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Aris vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-75
17-18 17-21 20-24 22-12
Position#11
Record6-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game75.6
Aris 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record6-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeEurocupRound 15· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2023
Meetings · Aris v Buducnost
17 Jan 2024
ARI76
BUD75
21 Oct 2015
ARI75
BUD57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
L
65-93
65
93
-28
54avg 67
A06/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
81-73
81
73
+8
85avg 67
H10/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
W
69-60
69
60
+9
57avg 67
H12/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#15
W
95-85
95
85
+10
88avg 67
A19/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#13
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
no box
A23/12
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 67
H27/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 67
A31/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 67
H06/01
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 67
A10/01
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
58avg 67
A14/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
21-20
12-23
15-21
18-12
19-18
22-16
22-27
18-16
17-8
12-20
22-16
24-21
22-20
20-18
29-26
20-21
9-24
20-15
27-16
22-11
27-22
22-17
22-21
11-20
16-21
27-18
17-26
17-14
18-17
21-10
20-22
22-23
16-22
16-31
20-14
19-23
19-21
20-15
13-21
157.2Avg total
78.1Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.475.6149.0-2.143%
Season at home (6)73.873.2147.0+0.750%
Season away (8)73.177.4150.5-4.238%
Last 10 (10)78.179.1157.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)77.077.8154.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.580.7149.2-12.28%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.575.0151.5+1.562%
vs Weaker (5)82.471.6154.0+10.880%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 72
H09/12
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#15
L
73-96
73
96
-23
58avg 72
H13/12
Eurocup
Partizan
#3
L
83-96
83
96
-13
80avg 72
A16/12
ABA League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 72
A20/12
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#9
L
82-94
82
94
-12
65avg 72
H23/12
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
77-79
77
79
-2
67avg 72
H27/12
Eurocup
Zadar
#6
W
67-57
67
57
+10
58avg 72
A30/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
98avg 72
H05/01
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 72
H10/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 72
A14/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
23-20
22-17
21-24
21-22
16-17
15-27
21-30
28-21
13-29
23-28
19-18
15-22
21-12
22-16
22-29
24-25
25-22
15-18
18-29
22-19
23-12
16-19
16-29
14-15
21-16
10-14
22-12
23-20
25-26
20-22
18-18
15-14
15-25
21-15
27-20
25-23
31-15
21-18
9-19
163.7Avg total
81.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.082.2160.2-4.243%
Season at home (7)81.180.6161.7+0.657%
Season away (7)74.983.9158.7-9.029%
Last 10 (10)81.182.6163.7-1.560%
Last 5 (5)82.277.0159.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.386.9164.1-9.614%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.780.9157.6-4.143%
vs Weaker (16)84.676.5161.1+8.181%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
ArisBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A06/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H10/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H12/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#15
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#13
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A23/12
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H27/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#3
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A31/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/01
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A10/01
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A14/01
Basket League
75.5Avg total
37.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.438.474.8-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.934.569.4+0.464%-
Last 30 away (16)37.641.879.4-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)37.238.375.5-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.876.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.939.873.8-5.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.337.574.8-0.246%-
vs Weaker (5)39.837.277.0+2.680%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H09/12
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#15
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H13/12
Eurocup
Partizan
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A16/12
ABA League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A20/12
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H23/12
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H27/12
Eurocup
Zadar
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A30/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H05/01
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H10/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A14/01
ABA League
80.6Avg total
41.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.881.2+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.038.480.4+3.675%-
Last 30 away (14)40.641.582.1-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.080.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.079.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.144.085.1-2.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.940.077.9-2.129%-
vs Weaker (16)42.937.980.9+5.094%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.1
51.8%
54.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.1
37.1%
35.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.012.9
75.9%
74.5%12.9
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.4
53.5%
54.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.3
33.3%
35.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.015.6
74.3%
74.5%15.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLWLWLWWWL
Buducnost
WWWWLLWLLW
#11
League position
#13
-0.5
Net rating
-2.0
105.6
Offensive rating
108.7
106.1
Defensive rating
110.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
21.6%
Turnover %
18.8%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.1%
3-point %
33.3%
55.5%
Assist %
52.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 108.7Defence106.1 · 110.8Shooting53.6% · 52.3%3-point %37.1% · 33.3%Ball care21.6% · 18.8%Off. rebounds30.2% · 33.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Aris   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aris wins
1
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
08/11/23Buducnost v Aris63-65
25/11/15Buducnost v Aris75-56
21/10/15Aris v Buducnost75-57
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AAS Karditsas71-80
10/01/24ACluj-Napoca74-90
06/01/24HApollon Patras76-63
31/12/23AOlympiacos71-85
27/12/23HSlask Wroclaw93-71
23/12/23ALavrio86-91 OT
19/12/23ATurk Telekom95-85
12/12/23HLietkabelis69-60
10/12/23HPeristeri81-73
06/12/23AGran Canaria65-93
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto86-75
10/01/24HJL Bourg78-74
05/01/24HMornar Bar103-100 OT
30/12/23AZadar67-57
27/12/23HCluj-Napoca77-79
23/12/23HStudentski Centar82-94
20/12/23ASlask Wroclaw80-79
16/12/23APartizan83-96
13/12/23HTurk Telekom73-96
09/12/23HFMP Beograd82-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%50%38%
Points / game73.473.873.1
Allowed / game75.673.277.4
Point differential-2.1+0.7-4.2
Avg total149.0147.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Buducnost
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game78.081.174.9
Allowed / game82.280.683.9
Point differential-4.2+0.6-9.0
Avg total160.2161.7158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1514193%99.080.3+18.7
2 Gran Canaria1411379%89.178.7+10.4
3 JL Bourg1411379%83.877.7+6.1
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1511473%95.988.6+7.3
5 Cluj-Napoca1410471%84.680.1+4.5
6 London Lions1410471%91.588.9+2.6
7 Joventut Badalona149564%87.484.4+3.0
8 Besiktas148657%79.377.4+1.9
9 Ulm148657%89.187.6+1.4
10 Prometey158753%86.685.4+1.2
11 Trento157847%79.882.6-2.8
12 Aris146843%73.475.6-2.1
13 Buducnost146843%78.082.2-4.2
14 Venezia156940%84.686.3-1.7
15 Turk Telekom145936%80.182.8-2.6
16 Lietkabelis145936%82.986.6-3.8
17 BC Wolves1551033%81.289.9-8.7
18 Hamburg1421214%82.098.9-16.9
19 Slask Wroclaw1521313%77.884.0-6.2
20 Cedevita Olimpija150150%83.791.9-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1717202276
Buducnost1821241275
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