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Appalachian State vs Southern Miss Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Appalachian State v Southern Miss
07 Mar 2026
APPA73
SOUT86
05 Feb 2025
APPA60
SOUT58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A30/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
66-44
66
44
+22
A31/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H04/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H07/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A12/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A14/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
93-94
93
94
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H21/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-27
0-0
41-36
0-0
36-24
0-0
30-20
0-0
29-23
0-0
36-34
0-0
36-33
0-0
29-27
0-0
31-27
0-0
50-38
0-0
24-29
0-0
34-40
0-0
52-41
0-0
41-53
0-0
40-33
0-0
49-41
0-0
33-34
0-0
24-26
0-0
28-44
0-0
45-42
138.9Avg total
71.7Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.767.2138.9+4.560%
Last 5 (5)74.076.6150.6-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (7)68.970.4139.3-1.629%
vs Weaker (22)71.864.3136.1+7.568%
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#52
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H13/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-30
0-0
32-35
0-0
36-42
0-0
42-42
0-0
26-26
0-0
43-39
0-0
40-47
0-0
46-34
0-0
44-53
0-0
40-36
0-0
35-29
0-0
33-26
0-0
35-33
0-0
51-47
0-0
37-33
0-0
44-44
0-0
44-28
0-0
42-45
0-0
28-41
0-0
42-37
152.1Avg total
77.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.474.7152.1+2.770%
Last 5 (5)78.272.6150.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.377.2149.5-4.940%
vs Similar (14)74.474.9149.3-0.457%
vs Weaker (6)74.567.7142.2+6.883%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
Appalachian StateSouthern Miss
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A30/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A31/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A12/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A14/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H07/03
NCAA
65.3Avg total
33.8Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.429.962.3+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.931.265.1+2.762%-
Last 30 away (14)30.828.459.2+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)33.831.565.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.271.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.033.067.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (7)33.731.765.4+2.057%-
vs Weaker (22)32.029.261.1+2.859%-
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#52
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H13/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A08/03
NCAA
72.1Avg total
35.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.933.266.1-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.031.463.4+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)33.734.868.4-1.156%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.272.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.832.868.6+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.634.468.0-0.830%-
vs Similar (14)32.233.265.4-1.057%-
vs Weaker (6)33.331.064.3+2.383%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Appalachian State wins
2
Southern Miss wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HSouthern Miss73-86
28/02/26ATexas State57-60
21/02/26HGeorgia Southern89-74
19/02/26HMarshall93-94
14/02/26AJames Madison58-69
12/02/26AGeorgia Southern81-65
07/02/26HEastern Michigan65-60
04/02/26HSouth Alabama65-57
31/01/26ATroy66-44
30/01/26ASouthern Miss70-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26ATroy70-78
07/03/26AAppalachian State86-73
06/03/26ATexas State81-77
05/03/26HJames Madison86-80
28/02/26ASouth Alabama68-55
25/02/26AArkansas State84-89
21/02/26HOld Dominion86-81
15/02/26HTroy69-65
13/02/26HSouth Alabama78-84
07/02/26HKent State66-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Southern Miss
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Villanova110100%74.072.0+2.0
2 Notre Dame1010%72.074.0-2.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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