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Appalachian State vs South Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 65-57
29-23 36-34
Position#119
Record15-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#120
Record14-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Appalachian State v South Alabama
02 Jan 2027
APPA v SOUT
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
APPA65
SOUT57
19 Feb 2022
APPA69
SOUT51
20 Feb 2021
APPA54
SOUT56
19 Feb 2021
APPA63
SOUT65
20 Feb 2020
APPA70
SOUT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A31/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A09/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A10/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H15/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H17/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H23/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A30/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
66-44
66
44
+22
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-19
44-54
32-44
49-44
23-25
29-25
32-26
30-41
38-27
42-38
17-36
56-39
31-30
41-28
28-20
31-23
29-27
41-36
36-24
30-20
132.2Avg total
69.6Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.864.5136.4+7.362%
Season at home (12)76.661.2137.8+15.475%
Season away (12)67.167.9135.0-0.850%
Last 10 (10)69.662.6132.2+7.070%
Last 5 (5)68.056.6124.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)63.871.0134.8-7.217%
vs Weaker (23)70.963.3134.1+7.661%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A20/12
NCAA
Mobile
#489
W
85-52
85
52
+33
H30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A31/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A03/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H10/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H17/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-25
26-42
37-28
48-24
31-30
32-28
23-30
26-29
44-32
43-39
32-36
49-45
25-26
31-33
36-40
54-43
15-24
38-24
36-33
33-34
135.9Avg total
70.8Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.068.3141.2+4.764%
Season at home (12)73.064.6137.6+8.467%
Season away (10)72.972.7145.6+0.260%
Last 10 (10)70.865.1135.9+5.770%
Last 5 (5)71.868.8140.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.091.0156.0-26.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.169.9140.1+0.250%
vs Weaker (13)75.169.5144.6+5.577%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: +3.9+3.9
Appalachian StateSouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
W
37-19
37
19
+18
A31/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A03/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A09/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A10/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H15/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
17-36
17
36
-19
H17/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A30/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A31/01
NCAA
58.1Avg total
30.3Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.629.862.4+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.529.363.9+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)30.630.360.9+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)30.327.858.1+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)28.227.455.6+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.033.067.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)30.032.362.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker (23)33.229.062.2+4.157%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A20/12
NCAA
Mobile
#489
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A31/12
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H10/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H17/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
15-24
15
24
-9
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/02
NCAA
62.2Avg total
31.8Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.965.4+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.231.165.3+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)32.732.865.5-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)31.830.462.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)28.831.860.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.731.161.9-0.436%-
vs Weaker (13)34.432.767.1+1.762%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26ATroy66-44
30/01/26ASouthern Miss70-63
23/01/26HLouisiana Monroe59-43
22/01/26HLouisiana Lafayette72-58
17/01/26HOld Dominion73-75
15/01/26HJames Madison80-65
10/01/26ACoastal Carolina62-67
09/01/26AGeorgia State52-50
03/01/26AMarshall81-88
31/12/25AOld Dominion81-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HGeorgia State69-67
30/01/26HCoastal Carolina53-48
23/01/26AJames Madison90-83
17/01/26HLouisiana Lafayette56-59
16/01/26HArkansas State91-87 OT
10/01/26HGeorgia Southern87-71
03/01/26ATroy49-59
31/12/25ALouisiana Lafayette63-58
30/12/25HMobile85-52
20/12/25ATexas State65-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game71.876.667.1
Allowed / game64.561.267.9
Point differential+7.3+15.4-0.8
Avg total136.4137.8135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%58%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
South Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game73.073.072.9
Allowed / game68.364.672.7
Point differential+4.7+8.4+0.2
Avg total141.2137.6145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)57% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2315865%83.775.7+8.0
2 Marshall2214864%80.174.0+6.1
3 South Alabama2214864%73.068.3+4.7
4 Appalachian State2415962%71.864.5+7.3
5 Georgia Southern24141058%81.479.7+1.7
6 Coastal Carolina24141058%73.271.7+1.5
7 Arkansas State23131057%81.578.7+2.8
8 Texas State24131154%73.471.1+2.3
9 Southern Miss24121250%73.573.2+0.3
10 James Madison23111248%74.475.7-1.3
11 Georgia State2391439%71.073.8-2.9
12 Old Dominion2371630%73.777.4-3.7
13 Louisiana Lafayette2371630%61.468.9-7.5
14 Louisiana Monroe2332013%71.482.6-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Appalachian State293665
South Alabama233457
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