PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alytaus Alytus vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-91 (OT)
19-22 21-21 22-21 19-17 8-10
Position#17
Record6-28
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game86.5
Alytaus Alytus
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#4
Record19-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game77.1
LithuaniaNKL· Silutes Vyduno gimnazija
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alytaus Alytus v Neptunas 2
21 Feb 2026
ALYT89
NEPT91
13 Nov 2025
ALYT87
NEPT94
17 Dec 2024
ALYT68
NEPT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A15/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
no box
H18/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
76-104
76
104
-28
61avg 71
H22/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
60-94
60
94
-34
48avg 71
A24/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
94-98
94
98
-4
89avg 71
A29/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
91avg 71
A31/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
83-62
83
62
+21
78avg 71
A05/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
59avg 71
H07/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
87-111
87
111
-24
69avg 71
A14/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
80-83
80
83
-3
81avg 71
A19/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
21-15
19-26
24-20
18-16
18-21
9-19
23-12
16-23
21-30
20-27
19-24
12-27
14-30
10-18
24-19
18-28
28-20
20-25
28-25
23-22
24-18
18-24
21-22
19-20
25-15
21-16
18-11
17-20
20-26
17-27
21-17
17-38
25-30
14-25
31-18
20-25
16-21
26-10
18-27
172.3Avg total
81.4Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)78.986.5165.4-7.718%
Season at home (16)79.183.3162.4-4.219%
Season away (18)78.789.4168.1-10.717%
Last 10 (10)81.490.9172.3-9.520%
Last 5 (5)84.089.6173.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)77.487.7165.1-10.39%
vs Similar (8)84.983.5168.4+1.438%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
A17/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 71
H20/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
77-56
77
56
+21
71avg 71
A22/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 71
H24/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
96-59
96
59
+37
104avg 71
H29/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 71
A31/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
88-89
88
89
-1
81avg 71
H05/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
60-98
60
98
-38
51avg 71
A07/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
83-64
83
64
+19
84avg 71
H14/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
77-70
77
70
+7
69avg 71
H19/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
24-18
25-11
23-15
16-16
17-29
27-15
20-19
17-17
20-16
19-16
21-7
22-23
17-22
23-20
22-17
17-22
25-18
24-11
30-8
24-25
19-20
26-15
19-17
12-30
28-19
27-27
21-13
12-31
15-24
14-15
19-28
27-18
18-13
18-17
20-16
23-18
20-20
16-21
18-11
156.2Avg total
82.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)79.177.1156.2+1.956%
Season at home (18)80.876.5157.3+4.356%
Season away (16)77.177.9154.9-0.856%
Last 10 (10)82.373.9156.2+8.480%
Last 5 (5)79.279.6158.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.591.0157.5-24.50%
vs Similar (13)73.779.1152.8-5.454%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.173.3156.3+9.867%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +6.2+6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +6.2+6.2
Alytaus AlytusNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H22/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A24/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A29/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A31/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A05/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
42-68
42
68
-26
A14/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A19/02
NKL
85.6Avg total
39.1Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.482.0-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.342.080.3-3.731%-
Last 30 away (17)38.844.483.2-5.635%-
Last 10 (10)39.146.585.6-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.247.088.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.044.182.0-6.127%-
vs Similar (8)40.441.481.8-1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A17/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H20/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H24/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H29/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A31/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H05/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A07/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H14/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H19/02
NKL
81.1Avg total
39.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.440.076.4-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.939.877.7-1.938%-
Last 30 away (14)34.840.275.0-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.081.1-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.683.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.551.584.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (13)34.439.974.3-5.523%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.738.577.3+0.247%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.9
50.8%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.4
31.7%
32.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.014.0
66.7%
69.3%14.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.6
55.5%
54.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.2
34.6%
32.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.814.2
68.3%
69.3%14.2
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Alytus
LLLWLLLLLW
Neptunas 2
WWLLWWWWWW
#17
League position
#4
-14.2
Net rating
+10.2
89.6
Offensive rating
96.5
103.8
Defensive rating
86.2
49.5%
Effective FG%
54.2%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.7%
3-point %
34.6%
57.6%
Assist %
60.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence89.6 · 96.5Defence103.8 · 86.2Shooting49.5% · 54.2%3-point %31.7% · 34.6%Ball care15.1% · 16.7%Off. rebounds12.5% · -Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Alytaus Alytus   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alytaus Alytus wins
3
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Neptunas 2 v Alytaus Alytus75-81
13/11/25Alytaus Alytus v Neptunas 287-94
13/02/25Neptunas 2 v Alytaus Alytus111-78
17/12/24Alytaus Alytus v Neptunas 268-76
16/11/24Neptunas 2 v Alytaus Alytus80-83
Alytaus Alytuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26AOmega-Tauras80-83
14/02/26AJurbarkas87-111
07/02/26HVilkaviskis75-90
05/02/26AUkmerges Stekas83-62
31/01/26APlunges Olimpas95-102 OT
29/01/26ASilute94-98
24/01/26AMazeikiai60-94
22/01/26HKedainiu SC76-104
18/01/26HOmega-Tauras81-84 OT
15/01/26ATelsiai83-81
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HUkmerges Stekas77-70
14/02/26HOmega-Tauras83-64
07/02/26ASuduva-Mantinga60-98
05/02/26HVytis VDU88-89
31/01/26AKretinga88-77
29/01/26HOmega-Tauras96-59
24/01/26HJurbarkas84-82
22/01/26ABC Olimpas Palanga77-56
20/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas 280-79
17/01/26APlunges Olimpas90-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL18%
HomeLLLLL19%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %18%19%17%
Points / game78.979.178.7
Allowed / game86.583.389.4
Point differential-7.7-4.2-10.7
Avg total165.4162.4168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won8% (12)0% (6)17% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeWWLWW56%
AwayWWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game79.180.877.1
Allowed / game77.176.577.9
Point differential+1.9+4.3-0.8
Avg total156.2157.3154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)40% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3429585%90.375.0+15.3
2 Vytis VDU3324973%88.784.1+4.6
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 234231168%86.984.2+2.7
4 Kedainiu SC33211264%87.485.2+2.2
5 Neptunas 234191556%79.177.1+1.9
6 Vilkaviskis33181555%82.077.9+4.1
7 Mazeikiai33181555%83.881.3+2.4
8 Rytas 233181555%83.181.1+2.0
9 Telsiai33181555%85.085.2-0.2
10 Jurbarkas34181653%80.678.4+2.2
11 Kretinga34161847%83.585.3-1.8
12 Silute34142041%86.690.4-3.9
13 Omega-Tauras34142041%84.688.6-4.0
14 BC Olimpas Palanga34132138%79.583.7-4.2
15 Plunges Olimpas3382524%80.586.5-6.0
16 Ukmerges Stekas3382524%78.988.8-9.8
17 Alytaus Alytus3462818%78.986.5-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Alytaus Alytus19212219889
Neptunas 2222121171091
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.