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Alytaus Alytus vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 74-97
14-35 19-18 18-24 23-20
Position#15
Record0-2
FormLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game79.0
Alytaus Alytus
Lithuania
vs
Jurbarkas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#3
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game85.5
LithuaniaNKL· Silutes Vyduno gimnazija
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alytaus Alytus v Jurbarkas
25 Oct 2025
ALYT70
JURB76
10 Oct 2024
ALYT74
JURB97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
75-83
75
83
-8
63avg 63
H03/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 63
A05/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-18
22-22
12-22
21-16
17-23
18-16
17-20
153.0Avg total
74.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.079.0153.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
Season away (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
Last 10 (2)74.079.0153.0-5.00%
Last 5 (2)74.079.0153.0-5.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)74.079.0153.0-5.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
82avg 77
H02/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 77
A05/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
59avg 77
H08/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
88avg 77
A10/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
78-87
78
87
-9
75avg 77
H17/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
80avg 77
A20/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
97avg 77
H25/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
88avg 77
A28/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
52avg 77
A03/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
87-86
87
86
+1
82avg 77
H05/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
21-20
26-17
26-38
20-28
18-23
13-24
12-17
21-22
20-18
18-18
12-11
20-19
14-13
22-19
16-21
24-29
12-21
19-20
23-17
23-18
31-21
18-21
12-16
22-14
27-23
24-18
20-21
18-13
25-16
15-22
31-33
17-25
16-18
12-21
22-21
22-17
14-19
28-26
23-24
163.6Avg total
80.8Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.085.5162.5-8.550%
Season at home (1)87.086.0173.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)67.085.0152.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)80.882.8163.6-2.060%
Last 5 (5)84.081.4165.4+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.687.1166.7-7.523%
vs Similar (16)90.486.6177.0+3.969%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)87.086.0173.0+1.0100%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
Alytaus AlytusJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H03/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A05/10
NKL
78.5Avg total
39.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)39.539.078.5+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (1)41.039.080.0+2.0100%-
Last 30 away (1)38.039.077.0-1.00%-
Last 10 (2)39.539.078.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (2)39.539.078.5+0.550%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.539.078.5+0.550%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A05/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A10/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H17/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A20/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H25/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A28/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/10
NKL
79.8Avg total
40.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.183.6-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.541.184.6+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.543.182.5-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.779.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.879.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.041.980.9-2.938%-
vs Similar (16)43.942.686.4+1.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)36.036.072.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.021.5
46.7%
52.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.5
30.2%
32.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws16.011.5
71.9%
70.5%11.5
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.815.1
52.4%
52.5%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.9
35.0%
32.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.513.4
72.4%
70.5%13.4
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Alytus
LL
Jurbarkas
WLWWWLWWLL
#15
League position
#3
-5.3
Net rating
-3.5
98.1
Offensive rating
108.1
103.4
Defensive rating
111.6
46.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.8%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.2%
3-point %
35.0%
46.4%
Assist %
68.0%
0%
Form (last 2/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 108.1Defence103.4 · 111.6Shooting46.3% · 52.5%3-point %30.2% · 35.0%Ball care18.7% · 19.8%Off. rebounds32.1% · 33.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 2/10)0% · 60%
■ Alytaus Alytus   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
0
Jurbarkas wins
No previous meetings.
Alytaus Alytuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24AVilkaviskis73-75
03/10/24HSilute75-83
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HKretinga87-86
03/10/24ATelsiai67-85
28/04/24AKretinga89-84
25/04/24HKretinga93-76
20/04/24AKretinga84-76
17/04/24HKretinga78-87
10/04/24ABC Olimpas Palanga87-78 OT
08/04/24HBC Olimpas Palanga71-69
05/04/24ABC Olimpas Palanga63-92
02/04/24HBC Olimpas Palanga89-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.075.073.0
Allowed / game79.083.075.0
Point differential-5.0-8.0-2.0
Avg total153.0158.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.087.067.0
Allowed / game85.586.085.0
Point differential-8.5+1.0-18.0
Avg total162.5173.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai220100%80.565.0+15.5
2 Ukmerges Stekas220100%87.072.0+15.0
3 Neptunas 2220100%84.070.0+14.0
4 Omega-Tauras220100%86.574.5+12.0
5 Vytis VDU110100%90.085.0+5.0
6 BC Olimpas Palanga21150%82.569.5+13.0
7 Kretinga21150%89.586.0+3.5
8 Silute21150%79.080.0-1.0
9 Vilkaviskis21150%80.083.0-3.0
10 Rytas 221150%69.575.5-6.0
11 Jurbarkas21150%77.085.5-8.5
12 Alytaus Alytus2020%74.079.0-5.0
13 Suduva-Mantinga1010%81.087.0-6.0
14 Zalgiris Kaunas 22020%67.078.5-11.5
15 Delikatesas Joniskis2020%72.084.0-12.0
16 Plunges Olimpas2020%61.086.5-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Alytus1419182374
Jurbarkas3518242097
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