PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alkar vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 53-76
12-22 16-15 10-22 15-17
Position#11
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#5
Record7-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game71.6
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 11· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb
22 Jan 2027
ALKA v DINA
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
ALKA77
DINA72
11 Oct 2025
ALKA74
DINA72
02 May 2025
ALKA63
DINA62
08 Dec 2024
ALKA88
DINA80
20 Apr 2024
ALKA79
DINA100
03 Dec 2023
ALKA53
DINA76
29 Mar 2023
ALKA75
DINA85
17 Dec 2022
ALKA74
DINA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
L
63-78
63
78
-15
60avg 68
H07/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
73-106
73
106
-33
57avg 68
A11/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 68
A15/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
no box
H21/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
58-85
58
85
-27
47avg 68
A28/10
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 68
H04/11
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
55avg 68
A13/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
73avg 68
H20/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
80avg 68
A25/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
77avg 68
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
12-23
11-14
18-21
17-34
19-25
19-22
18-25
24-22
15-31
20-20
16-10
14-20
21-25
19-21
25-13
12-22
18-19
11-20
17-24
16-18
25-23
18-26
24-28
18-26
14-26
12-21
21-7
14-18
21-22
23-14
15-27
24-13
21-24
18-22
12-19
24-28
18-18
17-19
19-16
158.8Avg total
73.3Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.586.5162.0-11.020%
Season at home (4)77.285.5162.8-8.225%
Season away (6)74.387.2161.5-12.817%
Last 10 (10)73.385.5158.8-12.210%
Last 5 (5)74.883.0157.8-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.292.3163.6-21.10%
vs Similar (15)85.084.2169.2+0.840%
vs Weaker (5)82.285.8168.0-3.640%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 85
A07/10
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
106-61
106
61
+45
115avg 85
H10/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
60-74
60
74
-14
52avg 85
A15/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
91-64
91
64
+27
101avg 85
H22/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
90-80
90
80
+10
95avg 85
A28/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
83-80
83
80
+3
82avg 85
H04/11
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
86-72
86
72
+14
85avg 85
H11/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
68-75
68
75
-7
65avg 85
A19/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
54avg 85
H26/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#11
W
95-81
95
81
+14
98avg 85
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
24-14
26-20
23-22
29-17
26-15
26-10
25-19
14-19
14-19
13-24
19-12
22-15
23-25
26-8
20-16
23-23
22-23
24-18
21-16
19-11
23-27
18-26
23-16
28-17
18-24
23-8
17-23
16-16
14-15
22-20
16-24
11-24
28-19
18-20
8-15
30-20
27-22
22-19
16-20
157.0Avg total
83.2Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.571.6155.1+11.970%
Season at home (6)88.269.0157.2+19.283%
Season away (4)76.575.5152.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)83.273.8157.0+9.470%
Last 5 (5)79.477.2156.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.282.2151.3-13.017%
vs Similar (15)80.280.3160.5-0.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.672.4162.0+17.288%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
AlkarDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
36-59
36
59
-23
A11/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A15/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H21/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A28/10
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H04/11
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A13/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H20/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A25/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A29/11
Croatian Cup
82.6Avg total
36.9Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.344.183.4-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.542.382.8-1.829%-
Last 30 away (16)38.245.783.9-7.419%-
Last 10 (10)36.945.782.6-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.282.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.048.883.8-13.80%-
vs Similar (15)41.940.582.5+1.447%-
vs Weaker (5)38.646.084.6-7.40%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A07/10
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H10/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A15/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H22/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A28/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H04/11
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A19/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H26/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#11
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H29/11
Croatian Cup
80.8Avg total
42.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.283.7+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.142.587.7+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.879.7+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.280.8+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.081.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.245.080.2-9.80%-
vs Similar (15)41.741.383.0+0.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.638.085.6+9.675%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.8
49.2%
53.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.5
34.1%
34.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
73.4%14.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.8
56.5%
53.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.6
34.7%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.513.0
74.3%
73.4%13.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LLLLLLWLLL
Dinamo Zagreb
WLLWWWWLWW
#11
League position
#5
-15.6
Net rating
+12.5
96.5
Offensive rating
107.2
112.1
Defensive rating
94.7
49.9%
Effective FG%
54.7%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
21.9%
Turnover %
21.8%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.1%
3-point %
34.7%
68.4%
Assist %
73.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 107.2Defence112.1 · 94.7Shooting49.9% · 54.7%3-point %34.1% · 34.7%Ball care21.9% · 21.8%Off. rebounds24.6% · 31.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Alkar   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alkar wins
4
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
25/04/23Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar99-72
29/03/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb75-85
17/12/22Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb74-86
01/10/22Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar91-83
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23AOsijek78-81
25/11/23ADubrovnik75-78
20/11/23HCedevita Junior73-81
13/11/23ASplit65-80
04/11/23HBosco83-95
28/10/23AZabok58-85
21/10/23HSkrljevo90-88 OT
15/10/23AGKK Sibenka75-83
11/10/23AZadar73-106
07/10/23HCibona63-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HGKK Sibenka95-81
26/11/23HZadar65-78
19/11/23ACibona68-75
11/11/23HDubrava86-72
04/11/23HGKK Sibenka83-80
28/10/23ADubrovnik90-80
22/10/23HCedevita Junior91-64
15/10/23ASplit60-74
10/10/23HBosco106-61
07/10/23AZabok88-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%25%17%
Points / game75.577.274.3
Allowed / game86.585.587.2
Point differential-11.0-8.2-12.8
Avg total162.0162.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL70%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game83.588.276.5
Allowed / game71.669.075.5
Point differential+11.9+19.2+1.0
Avg total155.1157.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar11110100%91.572.1+19.5
2 Split119282%84.267.2+17.0
3 Cibona119282%77.672.5+5.2
4 Dinamo Zagreb107370%83.571.6+11.9
5 Cedevita Junior117464%84.580.0+4.5
6 Dubrovnik116555%77.576.5+1.0
7 GKK Sibenka115645%80.581.2-0.7
8 Zabok113827%81.785.5-3.8
9 Dubrava113827%78.885.5-6.7
10 Alkar102820%75.586.5-11.0
11 Skrljevo112918%78.292.4-14.2
12 Bosco111109%74.496.9-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1216101553
Dinamo Zagreb2215221776
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.