PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Appalachian State vs South Alabama Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#206
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game60.2
vs
Position#261
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Appalachian State v South Alabama
02 Jan 2027
APPA v SOUT
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
APPA65
SOUT57
19 Feb 2022
APPA69
SOUT51
20 Feb 2021
APPA54
SOUT56
19 Feb 2021
APPA63
SOUT65
20 Feb 2020
APPA70
SOUT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A12/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A14/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
93-94
93
94
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H21/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#236
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A02/11
NCAA
Christendom
#529
W
108-43
108
43
+65
H05/11
NCAA
Auburn
#155
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A10/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#227
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-27
50-38
24-29
34-40
52-41
41-53
40-33
49-41
33-34
24-26
28-44
45-42
21-43
28-20
51-15
57-28
36-38
17-37
28-25
38-35
141.6Avg total
72.7Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.060.2129.2+8.850%
Season at home (1)108.043.0151.0+65.0100%
Season away (3)56.066.0122.0-10.033%
Last 10 (10)72.768.9141.6+3.840%
Last 5 (5)69.865.4135.2+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.576.5146.0-7.050%
vs Similar (6)71.569.7141.2+1.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)69.964.0133.9+5.962%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
H20/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H26/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#167
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H03/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#216
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H06/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#73
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A11/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#300
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H13/11
NCAA
North Texas
#100
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-40
42-35
33-26
32-28
42-14
47-40
29-35
26-33
43-40
42-54
35-34
42-52
23-32
43-34
34-32
35-44
39-34
40-38
29-33
36-33
148.9Avg total
74.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.676.0150.6-1.440%
Season at home (3)79.779.3159.0+0.367%
Season away (2)67.071.0138.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)74.974.0148.9+0.940%
Last 5 (5)74.676.0150.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.277.0149.2-4.840%
vs Similar (18)73.673.7147.3-0.144%
vs Weaker (6)75.864.7140.5+11.283%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -0.6-0.6
Appalachian StateSouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A12/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A14/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H07/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#236
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A02/11
NCAA
Christendom
#529
W
51-15
51
15
+36
H05/11
NCAA
Auburn
#155
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A10/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#227
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A14/11
NCAA
67.3Avg total
34.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.529.962.4+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.030.665.6+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)30.029.159.1+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)34.432.967.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.065.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.035.570.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (6)35.232.067.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)30.629.460.0+1.257%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H20/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
42-14
42
14
+28
H26/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#167
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#216
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H06/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#73
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A11/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#300
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H13/11
NCAA
North Texas
#100
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A14/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
34.0Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.565.7+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.430.664.0+2.859%-
Last 30 away (13)32.835.167.8-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)34.032.066.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)32.033.065.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)31.233.464.6-2.240%-
vs Similar (18)33.133.466.6-0.344%-
vs Weaker (6)34.229.864.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACharlotte66-60
10/11/26AAuburn53-75
05/11/26HChristendom108-43
02/11/26AMerrimack Warriors49-63
07/03/26HSouthern Miss73-86
28/02/26ATexas State57-60
21/02/26HGeorgia Southern89-74
19/02/26HMarshall93-94
14/02/26AJames Madison58-69
12/02/26AGeorgia Southern81-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorth Texas65-66
13/11/26HLoyola Marymount79-72
11/11/26AUCF Knights69-76
06/11/26HJacksonville State83-80 OT
03/11/26HOhio77-86
07/03/26HGeorgia Southern85-94
28/02/26HSouthern Miss55-68
26/02/26HLouisiana Monroe89-54
21/02/26HTroy65-54
20/02/26HTexas State82-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game69.0108.056.0
Allowed / game60.243.066.0
Point differential+8.8+65.0-10.0
Avg total129.2151.0122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Alabama
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game74.679.767.0
Allowed / game76.079.371.0
Point differential-1.4+0.3-4.0
Avg total150.6159.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 Georgia State52340%84.272.4+11.8
8 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
9 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
10 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.