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Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 115-88
28-27 34-17 34-14 19-30
Position#7
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game85.8
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game87.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 10· SAP Garden
European cup2024
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 79
A15/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
109-107
109
107
+2
107avg 79
H17/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
75-79
75
79
-4
72avg 79
A19/10
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
47avg 79
H25/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
70-69
70
69
+1
63avg 79
H27/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 79
A29/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 79
A01/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
90-72
90
72
+18
87avg 79
A03/11
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
74avg 79
H07/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 79
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
17-25
20-22
26-15
24-21
30-26
27-31
28-29
19-17
16-23
20-19
20-20
20-19
12-24
27-18
25-19
18-18
10-15
21-20
21-16
19-25
21-8
28-27
19-24
19-17
24-16
21-16
20-22
17-20
24-15
29-19
20-18
19-7
19-21
20-19
19-27
21-13
9-22
28-32
18-20
163.9Avg total
83.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.785.8171.4-0.167%
Season at home (4)91.887.5179.2+4.2100%
Season away (5)80.884.4165.2-3.640%
Last 10 (10)83.080.9163.9+2.170%
Last 5 (5)82.877.6160.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.787.0166.7-7.333%
vs Similar (11)80.878.3159.1+2.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.174.3158.3+9.880%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
68avg 76
H17/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
76avg 76
H20/10
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
57-80
57
80
-23
48avg 76
A24/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
65-61
65
61
+4
57avg 76
H27/10
BBL
Paris
#9
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 76
H29/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
70-86
70
86
-16
61avg 76
H31/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 76
A03/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
71-92
71
92
-21
65avg 76
A07/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
96-88
96
88
+8
88avg 76
H09/11
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
101avg 76
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
15-23
16-20
24-20
21-21
20-16
19-25
18-19
13-24
13-15
14-24
17-17
17-14
20-17
17-9
11-21
26-16
18-21
19-28
20-27
19-25
16-26
17-17
18-18
18-18
16-21
24-22
24-26
14-23
18-18
18-22
21-29
22-22
25-22
22-27
27-17
19-23
24-32
26-22
23-15
162.4Avg total
77.8Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.887.0163.8-10.222%
Season at home (6)81.787.2168.8-5.533%
Season away (3)67.086.7153.7-19.70%
Last 10 (10)77.884.6162.4-6.830%
Last 5 (5)84.890.8175.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.685.7162.3-9.130%
vs Similar (11)80.578.6159.1+1.855%
vs Weaker (9)89.481.4170.9+8.056%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A15/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H17/10
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A19/10
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H25/10
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H27/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A29/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A01/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A03/11
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H07/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A12/11
Euroleague
74.9Avg total
37.3Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.278.1+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.538.180.6+4.479%-
Last 30 away (16)37.538.375.8-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)37.337.674.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.871.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.041.773.7-9.70%-
vs Similar (11)40.038.878.8+1.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.236.677.8+4.673%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H17/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H20/10
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A24/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/10
BBL
Paris
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H29/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H31/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/11
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/11
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H12/11
Euroleague
78.2Avg total
37.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.280.6-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.340.981.2-0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)38.241.679.8-3.523%-
Last 10 (10)37.041.278.2-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.246.084.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.842.877.6-8.010%-
vs Similar (11)40.740.581.2+0.355%-
vs Weaker (9)42.840.483.2+2.356%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.817.7
57.5%
54.5%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.9
33.8%
36.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.016.9
84.5%
78.0%16.9
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.1
54.2%
54.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.7
30.3%
36.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.812.1
68.0%
78.0%12.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWWWWLWL
Alba Berlin
WWLLLLWLLL
#7
League position
#18
+2.7
Net rating
-7.8
115.4
Offensive rating
103.9
112.7
Defensive rating
111.6
54.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.8%
3-point %
30.3%
59.8%
Assist %
64.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 103.9Defence112.7 · 111.6Shooting54.2% · 50.8%3-point %33.8% · 30.3%Ball care18.0% · 18.8%Off. rebounds34.1% · 31.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bayern wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
14/06/24Alba Berlin v Bayern82-88
12/06/24Alba Berlin v Bayern63-67
10/06/24Bayern v Alba Berlin70-79
08/06/24Bayern v Alba Berlin79-67
10/05/24Alba Berlin v Bayern59-53
05/05/24Bayern v Alba Berlin77-53
18/01/24Alba Berlin v Bayern65-82
05/10/23Bayern v Alba Berlin80-68
17/03/23Bayern v Alba Berlin75-76
04/03/23Alba Berlin v Bayern71-76
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/24AFenerbahce76-87
07/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas77-74
03/11/24ABasketball Braunschweig90-72
01/11/24ALyon-Villeurbanne84-71
29/10/24AVirtus Bologna87-84
27/10/24HWurzburg70-69
25/10/24HOlympiacos84-80
19/10/24ASyntainics MBC75-79
17/10/24HParis109-107
15/10/24APartizan78-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/24HOlimpia Milano105-101 OT
09/11/24HUlm96-88
07/11/24ACrvena zvezda71-92
03/11/24ABamberg82-87
31/10/24HAnadolu Efes70-86
29/10/24HParis83-92
27/10/24HBasketball Braunschweig65-61
24/10/24ABaskonia57-80
20/10/24HChemnitz78-81
17/10/24HFenerbahce71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game85.791.880.8
Allowed / game85.887.584.4
Point differential-0.1+4.2-3.6
Avg total171.4179.2165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %22%33%0%
Points / game76.881.767.0
Allowed / game87.087.286.7
Point differential-10.2-5.5-19.7
Avg total163.8168.8153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %11%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona97278%86.480.6+5.9
2 Fenerbahce97278%79.275.6+3.7
3 Olympiacos107370%85.980.8+5.1
4 Panathinaikos96367%87.081.3+5.7
5 Paris96367%82.880.4+2.3
6 Zalgiris Kaunas96367%75.173.3+1.8
7 Bayern96367%85.785.8-0.1
8 Monaco95456%82.480.1+2.3
9 Anadolu Efes95456%84.983.1+1.8
10 Crvena zvezda105550%82.580.3+2.2
11 Real Madrid94544%84.482.9+1.6
12 Baskonia94544%76.677.2-0.7
13 Olimpia Milano93633%84.688.4-3.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv103730%81.986.0-4.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne103730%78.883.8-5.0
16 Partizan92722%78.981.9-3.0
17 Virtus Bologna92722%79.985.0-5.1
18 Alba Berlin92722%76.887.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern28343419115
Alba Berlin2717143088
← all games of the day
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