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Stjarnan vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 84-90 (OT)
17-17 23-17 26-27 9-14 9-15
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game78.2
IcelandPremier leagueRound 9· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stjarnan v Alftanes
30 Mar 2027
STJA v ALFT
upcoming
19 Dec 2025
STJA108
ALFT104
15 Dec 2025
STJA94
ALFT74
07 Mar 2025
STJA116
ALFT76
01 Dec 2023
STJA84
ALFT90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Valur
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
no box
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
no box
H14/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 75
A05/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
59avg 75
H12/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
90-80
90
80
+10
79avg 75
A19/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
87-81
87
81
+6
81avg 75
H26/10
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 75
A02/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
A09/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
89-79
89
79
+10
87avg 75
H18/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
72-89
72
89
-17
57avg 75
A23/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
33-29
23-16
18-29
15-19
16-13
21-25
16-17
18-20
23-21
24-20
23-30
17-22
22-19
20-19
21-24
17-28
25-15
26-19
22-18
26-26
12-28
22-17
27-10
24-24
16-23
21-12
25-18
17-22
23-10
16-21
14-17
25-21
27-22
22-16
15-20
12-21
21-19
21-29
18-20
166.2Avg total
83.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.582.4166.9+2.162%
Season at home (3)85.381.3166.7+4.067%
Season away (5)84.083.0167.0+1.060%
Last 10 (10)83.382.9166.2+0.450%
Last 5 (5)83.680.8164.4+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.188.2170.2-6.123%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.591.6179.1-4.142%
vs Weaker (5)98.084.6182.6+13.4100%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
H31/10
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
L
65-70
65
70
-5
30avg 71
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 71
H12/10
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 71
A19/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
90-79
90
79
+11
93avg 71
H26/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 71
A02/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
79avg 71
H06/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
78-97
78
97
-19
60avg 71
A17/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
73-67
73
67
+6
63avg 71
H23/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
20-33
15-24
38-17
20-26
18-20
16-11
11-13
27-17
23-21
16-23
20-18
32-20
12-15
26-18
21-18
22-22
26-15
19-21
23-21
17-24
23-23
19-19
20-18
25-12
23-25
20-13
18-29
17-20
16-27
24-24
21-26
18-23
19-19
20-13
16-12
162.0Avg total
81.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.078.2159.2+2.862%
Season at home (5)80.074.8154.8+5.280%
Season away (3)82.784.0166.7-1.333%
Last 10 (9)81.380.7162.0+0.756%
Last 5 (5)81.281.2162.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.573.0152.5+6.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.082.5160.5-4.525%
vs Weaker (2)88.575.0163.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
StjarnanAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H14/04
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A05/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H12/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A19/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H26/10
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A02/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A09/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H18/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A23/11
Premier league
82.8Avg total
40.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.445.087.4-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.143.684.7-2.631%-
Last 30 away (14)44.046.690.6-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.482.8-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.283.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.846.486.2-6.515%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.244.685.8-3.325%-
vs Weaker (5)52.042.494.4+9.680%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
31-59
31
59
-28
H31/10
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H12/10
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A19/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H26/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A02/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H06/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H23/11
Premier league
84.1Avg total
41.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)41.043.184.1-2.144%-
Last 30 at home (6)42.043.285.2-1.250%-
Last 30 away (3)39.043.082.0-4.033%-
Last 10 (9)41.043.184.1-2.144%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.083.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.540.083.5+3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.844.284.0-4.525%-
vs Weaker (2)46.036.082.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.1 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.920.6
49.1%
51.2%41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.3
30.7%
34.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.315.1
74.6%
74.4%15.1
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.224.9
51.6%
51.2%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.45.8
29.7%
34.2%17.2
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.6%
74.4%13.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
LWWWWWLLLL
Alftanes
WLWLWWWLL
#7
League position
#6
+2.1
Net rating
+4.1
105.0
Offensive rating
100.6
102.9
Defensive rating
96.5
47.8%
Effective FG%
49.5%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.7%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.7%
3-point %
29.7%
59.8%
Assist %
51.4%
50%
Form (last 10/9)
56%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 100.6Defence102.9 · 96.5Shooting47.8% · 49.5%3-point %30.7% · 29.7%Ball care14.5% · 13.7%Off. rebounds29.6% · 18.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/9)50% · 56%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stjarnan wins
0
Alftanes wins
No previous meetings.
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23AHottur72-89
18/11/23HHaukar89-79
09/11/23ATindastoll84-78 OT
02/11/23AValur86-77
26/10/23HKeflavik87-81
19/10/23AHamar90-80
12/10/23HThorl80-84
05/10/23ANjardvik88-91
14/04/23HValur68-74
11/04/23AValur89-96
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HValur73-67
17/11/23AKeflavik78-97
06/11/23HHamar86-79
02/11/23AThorl79-84
26/10/23HNjardvik90-79
19/10/23ABreidablik91-71
12/10/23HGrindavik86-79
08/10/23HTindastoll65-70
31/10/21HNjardvik84-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game84.585.384.0
Allowed / game82.481.383.0
Point differential+2.1+4.0+1.0
Avg total166.9166.7167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Alftanes
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game81.080.082.7
Allowed / game78.274.884.0
Point differential+2.8+5.2-1.3
Avg total159.2154.8166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Njardvik97278%96.786.8+9.9
2 Valur96367%90.382.4+7.9
3 Keflavik96367%93.288.4+4.8
4 Thorl96367%88.888.7+0.1
5 Alftanes85362%81.078.2+2.8
6 Stjarnan85362%84.582.4+2.1
7 Tindastoll95456%86.784.3+2.3
8 Hottur95456%85.985.9+0.0
9 Grindavik94544%92.293.9-1.7
10 Haukar93633%93.691.1+2.4
11 Breidablik91811%84.399.2-14.9
12 Hamar9090%83.798.9-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Stjarnan1723269984
Alftanes171727141590
← all games of the day
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