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Jurbarkas vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 87-86
22-17 14-19 28-26 23-24
Position#3
Record0-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#13
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game85.0
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Kretinga
14 Jan 2027
JURB v KRET
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
JURB80
KRET76
05 Oct 2024
JURB87
KRET86
25 Apr 2024
JURB93
KRET76
17 Apr 2024
JURB78
KRET87
09 Nov 2023
JURB94
KRET80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
100-94
100
94
+6
100avg 77
A28/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
82avg 77
H02/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 77
A05/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
59avg 77
H08/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
88avg 77
A10/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
78-87
78
87
-9
75avg 77
H17/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
80avg 77
A20/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
97avg 77
H25/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
88avg 77
A28/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
52avg 77
A03/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
21-17
20-25
34-28
16-20
21-20
26-17
26-38
20-28
18-23
13-24
12-17
21-22
20-18
18-18
12-11
20-19
14-13
22-19
16-21
24-29
12-21
19-20
23-17
23-18
31-21
18-21
12-16
22-14
27-23
24-18
20-21
18-13
25-16
15-22
31-33
17-25
16-18
12-21
22-21
165.7Avg total
82.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.085.0152.0-18.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)67.085.0152.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)82.183.6165.7-1.560%
Last 5 (5)82.281.6163.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.687.1166.7-7.523%
vs Similar (16)90.486.6177.0+3.969%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
67-64
67
64
+3
53avg 68
A29/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
59-82
59
82
-23
46avg 68
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
69avg 68
A06/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
55-71
55
71
-16
34avg 68
H09/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
64-62
64
62
+2
54avg 68
A11/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
76avg 68
A17/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 68
H20/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
56avg 68
A25/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
71avg 68
H28/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
86avg 68
H03/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
16-22
18-17
20-9
12-23
16-24
8-22
23-13
22-18
17-22
24-20
19-18
9-22
10-13
15-14
21-22
25-23
24-11
12-18
3-10
29-24
21-12
20-19
17-23
18-23
21-31
21-18
16-12
14-22
23-27
18-24
21-20
13-18
16-25
22-15
33-31
25-14
24-22
20-30
24-19
152.9Avg total
74.3Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.085.0178.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)93.085.0178.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.378.6152.9-4.350%
Last 5 (5)83.285.8169.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.881.0158.8-3.267%
vs Similar (18)81.382.9164.2-1.656%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
JurbarkasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A28/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A05/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A10/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H17/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A20/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H25/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A28/04
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/10
NKL
81.3Avg total
41.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.083.5-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.141.485.5+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.342.481.8-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.281.3+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.682.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.041.980.9-2.938%-
vs Similar (16)43.942.686.4+1.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)37.033.070.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A29/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A06/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
19-35
19
35
-16
H09/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A11/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A17/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H20/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A25/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H28/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/10
NKL
78.0Avg total
36.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.881.4-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.742.180.8-3.436%-
Last 30 away (16)40.441.581.9-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.278.0-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.684.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.340.678.9-2.225%-
vs Similar (18)40.542.683.1-2.144%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.015.1
52.1%
52.5%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.1
35.8%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.713.9
74.3%
70.5%13.9
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.1
46.0%
52.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.3
26.9%
32.5%18.9
🏀 Free throws21.014.5
69.0%
70.5%14.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
LWWWLWWLLW
Kretinga
WLLLWWLWLW
#3
League position
#13
-3.4
Net rating
-4.8
110.7
Offensive rating
99.3
114.2
Defensive rating
104.2
52.9%
Effective FG%
43.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
19.0%
Turnover %
14.4%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.8%
3-point %
26.9%
71.8%
Assist %
53.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 99.3Defence114.2 · 104.2Shooting52.9% · 43.8%3-point %35.8% · 26.9%Ball care19.0% · 14.4%Off. rebounds34.1% · 30.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jurbarkas wins
2
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
28/04/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas84-89
25/04/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga93-76
20/04/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas76-84
17/04/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga78-87
04/01/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas89-82
09/11/23Jurbarkas v Kretinga94-80
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/24ATelsiai67-85
28/04/24AKretinga89-84
25/04/24HKretinga93-76
20/04/24AKretinga84-76
17/04/24HKretinga78-87
10/04/24ABC Olimpas Palanga87-78 OT
08/04/24HBC Olimpas Palanga71-69
05/04/24ABC Olimpas Palanga63-92
02/04/24HBC Olimpas Palanga89-95
28/03/24ABC Olimpas Palanga100-94
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/24HVilkaviskis93-85
28/04/24HJurbarkas84-89
25/04/24AJurbarkas76-93
20/04/24HJurbarkas76-84
17/04/24AJurbarkas87-78
11/04/24ASuduva-Mantinga64-62
09/04/24HSuduva-Mantinga55-71
06/04/24ASuduva-Mantinga82-78
04/04/24HSuduva-Mantinga59-82
29/03/24ASuduva-Mantinga67-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game67.0-67.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential-18.0--18.0
Avg total152.0-152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game93.093.0-
Allowed / game85.085.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total178.0178.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai220100%80.565.0+15.5
2 Ukmerges Stekas220100%87.072.0+15.0
3 Neptunas 2220100%84.070.0+14.0
4 Omega-Tauras220100%86.574.5+12.0
5 Kretinga110100%93.085.0+8.0
6 Vytis VDU110100%90.085.0+5.0
7 BC Olimpas Palanga21150%82.569.5+13.0
8 Silute21150%79.080.0-1.0
9 Vilkaviskis21150%80.083.0-3.0
10 Rytas 221150%69.575.5-6.0
11 Alytaus Alytus2020%74.079.0-5.0
12 Suduva-Mantinga1010%81.087.0-6.0
13 Zalgiris Kaunas 22020%67.078.5-11.5
14 Delikatesas Joniskis2020%72.084.0-12.0
15 Jurbarkas1010%67.085.0-18.0
16 Plunges Olimpas2020%61.086.5-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2214282387
Kretinga1719262486
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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