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Aomori vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 79-93
26-28 16-24 20-19 17-22
Position#12
Record18-33
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Toyama 🏆
Japan
Position#3
Record34-17
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game80.6
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aomori v Toyama
26 Mar 2025
AOMO79
TOYA93
13 Oct 2024
AOMO56
TOYA95
12 Oct 2024
AOMO75
TOYA97
02 Nov 2014
AOMO88
TOYA95
01 Nov 2014
AOMO71
TOYA78
17 Nov 2013
AOMO66
TOYA73
16 Nov 2013
AOMO74
TOYA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
83-93
83
93
-10
76avg 70
A22/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
65avg 70
A23/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
82avg 70
H01/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
59-89
59
89
-30
45avg 70
H02/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
74-85
74
85
-11
62avg 70
H08/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
74-86
74
86
-12
71avg 70
H09/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
78-92
78
92
-14
59avg 70
A15/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
86-93
86
93
-7
77avg 70
A16/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
62-95
62
95
-33
45avg 70
A22/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
72-101
72
101
-29
58avg 70
A23/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
25-21
15-26
21-23
14-14
25-23
27-18
12-15
20-20
15-22
19-21
30-21
17-16
13-25
16-27
13-21
20-24
20-26
16-15
18-20
27-20
17-25
19-24
11-17
23-25
16-27
21-21
18-19
21-31
20-20
19-25
26-17
17-14
13-23
19-35
13-23
13-28
22-26
18-23
19-24
166.4Avg total
76.1Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)77.986.3164.1-8.435%
Season at home (25)78.284.2162.5-6.044%
Season away (26)77.588.2165.7-10.727%
Last 10 (10)76.190.3166.4-14.210%
Last 5 (5)74.493.4167.8-19.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.086.8163.8-9.827%
vs Similar (2)71.074.0145.0-3.050%
vs Weaker (2)93.579.0172.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
91-87
91
87
+4
89avg 77
H25/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
56avg 77
H26/02
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
83-68
83
68
+15
82avg 77
A01/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
60-79
60
79
-19
53avg 77
A02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
68-56
68
56
+12
61avg 77
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
91-62
91
62
+29
92avg 77
H12/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
89avg 77
A15/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 77
A16/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
79avg 77
H22/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
78avg 77
H23/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
26-16
19-21
21-32
16-29
29-29
11-27
16-23
25-14
28-12
18-33
12-9
20-21
20-23
11-20
9-15
17-9
13-17
17-15
21-15
31-14
17-16
17-12
26-20
22-14
22-16
22-25
26-21
24-10
21-17
17-18
17-26
15-22
19-21
19-18
23-15
17-25
24-16
26-21
21-15
158.4Avg total
81.3Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)88.080.6168.5+7.467%
Season at home (26)87.280.6167.8+6.565%
Season away (25)88.880.6169.4+8.268%
Last 10 (10)81.377.1158.4+4.280%
Last 5 (5)87.874.6162.4+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.597.5179.0-16.050%
vs Similar (8)85.090.6175.6-5.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.277.4167.6+12.875%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
AomoriToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A23/02
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H01/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H02/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H08/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H09/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A15/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A16/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A22/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A23/03
B2.League
83.3Avg total
38.0Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.178.8-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.937.476.3+1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)38.642.481.0-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.045.383.3-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.847.885.6-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)39.240.980.0-1.731%-
vs Similar (2)33.031.064.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (2)39.038.577.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H25/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H26/02
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A01/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H12/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A15/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H22/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/03
B2.League
79.0Avg total
43.1Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.883.1+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.639.883.4+3.965%-
Last 30 away (13)45.237.582.8+7.769%-
Last 10 (10)43.135.979.0+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.434.276.6+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.046.094.0+2.050%-
vs Similar (8)43.044.587.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.535.880.3+8.775%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.3
48.6%
51.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.9
29.6%
32.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws17.411.6
66.7%
70.7%11.6
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.322.4
50.6%
51.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.85.7
23.9%
32.9%17.1
🏀 Free throws24.618.6
75.6%
70.7%18.6
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
LLLLLLLLWL
Toyama
WWWWWWLWLW
#12
League position
#3
-18.9
Net rating
+4.7
96.8
Offensive rating
104.3
115.6
Defensive rating
99.7
47.2%
Effective FG%
45.4%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
37.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.6%
3-point %
23.9%
63.8%
Assist %
75.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 104.3Defence115.6 · 99.7Shooting47.2% · 45.4%3-point %29.6% · 23.9%Ball care16.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds25.9% · 37.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Aomori   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aomori wins
8
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
29/01/25Toyama v Aomori83-89
28/12/24Toyama v Aomori106-79
27/12/24Toyama v Aomori104-66
13/10/24Aomori v Toyama56-95
12/10/24Aomori v Toyama75-97
08/03/15Toyama v Aomori81-96
07/03/15Toyama v Aomori76-61
02/11/14Aomori v Toyama88-95
01/11/14Aomori v Toyama71-78
06/04/14Toyama v Aomori82-67
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25AKagoshima Rebnise72-101
22/03/25AKagoshima Rebnise62-95
16/03/25AKobe86-93
15/03/25AKobe78-92
09/03/25HNara74-86
08/03/25HNara74-85
02/03/25HKumamoto59-89
01/03/25HKumamoto95-99 OT
23/02/25AFukui78-70
22/02/25AFukui83-93
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HShizuoka88-77
22/03/25HShizuoka89-87 OT
16/03/25AFukui79-71
15/03/25AFukui92-76
12/03/25HYamagata Wyverns91-62
11/03/25HYamagata Wyverns68-56
02/03/25AKobe60-79
01/03/25AKobe83-68
26/02/25HAltiri Chiba72-108
25/02/25HAltiri Chiba91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeLLLLL44%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %35%44%27%
Points / game77.978.277.5
Allowed / game86.384.288.2
Point differential-8.4-6.0-10.7
Avg total164.1162.5165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%16%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeLWWWW65%
AwayLWLWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %67%65%68%
Points / game88.087.288.8
Allowed / game80.680.680.6
Point differential+7.4+6.5+8.2
Avg total168.5167.8169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%42%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5249394%91.674.1+17.6
2 Fukuoka51351669%82.674.4+8.2
3 Toyama51341767%88.080.6+7.4
4 Shinshu51321963%84.778.0+6.6
5 Kagoshima Rebnise52322062%82.078.2+3.8
6 Shizuoka52302258%78.076.3+1.7
7 Fukui51282355%82.380.1+2.2
8 Kumamoto52232944%78.279.7-1.4
9 Nara52232944%77.479.6-2.2
10 Kobe51203139%79.383.0-3.7
11 Yamagata Wyverns51193237%78.482.1-3.7
12 Aomori51183335%77.986.3-8.4
13 Fukushima51123924%72.982.7-9.8
14 Ehime Orange Vikings5254710%72.390.6-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori2616201779
Toyama2824192293
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