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Alytaus Alytus vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 70-76
21-16 10-24 21-17 18-19
Position#17
Record2-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game82.3
Alytaus Alytus
Lithuania
vs
Jurbarkas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#5
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game82.5
LithuaniaNKL· Silutes Vyduno gimnazija
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alytaus Alytus v Jurbarkas
25 Oct 2025
ALYT70
JURB76
10 Oct 2024
ALYT74
JURB97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#13
L
72-105
72
105
-33
62avg 69
A20/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
77-107
77
107
-30
72avg 69
H22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
96-105
96
105
-9
84avg 69
A27/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
72-91
72
91
-19
56avg 69
H01/03
NKL
Silute
#12
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 69
H02/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
68-80
68
80
-12
61avg 69
H04/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
71-106
71
106
-35
62avg 69
A09/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
66avg 69
H11/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
76-77
76
77
-1
68avg 69
H16/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
98-72
98
72
+26
92avg 69
H23/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
13-27
18-24
23-34
18-24
20-36
18-21
21-26
23-27
27-32
22-30
24-16
23-27
17-22
17-23
15-19
23-21
17-17
20-32
25-20
20-17
15-22
26-21
7-20
19-26
12-22
22-29
18-29
20-17
10-13
23-15
22-24
14-23
20-10
20-23
22-21
25-16
22-18
18-17
33-21
169.2Avg total
79.0Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.882.3161.2-3.533%
Season at home (5)80.477.6158.0+2.840%
Season away (1)71.0106.0177.0-35.00%
Last 10 (10)79.090.2169.2-11.220%
Last 5 (5)77.680.8158.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)75.890.3166.1-14.523%
vs Similar (4)93.886.2180.0+7.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 73
H13/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
62avg 73
A16/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
73-65
73
65
+8
71avg 73
H19/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
62-92
62
92
-30
51avg 73
A21/03
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
93-94
93
94
-1
83avg 73
A02/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 73
H04/10
NKL
Silute
#12
L
69-89
69
89
-20
50avg 73
A11/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
81-65
81
65
+16
80avg 73
A16/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
65avg 73
H18/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
53-98
53
98
-45
37avg 73
A23/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
21-24
16-15
19-23
18-18
14-14
16-15
10-11
21-14
12-16
15-20
25-15
11-24
19-28
22-25
10-15
20-14
13-25
30-34
30-21
22-19
21-15
23-19
14-20
16-27
12-24
19-16
22-22
20-24
26-21
11-13
24-7
12-16
19-16
17-24
20-20
16-30
15-20
8-22
14-26
153.8Avg total
73.0Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.082.5156.5-8.533%
Season at home (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
Season away (4)74.086.5160.5-12.525%
Last 10 (10)73.080.8153.8-7.830%
Last 5 (5)70.280.2150.4-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.782.0158.7-5.333%
vs Similar (21)78.281.5159.8-3.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)78.770.5149.2+8.283%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
Alytaus AlytusJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#13
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A20/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A27/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H01/03
NKL
Silute
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H02/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A09/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H11/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H16/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H23/10
NKL
81.3Avg total
37.6Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.981.3-4.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.239.277.4-1.147%-
Last 30 away (13)38.647.886.4-9.231%-
Last 10 (10)37.643.781.3-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.872.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.143.380.4-6.238%-
vs Similar (4)46.540.887.2+5.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H19/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A21/03
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A02/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/10
NKL
Silute
#12
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A11/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A16/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H18/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A23/10
NKL
75.4Avg total
34.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.076.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.636.076.6+4.657%-
Last 30 away (16)35.341.676.9-6.325%-
Last 10 (10)34.840.675.4-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.478.2-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.735.368.0-2.733%-
vs Similar (21)39.039.979.0-0.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.037.773.7-1.733%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.6
51.2%
54.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.5
31.5%
32.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.211.9
65.4%
69.3%11.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.9
48.2%
54.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.2
27.6%
32.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.912.4
62.3%
69.3%12.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Alytus
WLWLLLLLLL
Jurbarkas
LLWLWLLWLL
#17
League position
#5
-13.6
Net rating
-10.8
102.5
Offensive rating
94.6
116.1
Defensive rating
105.4
49.6%
Effective FG%
45.5%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
21.9%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.5%
3-point %
27.6%
60.5%
Assist %
57.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 94.6Defence116.1 · 105.4Shooting49.6% · 45.5%3-point %31.5% · 27.6%Ball care18.4% · 21.9%Off. rebounds31.8% · 35.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Alytaus Alytus   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
2
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
09/01/25Jurbarkas v Alytaus Alytus80-53
10/10/24Alytaus Alytus v Jurbarkas74-97
Alytaus Alytuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25HBC Olimpas Palanga98-72
16/10/25HRytas 276-77
11/10/25HSuduva-Mantinga75-69
09/10/25AKretinga71-106
04/10/25HPlunges Olimpas68-80
02/10/25HSilute85-90
01/03/25HRytas 272-91
27/02/25ADelikatesas Joniskis96-105
22/02/25HSilute77-107
20/02/25AKretinga72-105
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25ARytas 253-98
18/10/25HSuduva-Mantinga68-76
16/10/25AKretinga81-65
11/10/25ASilute69-89
04/10/25HMazeikiai80-73
02/10/25AKedainiu SC93-94
21/03/25AVilkaviskis62-92
19/03/25HVilkaviskis73-65
16/03/25AVilkaviskis75-77 OT
13/03/25HVilkaviskis76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %33%40%0%
Points / game78.880.471.0
Allowed / game82.377.6106.0
Point differential-3.5+2.8-35.0
Avg total161.2158.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game74.074.074.0
Allowed / game82.574.586.5
Point differential-8.5-0.5-12.5
Avg total156.5148.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vilkaviskis76186%85.774.7+11.0
2 Kedainiu SC65183%96.590.5+6.0
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 265183%85.079.0+6.0
4 Omega-Tauras75271%93.386.3+7.0
5 Suduva-Mantinga64267%82.377.7+4.7
6 Vytis VDU64267%83.379.7+3.7
7 Rytas 274357%85.679.0+6.6
8 Telsiai63350%84.786.8-2.2
9 Mazeikiai73443%81.981.9+0.0
10 Silute73443%85.088.7-3.7
11 Neptunas 262433%81.282.2-1.0
12 Alytaus Alytus62433%78.882.3-3.5
13 Jurbarkas62433%74.082.5-8.5
14 Ukmerges Stekas62433%81.390.5-9.2
15 Plunges Olimpas72529%87.087.7-0.7
16 Kretinga72529%82.988.3-5.4
17 BC Olimpas Palanga71614%76.988.1-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Alytus2110211870
Jurbarkas1624171976
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