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Partizan vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 89-74
18-20 25-20 22-15 24-19
Position#11
Record3-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#18
Record1-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game84.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9· Beogradska arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Partizan v Alba Berlin
25 Mar 2025
PAR85
ABE71
17 Nov 2023
PAR89
ABE74
02 Mar 2023
PAR88
ABE74
09 Jan 2019
PAR78
ABE66
14 Nov 2017
PAR80
ABE96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Partizan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PartizanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPartizan
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
83-92
83
92
-9
69avg 83
H17/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
87avg 83
A19/10
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 83
A23/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
88-86
88
86
+2
80avg 83
H26/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
98-87
98
87
+11
92avg 83
H30/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#9
L
83-84
83
84
-1
81avg 83
A03/11
Euroleague
Split
#8
W
76-53
76
53
+23
74avg 83
A05/11
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
80avg 83
H09/11
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
89avg 83
H12/11
ABA League
Bayern
#15
L
85-94
85
94
-9
76avg 83
A15/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
18-21
26-25
23-23
21-28
22-21
26-10
16-26
11-21
18-19
32-29
25-19
22-13
20-29
11-23
35-21
17-25
30-11
25-27
26-24
23-23
19-25
24-15
17-21
22-13
22-16
20-11
12-13
23-27
24-29
16-13
22-15
12-18
22-30
23-28
32-15
32-25
19-28
12-17
22-24
172.4Avg total
86.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.987.0172.9-1.138%
Season at home (3)85.387.3172.7-2.067%
Season away (5)86.286.8173.0-0.620%
Last 10 (10)86.785.7172.4+1.040%
Last 5 (5)83.681.2164.8+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar (16)84.785.6170.3-0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.475.2165.5+15.269%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
70avg 82
A18/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 82
A20/10
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
96avg 82
H22/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 82
H26/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
114-77
114
77
+37
121avg 82
A30/10
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 82
A02/11
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
97-81
97
81
+16
98avg 82
A06/11
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-99
85
99
-14
75avg 82
H10/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
92avg 82
H12/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
68-73
68
73
-5
57avg 82
H15/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
15-17
25-23
25-20
16-18
24-29
16-20
19-19
22-27
32-17
22-18
22-18
12-18
23-19
22-24
28-21
39-14
17-25
29-24
29-14
14-15
25-26
15-15
17-23
29-27
20-22
26-16
22-16
26-27
21-33
23-22
15-17
22-16
20-15
24-13
26-20
13-28
22-15
20-10
13-20
166.9Avg total
86.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.884.6161.4-7.912%
Season at home (4)81.086.2167.2-5.225%
Season away (4)72.583.0155.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)86.180.8166.9+5.350%
Last 5 (5)82.679.2161.8+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.884.6161.3-7.811%
vs Similar (4)90.583.8174.2+6.875%
vs Weaker (17)89.977.0166.9+12.982%
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
PartizanAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PartizanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H17/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/10
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A23/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#16
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H26/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H30/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A03/11
Euroleague
Split
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A05/11
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H09/11
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H12/11
ABA League
Bayern
#15
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A15/11
Euroleague
85.8Avg total
41.3Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.584.6+3.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.640.986.4+4.750%-
Last 30 away (14)42.340.182.4+2.143%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.585.8-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)43.646.890.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.049.092.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (16)45.142.887.8+2.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.837.280.0+5.754%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A18/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A20/10
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H22/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A30/10
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/11
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/11
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H10/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H12/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/11
Euroleague
85.8Avg total
42.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.687.6+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.942.788.7+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)44.142.586.5+1.660%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.585.8-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.887.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.045.084.0-6.011%-
vs Similar (4)48.242.891.0+5.5100%-
vs Weaker (17)47.441.388.7+6.176%-
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Partizantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Partizan: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.321.0
57.9%
53.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.0
39.1%
36.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.716.5
79.7%
77.4%16.5
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.3
55.8%
53.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.0
36.4%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.914.7
82.1%
77.4%14.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Partizan
LLWWLWWLLL
Alba Berlin
LWLWLWWWLL
#11
League position
#18
+1.1
Net rating
+7.3
117.0
Offensive rating
113.1
115.9
Defensive rating
105.8
58.2%
Effective FG%
55.2%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.4%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.1%
3-point %
36.4%
61.7%
Assist %
63.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 113.1Defence115.9 · 105.8Shooting58.2% · 55.2%3-point %39.1% · 36.4%Ball care15.8% · 19.4%Off. rebounds23.4% · 33.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Partizan   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Partizan wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
02/03/23Partizan v Alba Berlin88-74
07/10/22Alba Berlin v Partizan100-84
05/02/19Alba Berlin v Partizan97-74
09/01/19Partizan v Alba Berlin78-66
14/11/17Partizan v Alba Berlin80-96
11/10/17Alba Berlin v Partizan111-85
Partizanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23ABayern85-94
12/11/23HIgokea89-91
09/11/23HFenerbahce85-84
05/11/23ASplit76-53
03/11/23ABaskonia83-84
30/10/23HCrvena zvezda98-87
26/10/23HCrvena zvezda88-86
23/10/23AMega Basket86-88
19/10/23AOlympiacos94-98 OT
17/10/23HBarcelona83-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HLyon-Villeurbanne68-73
12/11/23HBasketball Braunschweig92-64
10/11/23HPanathinaikos85-99
06/11/23ATubingen97-81
02/11/23AValencia71-79
30/10/23AGottingen114-77
26/10/23HOlimpia Milano85-82
22/10/23HVechta98-80
20/10/23AMonaco75-86
18/10/23AVirtus Bologna76-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Partizan
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game85.985.386.2
Allowed / game87.087.386.8
Point differential-1.1-2.0-0.6
Avg total172.9172.7173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL12%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game76.881.072.5
Allowed / game84.686.283.0
Point differential-7.9-5.2-10.5
Avg total161.4167.2155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%86.973.9+13.0
2 Barcelona97278%81.474.0+7.4
3 Virtus Bologna96367%83.381.1+2.2
4 Maccabi Tel Aviv85362%83.884.5-0.8
5 Olympiacos95456%77.875.8+2.0
6 Panathinaikos95456%81.780.1+1.6
7 Monaco95456%78.477.7+0.8
8 Fenerbahce95456%79.078.7+0.3
9 Valencia95456%72.973.1-0.2
10 Baskonia95456%82.282.7-0.4
11 Zalgiris Kaunas94544%80.782.0-1.3
12 Anadolu Efes94544%78.886.1-7.3
13 Partizan83538%85.987.0-1.1
14 Crvena zvezda93633%81.678.3+3.2
15 Olimpia Milano93633%78.977.2+1.7
16 Bayern93633%75.379.3-4.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne92722%78.287.0-8.8
18 Alba Berlin81712%76.884.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Partizan1825222489
Alba Berlin2020151974
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