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Real Madrid vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 98-84
23-22 32-33 24-13 19-16
Position#8
Record4-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#18
Record2-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game89.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11· WiZink Center
European cup2024
Meetings · Real Madrid v Alba Berlin
21 Nov 2024
MAD98
ABE84
23 Nov 2023
MAD99
ABE75
17 Nov 2022
MAD90
ABE72
14 Dec 2021
MAD87
ABE64
22 Dec 2020
MAD91
ABE62
12 Mar 2015
MAD93
ABE62
22 Feb 2013
MAD77
ABE72
12 Mar 2009
MAD83
ABE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
104avg 84
H24/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
86-61
86
61
+25
83avg 84
H27/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-79
69
79
-10
67avg 84
A29/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
78-79
78
79
-1
62avg 84
A31/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
85-64
85
64
+21
82avg 84
A03/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
76-85
76
85
-9
69avg 84
A07/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 84
H10/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
98-86
98
86
+12
97avg 84
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
58avg 84
H14/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 84
H17/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
24-19
25-25
24-18
22-13
25-8
16-19
23-21
21-17
13-19
25-20
10-23
23-21
20-15
21-19
14-24
22-11
18-20
26-17
19-16
16-24
24-23
15-15
21-23
17-16
22-20
20-18
24-23
28-25
25-24
27-18
18-19
6-19
19-28
24-11
15-16
28-13
23-12
15-34
19-19
157.4Avg total
81.9Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.482.0164.4+0.440%
Season at home (5)88.080.8168.8+7.280%
Season away (5)76.883.2160.0-6.40%
Last 10 (10)81.975.5157.4+6.460%
Last 5 (5)81.280.0161.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar (10)81.582.6164.1-1.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.777.6166.3+11.183%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
L
57-80
57
80
-23
48avg 77
A24/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
65-61
65
61
+4
57avg 77
H27/10
BBL
Paris
#9
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 77
H29/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
70-86
70
86
-16
61avg 77
H31/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 77
A03/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
71-92
71
92
-21
65avg 77
A07/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
96-88
96
88
+8
88avg 77
H09/11
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
101avg 77
H12/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
88-115
88
115
-27
76avg 77
A14/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
93-96
93
96
-3
85avg 77
A17/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
13-15
14-24
17-17
17-14
20-17
17-9
11-21
26-16
18-21
19-28
20-27
19-25
16-26
17-17
18-18
18-18
16-21
24-22
24-26
14-23
18-18
18-22
21-29
22-22
25-22
22-27
27-17
19-23
24-32
26-22
23-15
27-28
17-34
14-34
30-19
33-22
17-29
16-19
27-26
170.8Avg total
81.0Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.989.8167.7-11.920%
Season at home (6)81.787.2168.8-5.533%
Season away (4)72.293.8166.0-21.50%
Last 10 (10)81.089.8170.8-8.830%
Last 5 (5)90.698.4189.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.688.4166.0-10.727%
vs Similar (11)80.578.6159.1+1.855%
vs Weaker (8)87.684.8172.4+2.938%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
Real MadridAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H24/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H27/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A29/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A31/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A03/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A07/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H14/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H17/11
ACB
77.5Avg total
41.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.338.882.1+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.938.283.1+6.784%-
Last 30 away (11)40.539.980.4+0.545%-
Last 10 (10)41.835.777.5+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (10)43.441.885.2+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.236.479.7+6.889%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A24/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/10
BBL
Paris
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H29/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H31/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/11
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H12/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A14/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A17/11
BBL
84.2Avg total
39.2Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.582.0-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.241.681.8-1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)38.643.682.3-5.014%-
Last 10 (10)39.245.084.2-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.250.693.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.644.580.2-8.99%-
vs Similar (11)40.740.581.2+0.355%-
vs Weaker (8)43.142.685.8+0.538%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.219.1
59.3%
54.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.6
32.7%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.814.1
83.9%
78.0%14.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.1
55.2%
54.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.6
30.3%
36.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.213.0
67.7%
78.0%13.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWLWLLWW
Alba Berlin
LLWWLLLLWL
#8
League position
#18
+9.2
Net rating
-11.4
109.7
Offensive rating
104.0
100.5
Defensive rating
115.4
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.7%
3-point %
30.3%
59.6%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 104.0Defence100.5 · 115.4Shooting54.4% · 51.5%3-point %32.7% · 30.3%Ball care18.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds26.2% · 29.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Real Madrid wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HForca Lleida85-78
14/11/24HAnadolu Efes64-74
12/11/24HVirtus Bologna98-86
10/11/24HGran Canaria83-77
07/11/24AOlimpia Milano76-85
03/11/24AMurcia85-64
31/10/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-79
29/10/24AOlympiacos69-79
27/10/24HManresa86-61
24/10/24HCrvena zvezda95-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24AVechta93-96
14/11/24ABayern88-115
12/11/24HOlimpia Milano105-101 OT
09/11/24HUlm96-88
07/11/24ACrvena zvezda71-92
03/11/24ABamberg82-87
31/10/24HAnadolu Efes70-86
29/10/24HParis83-92
27/10/24HBasketball Braunschweig65-61
24/10/24ABaskonia57-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%80%0%
Points / game82.488.076.8
Allowed / game82.080.883.2
Point differential+0.4+7.2-6.4
Avg total164.4168.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game77.981.772.2
Allowed / game89.887.293.8
Point differential-11.9-5.5-21.5
Avg total167.7168.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce119282%79.275.2+4.0
2 Olympiacos118373%86.579.7+6.7
3 Paris118373%85.581.4+4.2
4 Panathinaikos107370%86.580.9+5.6
5 Barcelona107370%86.582.8+3.7
6 Bayern107370%88.686.0+2.6
7 Monaco117464%84.780.7+4.0
8 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%74.173.2+0.9
9 Anadolu Efes116555%83.882.3+1.5
10 Crvena zvezda115645%82.081.1+0.9
11 Olimpia Milano115645%86.187.5-1.5
12 Real Madrid104640%82.482.0+0.4
13 Baskonia114736%75.779.5-3.7
14 Partizan113827%80.082.0-2.0
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%82.387.1-4.8
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne113827%80.085.5-5.5
17 Alba Berlin102820%77.989.8-11.9
18 Virtus Bologna112918%79.884.8-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2332241998
Alba Berlin2233131684
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