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Shimane vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 92-99
21-18 26-29 17-24 28-28
Position#12
Record21-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#17
Record15-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game84.1
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium (Matsue)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shimane v Nagasaki
07 Apr 2027
SHIM v NAGA
upcoming
24 Dec 2025
SHIM101
NAGA93
09 Apr 2025
SHIM72
NAGA63
07 Feb 2024
SHIM92
NAGA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
L
83-90
83
90
-7
72avg 76
A06/01
B League
Gunma
#13
W
96-84
96
84
+12
98avg 76
A07/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
75-66
75
66
+9
66avg 76
H17/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
86-56
86
56
+30
82avg 76
H20/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
85-98
85
98
-13
68avg 76
H21/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
98-86
98
86
+12
92avg 76
A27/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
94-73
94
73
+21
89avg 76
A28/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
72-75
72
75
-3
60avg 76
H31/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
71-103
71
103
-32
58avg 76
A03/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
67avg 76
A04/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
9-26
25-23
31-20
25-23
26-25
22-20
23-16
13-15
19-18
19-20
24-13
20-13
19-12
20-14
27-17
18-24
17-24
20-24
30-26
31-22
26-21
23-17
18-26
30-23
31-12
19-20
14-18
22-15
24-14
4-20
22-26
17-18
19-35
19-29
16-21
15-25
20-21
20-15
27-24
165.8Avg total
84.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)84.178.6162.7+5.658%
Season at home (19)84.475.9160.3+8.568%
Season away (17)83.881.6165.4+2.247%
Last 10 (10)84.281.6165.8+2.650%
Last 5 (5)83.484.4167.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.282.8157.0-8.525%
vs Similar (9)81.077.7158.7+3.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.880.2170.1+9.671%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#23
L
73-79
73
79
-6
73avg 74
H06/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
92-64
92
64
+28
no box
H07/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
75-81
75
81
-6
71avg 74
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 74
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
79-88
79
88
-9
77avg 74
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
75-98
75
98
-23
59avg 74
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
68-103
68
103
-35
57avg 74
H28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
89avg 74
A31/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
68avg 74
H03/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
no box
H04/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
28-21
19-14
5-29
25-16
23-21
22-13
22-14
17-15
24-21
10-19
24-26
25-18
17-20
10-19
19-21
29-16
12-28
20-22
18-22
18-27
25-24
18-29
14-18
17-22
16-29
16-28
19-24
26-23
23-21
21-12
15-18
20-21
19-25
17-22
20-23
23-28
18-27
20-14
22-14
163.6Avg total
78.4Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.384.1165.4-2.942%
Season at home (20)78.083.6161.6-5.635%
Season away (16)85.484.8170.2+0.650%
Last 10 (10)78.485.2163.6-6.820%
Last 5 (5)78.892.4171.2-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.486.1164.5-7.831%
vs Similar (9)78.684.4163.0-5.933%
vs Weaker (5)85.279.4164.6+5.840%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
ShimaneNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A06/01
B League
Gunma
#13
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A07/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H20/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A27/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
61-35
61
35
+26
A28/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H31/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A03/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/02
B League
82.6Avg total
41.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.182.7+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.736.180.8+8.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.542.184.6+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.782.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.041.288.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.043.278.2-8.225%-
vs Similar (9)41.836.978.7+4.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.639.285.9+7.471%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#23
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H06/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H07/01
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H17/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A20/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A31/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H04/02
B League
86.4Avg total
42.6Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.583.0-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.742.781.4-3.933%-
Last 30 away (12)43.342.285.5+1.267%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.886.4-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.049.490.4-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.443.982.4-5.531%-
vs Similar (9)41.841.983.7-0.156%-
vs Weaker (5)45.238.884.0+6.480%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.9
51.0%
50.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.4
33.1%
33.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.715.2
81.3%
72.0%15.2
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.6
51.3%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.3
30.0%
33.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.611.7
70.5%
72.0%11.7
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
LLLWWLWWWL
Nagasaki
LLWLLLLLWL
#12
League position
#17
+3.2
Net rating
-9.4
111.1
Offensive rating
98.9
107.9
Defensive rating
108.3
50.4%
Effective FG%
48.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
14.4%
Turnover %
18.4%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.1%
3-point %
30.0%
50.5%
Assist %
72.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 98.9Defence107.9 · 108.3Shooting50.4% · 48.6%3-point %33.1% · 30.0%Ball care14.4% · 18.4%Off. rebounds29.5% · 27.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Shimane   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shimane wins
1
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Nagasaki v Shimane77-73
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24ANeoPhoenix82-85
03/02/24ANeoPhoenix71-103
31/01/24HKyoto72-75
28/01/24AYokohama94-73
27/01/24AYokohama98-86
21/01/24HIbaraki Robots85-98
20/01/24HIbaraki Robots86-56
17/01/24HHiroshima D.75-66
07/01/24AGunma96-84
06/01/24AGunma83-90
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HDiamond Dolphins90-96 OT
03/02/24HDiamond Dolphins76-91
31/01/24AHiroshima D.85-74
28/01/24HNeoPhoenix68-103
27/01/24HNeoPhoenix75-98
21/01/24AAkita79-88
20/01/24AAkita71-78
17/01/24HKyoto75-81
07/01/24HShinshu92-64
06/01/24HShinshu73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL58%
HomeWWWLL68%
AwayWWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %58%68%47%
Points / game84.184.483.8
Allowed / game78.675.981.6
Point differential+5.6+8.5+2.2
Avg total162.7160.3165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%37%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)50% (6)0% (4)
Overtime %6%5%6%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeLLLLL35%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %42%35%50%
Points / game81.378.085.4
Allowed / game84.183.684.8
Point differential-2.9-5.7+0.6
Avg total165.4161.6170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%5%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3632489%90.676.6+14.0
2 Alvark3630683%81.867.6+14.2
3 Utsunomiya Brex3629781%78.468.2+10.2
4 SeaHorses Mikawa36241267%82.776.6+6.1
5 Ryukyu36241267%80.076.4+3.6
6 Chiba36231364%85.982.4+3.5
7 Diamond Dolphins36231364%82.279.2+3.0
8 Shimane36211558%84.178.6+5.6
9 Brave Thunders36201656%80.277.0+3.2
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya36201656%77.075.3+1.7
11 Hiroshima D.36191753%78.673.7+4.9
12 Akita36191753%73.973.9-0.1
13 Saga37191851%74.974.7+0.2
14 Gunma36181850%78.481.1-2.7
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles36162044%71.874.9-3.1
16 Sendai36152142%78.380.4-2.1
17 Nagasaki36152142%81.384.1-2.9
18 Yokohama36152142%76.882.6-5.8
19 Osaka36132336%77.783.0-5.3
20 Hokkaido36122433%75.480.2-4.8
21 Kyoto36122433%77.784.3-6.6
22 Shinshu3763116%70.783.6-12.8
23 Toyama3643211%73.785.3-11.6
24 Ibaraki Robots3643211%73.285.2-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane2126172892
Nagasaki1829242899
← all games of the day
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