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Shimane vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 91-96
19-25 23-20 26-19 23-32
Position#14
Record21-21
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record21-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game82.4
JapanB League· Matsue General Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shimane v Saga
27 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
SHIM v SAGA
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
SHIM80
SAGA77
14 Mar 2026
SHIM91
SAGA96
15 Oct 2025
SHIM79
SAGA87
11 Dec 2024
SHIM85
SAGA55
27 Mar 2024
SHIM64
SAGA66
22 Oct 2023
SHIM61
SAGA58
21 Oct 2023
SHIM87
SAGA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
L
88-95
88
95
-7
86avg 75
A28/01
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
65-64
65
64
+1
63avg 75
A31/01
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
85-72
85
72
+13
84avg 75
A01/02
B League
Shiga
#18
L
61-86
61
86
-25
51avg 75
H07/02
B League
Shiga
#18
W
80-72
80
72
+8
75avg 75
H08/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
87-68
87
68
+19
85avg 75
H14/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
67avg 75
H15/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
78avg 75
A07/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
54avg 75
A08/03
B League
Osaka
#17
L
67-75
67
75
-8
65avg 75
H11/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
21-26
29-23
17-22
24-6
14-22
16-20
11-16
24-22
21-15
22-23
18-12
19-26
20-16
12-17
10-27
18-28
26-14
20-11
16-19
18-17
25-17
30-16
14-18
24-13
14-20
21-16
11-21
15-22
18-23
21-17
24-19
26-24
6-20
22-18
10-18
16-15
16-16
25-24
10-20
152.2Avg total
75.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)81.080.4161.4+0.750%
Season at home (19)80.280.5160.7-0.347%
Season away (23)81.780.3162.0+1.552%
Last 10 (10)75.077.2152.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)74.276.6150.8-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.185.5166.5-4.431%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.882.0160.8-3.227%
vs Weaker (6)81.070.7151.7+10.383%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Shimane
#14
W
95-88
95
88
+7
98avg 76
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 76
H31/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 76
H01/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
92-67
92
67
+25
94avg 76
A07/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-69
91
69
+22
86avg 76
A08/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
71-78
71
78
-7
57avg 76
A14/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 76
A15/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
87-90
87
90
-3
85avg 76
H07/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
82avg 76
H08/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
91-96
91
96
-5
85avg 76
H11/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
26-21
23-29
22-17
15-20
11-22
27-18
30-19
19-23
15-18
22-32
20-22
18-18
33-25
20-16
21-8
24-22
26-22
18-11
23-14
15-13
20-25
27-19
9-21
15-23
23-22
13-22
32-29
25-25
19-16
19-30
24-19
23-29
24-18
22-25
13-15
27-23
30-24
15-17
19-32
169.6Avg total
85.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)81.882.4164.2-0.550%
Season at home (23)81.583.3164.9-1.848%
Season away (19)82.281.2163.4+1.053%
Last 10 (10)85.184.5169.6+0.640%
Last 5 (5)82.889.4172.2-6.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.586.0162.5-9.530%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.581.5168.0+4.955%
vs Weaker (9)84.076.2160.2+7.878%
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
ShimaneSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A28/01
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A31/01
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A01/02
B League
Shiga
#18
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/02
B League
Shiga
#18
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H08/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/02
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A08/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H11/03
B League
77.2Avg total
38.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.181.6-0.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.441.783.1-0.364%-
Last 30 away (16)39.840.580.3-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.677.2+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.473.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.943.083.9-2.154%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.840.579.4-1.745%-
vs Weaker (6)43.037.880.8+5.283%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H31/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H01/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A08/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A14/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A15/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H07/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H11/03
B League
86.2Avg total
43.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.783.2-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.443.582.9-4.129%-
Last 30 away (13)42.141.583.6+0.562%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.086.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.687.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.043.180.1-6.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.442.484.7+0.045%-
vs Weaker (9)42.342.684.9-0.267%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.1
52.0%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.2
31.4%
33.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.012.2
71.8%
73.1%12.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.5
57.1%
53.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.3
31.6%
33.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.316.5
81.3%
73.1%16.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shimane
LLLLWWLWWL
Saga
LLLLLWWLWW
#14
League position
#12
-2.6
Net rating
+1.3
87.7
Offensive rating
100.2
90.3
Defensive rating
98.9
50.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.4%
3-point %
31.6%
75.1%
Assist %
72.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence87.7 · 100.2Defence90.3 · 98.9Shooting50.0% · 52.8%3-point %31.4% · 31.6%Ball care17.0% · 11.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Shimane   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shimane wins
6
Saga wins
DateGameScore
28/01/26Saga v Shimane95-88
15/10/25Shimane v Saga79-87
19/04/25Saga v Shimane66-82
18/04/25Saga v Shimane80-61
26/03/25Saga v Shimane87-73
11/12/24Shimane v Saga85-55
27/03/24Shimane v Saga64-66
20/12/23Saga v Shimane80-77
22/10/23Shimane v Saga61-58
21/10/23Shimane v Saga87-74
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HOsaka67-75
08/03/26ARyukyu64-80
07/03/26ARyukyu78-81
15/02/26HSeaHorses Mikawa75-79 OT
14/02/26HSeaHorses Mikawa87-68
08/02/26HShiga80-72
07/02/26HShiga61-86
01/02/26AKyoto85-72
31/01/26AKyoto65-64
28/01/26ASaga88-95
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HNeoPhoenix91-96
08/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex82-87
07/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex87-90
15/02/26AAlvark83-96
14/02/26AAlvark71-78
08/02/26AToyama91-69
07/02/26AToyama92-67
01/02/26HChiba76-95
31/01/26HChiba83-79
28/01/26HShimane95-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeLWWLL47%
AwayLWWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games421923
Win %50%47%52%
Points / game81.080.281.7
Allowed / game80.480.580.3
Point differential+0.7-0.3+1.5
Avg total161.4160.7162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%16%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)20% (5)62% (8)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWLLLL48%
AwayWWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422319
Win %50%48%53%
Points / game81.881.582.2
Allowed / game82.483.381.2
Point differential-0.5-1.8+1.0
Avg total164.2164.9163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%22%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)43% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4234881%92.078.5+13.5
2 Diamond Dolphins4233979%83.372.6+10.7
3 Utsunomiya Brex43321174%85.279.8+5.4
4 Chiba42301271%83.075.6+7.4
5 Alvark42301271%81.076.8+4.2
6 SeaHorses Mikawa43301370%84.377.9+6.4
7 Hokkaido42291369%88.485.0+3.4
8 Ryukyu42281467%81.274.8+6.4
9 Gunma42261662%82.574.6+7.9
10 Sendai43261760%81.079.0+2.0
11 Hiroshima D.42251760%86.482.9+3.5
12 NeoPhoenix42231955%84.082.3+1.7
13 Shimane42212150%81.080.4+0.7
14 Saga42212150%81.882.4-0.5
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya42182443%76.881.0-4.2
16 Osaka43172640%80.182.3-2.1
17 Koshigaya Alphas42162638%73.780.3-6.6
18 Yokohama43162737%78.882.6-3.8
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles42152736%80.583.1-2.5
20 Shiga43152835%80.385.7-5.5
21 Altiri Chiba42142833%79.683.8-4.2
22 Ibaraki Robots42123029%75.180.3-5.1
23 Kyoto42123029%71.580.7-9.2
24 Brave Thunders42103224%75.584.1-8.6
25 Toyama43103323%82.290.4-8.2
26 Akita4373616%73.385.6-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shimane1923262391
Saga2520193296
← all games of the day
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