20
20-23
10-17
18-34
19-21
25-24
18-21
16-21
20-14
17-27
14-18
179.1Avg total
84.8Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.991.9171.8-12.121%
Season at home (7)82.189.4171.6-7.329%
Season away (7)77.694.4172.0-16.914%
Last 10 (10)84.894.3179.1-9.530%
Last 5 (5)76.489.0165.4-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.890.1168.8-11.325%
vs Similar (8)76.176.4152.5-0.250%
vs Weaker (6)87.587.0174.5+0.517%
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPartizan
Date
Competition
Dubai
#4
W
82-61
82
61
+21
78avg 79
H10/11
ABA League
Barcelona
#6
L
79-87
79
87
-8
69avg 79
H13/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 79
H15/11
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#17
W
105-78
105
78
+27
110avg 79
A17/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
89-77
89
77
+12
72avg 79
A21/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 79
H28/11
Euroleague
Split
#14
W
110-64
110
64
+46
107avg 79
H30/11
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 79
H03/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
91-73
91
73
+18
91avg 79
H05/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
107-80
107
80
+27
104avg 79
A08/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
19-8
19-17
28-17
23-19
12-30
23-21
21-17
22-19
20-19
23-26
16-24
28-16
21-14
29-26
27-22
19-21
26-18
18-16
26-22
16-25
22-11
12-21
28-13
25-9
28-22
29-20
28-13
22-19
22-22
20-23
20-14
20-20
24-17
20-12
27-24
24-25
34-20
27-13
22-22
166.2Avg total
90.6Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.980.2161.1+0.743%
Season at home (8)80.277.9158.1+2.450%
Season away (6)81.883.3165.2-1.533%
Last 10 (10)90.675.6166.2+15.080%
Last 5 (5)94.073.0167.0+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.054.598.5-10.50%
vs Similar (12)81.181.2162.2-0.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.971.6163.5+20.288%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +5.5+5.5
Alba BerlinPartizan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/11
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H12/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A14/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A17/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A21/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H28/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
17-40
17
40
-23
H01/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A04/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/12
German Cup
90.0Avg total
41.3Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.043.582.5-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.242.280.4-4.040%-
Last 30 away (15)39.844.984.7-5.120%-
Last 10 (10)41.348.790.0-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.844.078.8-9.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.845.383.1-7.619%-
vs Similar (8)38.140.178.2-2.050%-
vs Weaker (6)43.543.386.8+0.233%-
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#4
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H10/11
ABA League
Barcelona
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H13/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/11
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#17
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A17/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A21/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H28/11
Euroleague
Split
#14
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H30/11
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H05/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A08/12
ABA League
81.6Avg total
44.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.038.182.1+5.872%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.136.980.0+6.380%-
Last 30 away (14)44.939.584.4+5.464%-
Last 10 (10)44.337.381.6+7.090%-
Last 5 (5)47.438.085.4+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.051.0103.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (12)40.140.180.2+0.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.435.982.2+10.581%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.2
55.5%
54.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.3
30.7%
36.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.515.3
74.6%
78.0%15.3
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Partizantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Partizan: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.720.0
59.3%
54.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.3
36.0%
36.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.719.1
84.1%
78.0%19.1
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLWLLLLLWW
Partizan
WWWWWWWLLW
#18
League position
#12
-12.4
Net rating
+22.0
104.7
Offensive rating
125.3
117.1
Defensive rating
103.3
52.1%
Effective FG%
56.9%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
20.1%
Turnover %
14.2%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.7%
3-point %
36.0%
65.6%
Assist %
60.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 125.3Defence117.1 · 103.3Shooting52.1% · 56.9%3-point %30.7% · 36.0%Ball care20.1% · 14.2%Off. rebounds30.6% · 31.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Partizan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
4
Partizan wins
DateGameScore
04/04/24Alba Berlin v Partizan83-94
17/11/23Partizan v Alba Berlin89-74
02/03/23Partizan v Alba Berlin88-74
07/10/22Alba Berlin v Partizan100-84
05/02/19Alba Berlin v Partizan97-74
09/01/19Partizan v Alba Berlin78-66
14/11/17Partizan v Alba Berlin80-96
11/10/17Alba Berlin v Partizan111-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24ABamberg67-80
06/12/24AMonaco80-100
04/12/24AVirtus Bologna90-88 OT
01/12/24HLudwigsburg60-74
28/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv85-103
21/11/24AReal Madrid84-98
17/11/24AVechta93-96
14/11/24ABayern88-115
12/11/24HOlimpia Milano105-101 OT
09/11/24HUlm96-88
Partizanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AIgokea107-80
05/12/24HPanathinaikos91-73
03/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas84-78
30/11/24HSplit110-64
28/11/24HOlympiacos78-70
21/11/24ACrvena zvezda89-77
17/11/24AMornar Bar105-78
15/11/24HOlimpia Milano81-88
13/11/24HBarcelona79-87
10/11/24HDubai82-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL21%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game79.982.177.6
Allowed / game91.989.494.4
Point differential-12.1-7.3-16.9
Avg total171.8171.6172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%14%14%
Partizan
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW43%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game80.980.281.8
Allowed / game80.277.983.3
Point differential+0.7+2.4-1.5
Avg total161.1158.1165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%12%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1411379%86.581.7+4.8
2 Monaco1510567%86.880.9+5.9
3 Fenerbahce1510567%78.978.3+0.5
4 Olympiacos149564%85.780.8+4.9
5 Bayern149564%89.187.1+1.9
6 Panathinaikos148657%85.283.1+2.1
7 Olimpia Milano148657%87.987.0+0.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas148657%75.674.9+0.7
9 Barcelona148657%86.485.8+0.6
10 Crvena zvezda147750%84.582.6+1.9
11 Anadolu Efes147750%84.184.1+0.0
12 Real Madrid146843%83.482.6+0.8
13 Partizan146843%80.980.2+0.7
14 Baskonia146843%77.479.6-2.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne145936%81.585.2-3.7
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1441029%83.987.4-3.5
17 Alba Berlin1431121%79.991.9-12.1
18 Virtus Bologna1421214%80.885.6-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2818182690
Partizan3021231791
← all games of the day
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