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Telsiai vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-67
25-17 18-16 21-12 21-22
Position#1
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Telsiai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Jurbarkas
Lithuania
Position#3
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Telsiai v Jurbarkas
05 Dec 2026
TELS v JURB
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
TELS74
JURB71
27 Feb 2025
TELS73
JURB62
03 Oct 2024
TELS85
JURB67
08 Feb 2024
TELS95
JURB85
16 Dec 2023
TELS111
JURB78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Telsiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
W
95-85
95
85
+10
91avg 79
H08/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
80avg 79
A10/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
83-67
83
67
+16
84avg 79
H15/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
68avg 79
A17/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
104-76
104
76
+28
97avg 79
A22/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
70-62
70
62
+8
69avg 79
H24/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
79-65
79
65
+14
67avg 79
A29/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
92-100 OT
92
100
-8
no box
H13/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
no box
A16/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 79
H19/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-11
24-21
19-24
25-29
18-27
17-17
32-14
22-25
18-13
21-21
22-15
22-18
10-21
20-16
19-20
24-21
26-26
23-17
19-19
36-14
18-11
12-18
19-16
21-17
16-18
22-16
21-16
20-15
24-26
20-30
15-11
24-16
21-24
17-11
20-19
17-21
19-13
19-19
18-21
15-20
160.9Avg total
83.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.777.2160.9+6.560%
Last 5 (5)78.676.6155.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)73.671.7145.3+1.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.274.3158.4+9.970%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 78
H25/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
100-94
100
94
+6
100avg 78
A28/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
82avg 78
H02/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 78
A05/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
59avg 78
H08/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
88avg 78
A10/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
78-87
78
87
-9
75avg 78
H17/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
80avg 78
A20/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
97avg 78
H25/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
88avg 78
A28/04
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
24-26
25-19
23-26
25-24
21-17
20-25
34-28
16-20
21-20
26-17
26-38
20-28
18-23
13-24
12-17
21-22
20-18
18-18
12-11
20-19
14-13
22-19
16-21
24-29
12-21
19-20
23-17
23-18
31-21
18-21
12-16
22-14
27-23
24-18
20-21
18-13
25-16
15-22
31-33
169.7Avg total
85.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.284.5169.7+0.770%
Last 5 (5)86.280.2166.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.787.2167.9-6.625%
vs Similar (17)90.286.1176.2+4.171%
vs Weaker (1)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
TelsiaiJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H08/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A17/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A22/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H24/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A29/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H13/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H19/03
NKL
76.8Avg total
39.2Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.076.2+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.434.475.8+7.075%-
Last 30 away (14)38.937.876.6+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.676.8+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.274.8+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)34.935.170.0-0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.836.278.0+5.674%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H25/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A28/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A05/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A10/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H17/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A20/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H25/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A28/04
NKL
83.6Avg total
42.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.184.1-0.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.341.786.1+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)39.742.482.1-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.883.6+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.480.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.541.881.3-2.342%-
vs Similar (17)44.142.886.9+1.459%-
vs Weaker (1)37.033.070.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.4
53.7%
52.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.0
34.5%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.417.3
70.9%
70.5%17.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.215.5
53.1%
52.5%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.6
37.3%
32.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.114.7
77.0%
70.5%14.7
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Telsiai
LLLWWWLWWW
Jurbarkas
WWWLWWLLWW
#1
League position
#3
+15.5
Net rating
-0.1
111.2
Offensive rating
114.0
95.7
Defensive rating
114.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.5%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.3%
Turnover %
19.3%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.5%
3-point %
37.3%
62.2%
Assist %
72.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 114.0Defence95.7 · 114.1Shooting53.1% · 54.5%3-point %34.5% · 37.3%Ball care16.3% · 19.3%Off. rebounds30.0% · 36.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Telsiai   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Telsiai wins
0
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Jurbarkas v Telsiai83-89
08/02/24Telsiai v Jurbarkas95-85
16/12/23Telsiai v Jurbarkas111-78
28/10/23Jurbarkas v Telsiai80-82
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24HKretinga71-73
16/03/24AKretinga81-83 OT
13/03/24HKretinga92-100 OT
29/02/24AZalgiris Kaunas 279-65
24/02/24HSuduva-Mantinga70-62
22/02/24AVytis VDU104-76
17/02/24ABC Olimpas Palanga73-78
15/02/24HVilkaviskis83-67
10/02/24AJurbarkas89-83
08/02/24HJurbarkas95-85
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24AKretinga89-84
25/04/24HKretinga93-76
20/04/24AKretinga84-76
17/04/24HKretinga78-87
10/04/24ABC Olimpas Palanga87-78 OT
08/04/24HBC Olimpas Palanga71-69
05/04/24ABC Olimpas Palanga63-92
02/04/24HBC Olimpas Palanga89-95
28/03/24ABC Olimpas Palanga100-94
25/03/24HVytis VDU98-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Telsiai
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Jurbarkas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Telsiai2518212185
Jurbarkas1716122267
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