PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Altiri Chiba vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 93-77
25-14 32-15 21-27 15-21
Position#1
Record58-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#8
Record27-34
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game80.0
JapanB2.LeagueB2.League - Quarter-finals· Chiba Port Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Altiri Chiba v Kumamoto
04 May 2025
ALTI93
KUMA77
03 May 2025
ALTI90
KUMA72
25 Feb 2024
ALTI106
KUMA95
24 Feb 2024
ALTI98
KUMA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Altiri Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Altiri ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
97-70
97
70
+27
96avg 91
H26/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
97-72
97
72
+25
96avg 91
H29/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
101-95
101
95
+6
100avg 91
H30/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
89-86
89
86
+3
89avg 91
A05/04
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
86-75
86
75
+11
84avg 91
A06/04
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 91
A12/04
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
91-62
91
62
+29
100avg 91
A13/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
91-85
91
85
+6
92avg 91
H19/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 91
H20/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
90-72
90
72
+18
no box
H03/05
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
21-20
27-13
28-17
20-22
23-18
24-16
30-16
33-22
25-27
22-20
21-26
22-31
31-24
15-16
21-15
14-22
31-21
18-18
23-14
29-20
18-28
24-15
15-16
24-19
22-6
26-20
19-17
23-23
18-22
24-20
26-20
19-18
22-16
17-17
24-22
27-20
22-16
14-17
27-19
167.9Avg total
91.0Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)91.474.6166.0+16.995%
Season at home (31)90.473.0163.4+17.4100%
Season away (30)92.576.2168.7+16.390%
Last 10 (10)91.076.9167.9+14.1100%
Last 5 (5)88.074.2162.2+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)90.972.6163.5+18.497%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 73
A26/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
64-67
64
67
-3
51avg 73
H29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
112-57
112
57
+55
118avg 73
H30/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
81avg 73
A05/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
90avg 73
A06/04
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
103-96
103
96
+7
101avg 73
H12/04
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
82avg 73
H13/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 73
A19/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
48avg 73
A20/04
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A03/05
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
19-18
16-25
24-30
19-25
14-13
16-16
15-13
22-7
31-15
30-21
29-14
15-25
28-17
22-17
20-21
17-21
19-20
26-12
10-19
22-25
29-23
26-23
26-25
18-29
27-27
19-19
25-22
19-21
24-19
23-13
15-24
15-19
16-24
15-26
18-15
20-27
16-22
17-14
19-27
166.4Avg total
83.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)79.180.0159.2-0.944%
Season at home (30)79.677.5157.0+2.147%
Season away (31)78.782.5161.3-3.842%
Last 10 (10)83.782.7166.4+1.040%
Last 5 (5)81.888.8170.6-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.581.2158.7-3.747%
vs Similar (6)78.274.2152.3+4.033%
vs Weaker (9)86.866.2153.0+20.689%
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
Altiri ChibaKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Altiri ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H26/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/03
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H30/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A05/04
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A06/04
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A12/04
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A13/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/05
B2.League
88.0Avg total
46.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.438.685.1+7.880%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.838.183.9+7.881%-
Last 30 away (14)47.139.386.4+7.979%-
Last 10 (10)46.541.588.0+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.682.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.438.685.1+7.880%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H30/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/04
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H12/04
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H13/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A19/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A20/04
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A03/05
B2.League
81.9Avg total
40.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.177.3+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.434.977.3+7.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.039.377.3-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.081.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.247.288.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.642.180.7-3.540%-
vs Similar (6)37.234.571.7+2.750%-
vs Weaker (9)44.930.475.3+14.489%-
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Altiri Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Altiri Chiba: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.123.3
55.3%
51.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.37.1
36.8%
32.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.015.3
69.5%
70.7%15.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.1
52.3%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.4
35.4%
32.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.314.1
66.2%
70.7%14.1
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Altiri Chiba
WWWWWWWWWW
Kumamoto
LLWLWLWWLL
#1
League position
#8
+19.4
Net rating
+2.0
119.8
Offensive rating
110.1
100.4
Defensive rating
108.1
55.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
37.8%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.8%
3-point %
35.4%
73.4%
Assist %
61.5%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 110.1Defence100.4 · 108.1Shooting55.3% · 52.6%3-point %36.8% · 35.4%Ball care16.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds37.8% · 33.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Altiri Chiba   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Altiri Chiba wins
0
Kumamoto wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HKumamoto90-72
20/04/25HShinshu82-73
19/04/25HShinshu91-85
13/04/25AFukushima91-62
12/04/25AFukushima86-79
06/04/25AAomori86-75
05/04/25AAomori89-86
30/03/25HToyama101-95
29/03/25HToyama97-72
26/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise97-70
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AAltiri Chiba72-90
20/04/25AFukuoka64-84
19/04/25AFukuoka81-77
13/04/25HToyama89-97
12/04/25HToyama103-96
06/04/25AKagoshima Rebnise89-93 OT
05/04/25AKagoshima Rebnise85-80
30/03/25HNara112-57
29/03/25HNara64-67
26/03/25AShizuoka78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Altiri Chiba
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613130
Win %95%100%90%
Points / game91.490.492.5
Allowed / game74.673.076.2
Point differential+16.9+17.4+16.3
Avg total166.0163.4168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%74%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWLWWL47%
AwayWLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613031
Win %44%47%42%
Points / game79.179.678.7
Allowed / game80.077.582.5
Point differential-0.9+2.1-3.8
Avg total159.2157.0161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%23%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)50% (10)71% (7)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba6158395%91.474.6+16.9
2 Fukuoka60421870%82.974.0+8.8
3 Toyama62392363%88.182.0+6.0
4 Shinshu62382461%83.778.1+5.6
5 Kagoshima Rebnise62382461%82.378.5+3.9
6 Shizuoka62352756%77.575.6+1.9
7 Fukui60322853%82.080.8+1.3
8 Kumamoto61273444%79.180.0-0.9
9 Nara60263443%76.180.2-4.1
10 Kobe60253542%80.082.3-2.2
11 Yamagata Wyverns60243640%78.881.2-2.4
12 Aomori60213935%77.886.0-8.2
13 Fukushima60154525%73.382.0-8.7
14 Ehime Orange Vikings605558%71.490.2-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Altiri Chiba2532211593
Kumamoto1415272177
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.