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Alftanes vs Breidablik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 106-100 (OT)
36-22 16-23 18-22 19-22 17-11
Position#6
Record8-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#11
Record2-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game97.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 14· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Thorl
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 74
A02/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
79avg 74
H06/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
78-97
78
97
-19
60avg 74
A17/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
73-67
73
67
+6
63avg 74
H23/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
no box
A01/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
90-67
90
67
+23
91avg 74
H07/12
Premier league
Fjolnir
#12
W
92-78
92
78
+14
86avg 74
H11/12
Icelandic Cup
Hottur
#8
L
73-78
73
78
-5
62avg 74
A14/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 74
A05/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
86avg 74
A11/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
23-23
19-19
20-18
25-12
23-25
20-13
18-29
17-20
16-27
24-24
21-26
18-23
19-19
20-13
16-12
17-17
17-23
27-26
14-9
23-13
20-23
23-20
24-11
28-19
21-18
13-21
30-20
14-22
25-22
13-17
21-17
22-20
23-17
9-15
26-16
27-19
18-23
27-21
12-24
161.4Avg total
82.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.977.7159.6+4.262%
Season at home (6)81.773.5155.2+8.283%
Season away (7)82.181.3163.4+0.943%
Last 10 (10)82.578.9161.4+3.660%
Last 5 (5)83.875.6159.4+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.077.7158.7+3.367%
vs Similar (7)79.380.0159.3-0.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)89.072.3161.3+16.7100%
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreidablik
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#9
L
77-92
77
92
-15
63avg 73
H02/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
93-99
93
99
-6
77avg 73
H10/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
104-120
104
120
-16
94avg 73
A17/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
87-69
87
69
+18
79avg 73
H24/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
77avg 73
A30/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
70avg 73
H07/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 73
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
L
73-97
73
97
-24
54avg 73
H14/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 73
A04/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
61avg 73
H11/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
23-21
13-24
25-21
21-24
26-22
17-23
29-30
25-32
25-29
17-32
37-27
16-17
26-22
24-15
21-15
21-25
27-20
22-31
16-24
19-29
26-27
25-25
15-29
18-24
18-25
23-17
22-23
22-28
14-28
20-19
17-22
24-23
29-23
26-19
16-21
12-22
15-27
14-19
37-18
180.7Avg total
85.9Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.897.8181.7-14.015%
Season at home (8)80.996.4177.2-15.512%
Season away (5)88.6100.2188.8-11.620%
Last 10 (10)85.994.8180.7-8.920%
Last 5 (5)82.493.6176.0-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)87.0103.4190.4-16.39%
vs Similar (6)100.296.7196.8+3.550%
vs Weaker (1)109.0112.0221.0-3.00%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
AlftanesBreidablik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A02/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H06/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H23/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A01/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/12
Premier league
Fjolnir
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H11/12
Icelandic Cup
Hottur
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A05/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/01
Premier league
82.2Avg total
41.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)41.641.683.2+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (8)43.041.584.5+1.562%-
Last 30 away (7)40.041.781.7-1.743%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.982.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.283.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.040.784.7+3.367%-
vs Similar (7)39.642.682.1-3.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.036.081.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H02/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H10/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A17/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H24/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A30/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H07/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H14/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A04/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H11/01
Premier league
91.7Avg total
42.3Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.152.497.5-7.330%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.650.594.1-6.835%-
Last 30 away (13)47.055.0102.0-8.023%-
Last 10 (10)42.349.491.7-7.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.451.290.6-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)43.852.896.6-9.027%-
vs Similar (6)49.250.599.7-1.350%-
vs Weaker (1)58.060.0118.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.422.4
50.5%
51.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.0
35.9%
34.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.012.7
74.7%
74.4%12.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breidabliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.5
50.5%
51.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.011.6
30.5%
34.2%34.8
🏀 Free throws16.613.6
81.9%
74.4%13.6
They take 74.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
LWLWWWWLWL
Breidablik
LWLLLLWLLL
#6
League position
#11
+5.3
Net rating
-9.3
104.5
Offensive rating
99.1
99.3
Defensive rating
108.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
48.1%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.6%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.9%
3-point %
30.5%
55.6%
Assist %
50.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 99.1Defence99.3 · 108.4Shooting51.6% · 48.1%3-point %35.9% · 30.5%Ball care15.7% · 17.6%Off. rebounds23.1% · 23.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Alftanes   ■ Breidablik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alftanes wins
0
Breidablik wins
DateGameScore
19/10/23Breidablik v Alftanes71-91
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24AGrindavik84-87
05/01/24ATindastoll80-68
14/12/23AHottur73-78
11/12/23HFjolnir92-78
07/12/23HHaukar90-67
01/12/23AStjarnan90-84 OT
23/11/23HValur73-67
17/11/23AKeflavik78-97
06/11/23HHamar86-79
02/11/23AThorl79-84
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24HHottur78-86
04/01/24AHaukar95-86
14/12/23HStjarnan73-97
10/12/23HTindastoll81-89
07/12/23HValur85-110
30/11/23AKeflavik86-100
24/11/23HHamar87-69
17/11/23AThorl104-120
10/11/23HNjardvik93-99
02/11/23HTindastoll77-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game81.981.782.1
Allowed / game77.773.581.3
Point differential+4.2+8.2+0.9
Avg total159.6155.2163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Breidablik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL15%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %15%12%20%
Points / game83.880.988.6
Allowed / game97.896.4100.2
Point differential-14.0-15.5-11.6
Avg total181.7177.2188.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur1310377%93.583.5+10.0
2 Keflavik139469%95.688.8+6.8
3 Njardvik139469%93.988.0+5.9
4 Thorl139469%89.889.4+0.5
5 Alftanes138562%81.977.7+4.2
6 Tindastoll137654%86.483.8+2.5
7 Stjarnan137654%86.885.2+1.6
8 Grindavik137654%90.189.5+0.6
9 Hottur137654%83.083.5-0.5
10 Haukar1331023%88.290.4-2.2
11 Breidablik1321115%83.897.8-14.0
12 Hamar130130%83.999.5-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Alftanes3616181917106
Breidablik2223222211100
← all games of the day
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