PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Kumamoto vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 103-96
22-25 29-23 26-23 26-25
Position#8
Record25-31
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game79.3
Kumamoto 🏆
Japan
vs
Toyama
Japan
Position#3
Record36-20
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game81.3
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kumamoto v Toyama
13 Apr 2025
KUMA89
TOYA97
12 Apr 2025
KUMA103
TOYA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 74
A11/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
61-72
61
72
-11
54avg 74
H15/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 74
H16/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
105-50
105
50
+55
113avg 74
H22/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
88-70
88
70
+18
78avg 74
H23/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 74
A26/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
64-67
64
67
-3
51avg 74
H29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
112-57
112
57
+55
118avg 74
H30/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
81avg 74
A05/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
90avg 74
A06/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
12-28
15-19
24-20
16-17
12-19
16-20
17-16
26-20
16-28
15-11
29-21
32-13
30-10
23-11
20-16
23-11
26-16
25-19
14-24
19-13
19-18
16-25
24-30
19-25
14-13
16-16
15-13
22-7
31-15
30-21
29-14
15-25
28-17
22-17
20-21
17-21
19-20
26-12
10-19
156.8Avg total
83.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)78.979.3158.2-0.445%
Season at home (28)78.476.1154.5+2.346%
Season away (28)79.482.4161.9-3.043%
Last 10 (10)83.473.4156.8+10.050%
Last 5 (5)85.676.6162.2+9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.377.4152.7-2.150%
vs Similar (10)81.774.8156.5+6.950%
vs Weaker (10)86.267.6153.8+18.690%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
91-62
91
62
+29
92avg 79
H12/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
89avg 79
A15/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 79
A16/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
79avg 79
H22/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
78avg 79
H23/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
100avg 79
A26/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
72-97
72
97
-25
57avg 79
A29/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
90avg 79
A30/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 79
H05/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
96-85
96
85
+11
100avg 79
H06/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
17-16
17-12
26-20
22-14
22-16
22-25
26-21
24-10
21-17
17-18
17-26
15-22
19-21
19-18
23-15
17-25
24-16
26-21
21-15
28-26
24-16
19-20
22-17
22-20
18-23
16-24
16-30
22-33
27-25
20-22
26-21
20-18
19-17
16-21
12-24
26-25
25-15
15-16
30-29
167.7Avg total
86.2Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)87.781.3168.9+6.464%
Season at home (28)86.880.8167.5+6.064%
Season away (28)88.681.8170.4+6.864%
Last 10 (10)86.281.5167.7+4.770%
Last 5 (5)84.688.4173.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.598.2180.8-15.825%
vs Similar (6)86.590.0176.5-3.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.877.4166.2+11.375%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
KumamotoToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#5
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A11/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H15/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H16/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H22/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H23/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H30/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/04
B2.League
75.9Avg total
41.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.178.4+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.034.776.7+7.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.580.2+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)41.134.875.9+6.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.875.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.339.676.9-2.340%-
vs Similar (10)41.538.680.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker (10)45.333.078.3+12.380%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H12/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A15/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H22/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A26/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A29/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A30/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H06/04
B2.League
83.2Avg total
44.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.539.083.5+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.639.484.0+5.371%-
Last 30 away (13)44.438.582.8+5.962%-
Last 10 (10)44.338.983.2+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.689.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.248.294.5-2.025%-
vs Similar (6)43.543.086.5+0.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.535.980.4+8.675%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.8
48.7%
51.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.0
35.3%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.914.0
67.0%
70.7%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.025.3
55.0%
51.0%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.7
27.7%
32.9%17.1
🏀 Free throws23.617.5
74.2%
70.7%17.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LWWLLWWWLL
Toyama
WLLLWWWWWW
#8
League position
#3
+13.3
Net rating
+5.0
107.6
Offensive rating
108.8
94.3
Defensive rating
103.8
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.8%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.3%
3-point %
27.7%
67.1%
Assist %
75.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 108.8Defence94.3 · 103.8Shooting50.3% · 50.8%3-point %35.3% · 27.7%Ball care18.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds36.7% · 32.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kumamoto wins
3
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Toyama v Kumamoto104-77
07/12/24Toyama v Kumamoto85-67
27/05/18Toyama v Kumamoto88-85
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25AKagoshima Rebnise89-93 OT
05/04/25AKagoshima Rebnise85-80
30/03/25HNara112-57
29/03/25HNara64-67
26/03/25AShizuoka78-86
23/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings88-70
22/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings105-50
16/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise86-80
15/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise61-72
11/03/25AShinshu66-79
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HShinshu96-85
05/04/25HShinshu67-80
30/03/25AAltiri Chiba95-101
29/03/25AAltiri Chiba72-97
26/03/25AAomori93-79
23/03/25HShizuoka88-77
22/03/25HShizuoka89-87 OT
16/03/25AFukui79-71
15/03/25AFukui92-76
12/03/25HYamagata Wyverns91-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL45%
HomeWWWLW46%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %45%46%43%
Points / game78.978.479.4
Allowed / game79.376.182.4
Point differential-0.4+2.3-3.0
Avg total158.2154.5161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)50% (10)67% (6)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW64%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %64%64%64%
Points / game87.786.888.6
Allowed / game81.380.881.8
Point differential+6.4+6.0+6.8
Avg total168.9167.5170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5653395%91.874.6+17.1
2 Fukuoka57401770%83.174.3+8.8
3 Toyama56362064%87.781.3+6.4
4 Shinshu57362163%84.077.6+6.3
5 Kagoshima Rebnise56342261%82.178.7+3.4
6 Shizuoka57332458%78.175.6+2.5
7 Fukui56302654%81.779.8+1.9
8 Kumamoto56253145%78.979.3-0.4
9 Nara56243243%76.780.2-3.5
10 Kobe56233341%79.683.1-3.5
11 Yamagata Wyverns56213538%78.381.8-3.5
12 Aomori57203735%77.885.7-7.9
13 Fukushima56144225%72.981.8-8.9
14 Ehime Orange Vikings565519%71.690.4-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto22292626103
Toyama2523232596
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.