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Aris vs Ionikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 103-64
26-17 31-17 27-14 19-16
Position#7
Record9-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game75.8
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#12
Record4-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game90.1
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 20
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Aris v Ionikos
25 Mar 2023
ARI103
ION64
13 Feb 2022
ARI79
ION75
10 Apr 2021
ARI74
ION62
19 Oct 2019
ARI72
ION77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ionikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
61-64
61
64
-3
48avg 66
A07/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
65avg 66
A15/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
77-70
77
70
+7
64avg 66
H22/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
60avg 66
A29/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
H04/02
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 66
A12/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
51-82
51
82
-31
no box
A17/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 66
H05/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
no box
A12/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
62avg 66
A18/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
15-17
16-13
14-15
7-24
17-21
25-29
30-22
20-16
19-22
20-15
18-17
13-16
18-29
24-22
20-22
26-19
13-16
19-16
16-13
20-20
17-17
24-12
21-25
4-22
20-17
13-21
14-22
19-19
16-20
12-23
31-21
16-16
18-20
22-14
13-19
19-22
18-18
14-22
19-19
150.5Avg total
72.4Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.275.8151.9+0.447%
Season at home (9)74.969.4144.3+5.467%
Season away (10)77.381.5158.8-4.230%
Last 10 (10)72.478.1150.5-5.730%
Last 5 (5)71.679.6151.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.287.9162.1-13.711%
vs Similar (11)73.972.7146.6+1.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.172.9153.0+7.262%
This opponent (Ionikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IonikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIonikos
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#9
L
63-95
63
95
-32
56avg 64
A02/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
56avg 64
H07/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
48-89
48
89
-41
39avg 64
A14/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
66-74
66
74
-8
55avg 64
H21/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
70-102
70
102
-32
62avg 64
A28/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
61avg 64
H05/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-100
68
100
-32
52avg 64
A12/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
79-98
79
98
-19
73avg 64
H04/03
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
L
66-93
66
93
-27
61avg 64
A11/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
75-102
75
102
-27
61avg 64
H18/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
12-21
9-30
22-25
28-13
15-19
17-19
18-20
12-25
12-17
9-21
15-26
22-23
13-22
13-19
18-10
10-28
20-27
15-30
25-17
25-20
13-19
16-14
20-18
9-27
11-21
18-20
30-32
25-29
11-20
19-24
24-25
13-17
18-18
16-31
19-27
27-27
14-30
21-22
13-23
158.2Avg total
68.7Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.490.1163.4-16.721%
Season at home (10)77.386.5163.8-9.240%
Season away (9)69.094.0163.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)68.789.5158.2-20.820%
Last 5 (5)72.492.8165.2-20.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)74.388.2162.5-13.925%
vs Similar (6)79.082.8161.8-3.817%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -7.5-7.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -7.7-7.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -7.5-7.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -7.7-7.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
ArisIonikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A15/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H04/02
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A12/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A17/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H05/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A12/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/03
Basket League
72.1Avg total
33.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.938.173.0-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.736.373.0+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)33.339.873.1-6.419%-
Last 10 (10)33.139.072.1-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)33.438.271.6-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.342.773.0-12.311%-
vs Similar (11)38.336.775.0+1.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)35.634.169.8+1.525%-
This opponent (Ionikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IonikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A02/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A14/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H21/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A28/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
20-48
20
48
-28
A12/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H04/03
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A11/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H18/03
Basket League
77.2Avg total
33.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.843.179.9-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.442.280.6-3.831%-
Last 30 away (14)35.044.179.1-9.114%-
Last 10 (10)33.044.277.2-11.210%-
Last 5 (5)33.245.678.8-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.244.180.3-7.917%-
vs Similar (6)39.339.078.3+0.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.8
47.2%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.1
30.3%
33.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.612.4
66.7%
71.9%12.4
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ionikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ionikos: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.6
47.2%
53.1%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.6
28.7%
33.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.411.7
71.3%
71.9%11.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLLLWWLWLL
Ionikos
LLLLWLLLWL
#7
League position
#12
-0.7
Net rating
-27.2
99.6
Offensive rating
88.6
100.2
Defensive rating
115.8
46.5%
Effective FG%
45.4%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
21.3%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.3%
3-point %
28.7%
62.5%
Assist %
74.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 88.6Defence100.2 · 115.8Shooting46.5% · 45.4%3-point %30.3% · 28.7%Ball care17.5% · 21.3%Off. rebounds30.6% · 23.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Aris   ■ Ionikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Aris wins
5
Ionikos wins
DateGameScore
11/12/22Ionikos v Aris90-97 OT
13/02/22Aris v Ionikos79-75
09/10/21Ionikos v Aris93-83 OT
10/04/21Aris v Ionikos74-62
03/01/21Ionikos v Aris68-64
26/09/20Ionikos v Aris85-73
26/01/20Ionikos v Aris72-65
19/10/19Aris v Ionikos72-77
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23ALavrio70-81
12/03/23AAS Karditsas77-78 OT
05/03/23HPeristeri78-83
17/02/23AOlympiacos51-82
12/02/23AApollon Patras82-74
04/02/23HAEK Athens74-64
29/01/23AOlympiacos75-89
22/01/23HPAOK77-70
15/01/23APanathinaikos79-96
07/01/23APromitheas61-64
Ionikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23HPeristeri75-102
11/03/23AApollon Patras66-93
04/03/23HAEK Athens79-98
12/02/23AOlympiacos68-100
05/02/23HPAOK74-71
28/01/23APanathinaikos70-102
21/01/23HPromitheas66-74
14/01/23AKolossos Rhodes48-89
07/01/23HAS Karditsas78-71
02/01/23ALavrio63-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL47%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%67%30%
Points / game76.274.977.3
Allowed / game75.869.481.5
Point differential+0.4+5.4-4.2
Avg total151.9144.3158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Ionikos
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%40%0%
Points / game73.477.369.0
Allowed / game90.186.594.0
Point differential-16.7-9.2-25.0
Avg total163.4163.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos19190100%92.271.5+20.7
2 Panathinaikos1814478%83.170.1+13.0
3 Peristeri1912763%83.477.5+5.9
4 AEK Athens1811761%76.175.8+0.2
5 PAOK1911858%80.477.1+3.4
6 Promitheas1910953%75.476.7-1.4
7 Kolossos Rhodes189950%77.176.6+0.6
8 Aris1991047%76.275.8+0.4
9 Lavrio1951426%74.782.5-7.8
10 Apollon Patras2051525%69.477.5-8.1
11 AS Karditsas1941521%72.081.1-9.1
12 Ionikos1941521%73.490.1-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris26312719103
Ionikos1717141664
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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