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Aris vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 13:45
Final 77-70
20-16 19-22 20-15 18-17
Position#7
Record6-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game75.1
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#6
Record7-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game76.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 13
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Aris v PAOK
30 Jan 2027
ARI v PAK
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
ARI73
PAK78
01 Dec 2024
ARI88
PAK82
11 Feb 2024
ARI77
PAK63
22 Jan 2023
ARI77
PAK70
20 Apr 2022
ARI77
PAK76
20 Mar 2021
ARI71
PAK77
29 Sep 2019
ARI85
PAK82
23 Mar 2019
ARI58
PAK62
21 Mar 2018
ARI65
PAK66
04 Oct 2017
ARI70
PAK63
29 Apr 2017
ARI69
PAK65
22 Oct 2016
ARI62
PAK66
17 Jun 2015
ARI76
PAK77
09 Jun 2015
ARI92
PAK88
01 Feb 2015
ARI62
PAK57
19 Oct 2013
ARI75
PAK79
24 Nov 2012
ARI63
PAK72
14 Mar 2012
ARI81
PAK71
05 Jun 2011
ARI80
PAK91
29 May 2011
ARI73
PAK70
06 Nov 2010
ARI81
PAK68
06 Feb 2010
ARI69
PAK59
15 Nov 2008
ARI87
PAK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 65
H24/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
76-63
76
63
+13
72avg 65
A29/10
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
70-57
70
57
+13
65avg 65
H05/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
90-92
90
92
-2
81avg 65
A19/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
71avg 65
H26/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
87-61
87
61
+26
81avg 65
H04/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
no box
A11/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
68-74
68
74
-6
53avg 65
H26/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
61-64
61
64
-3
48avg 65
A07/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
65avg 65
A15/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
12-21
21-27
20-15
25-18
22-18
16-16
13-11
11-22
19-10
17-15
23-10
21-23
23-30
28-18
18-21
15-13
29-18
17-22
24-15
25-18
23-17
17-16
22-10
12-22
14-11
25-18
28-28
13-22
19-13
14-14
22-25
16-19
15-17
16-13
14-15
7-24
17-21
25-29
30-22
152.7Avg total
77.9Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.275.1151.2+1.150%
Season at home (6)74.268.0142.2+6.267%
Season away (6)78.282.2160.3-4.033%
Last 10 (10)77.974.8152.7+3.150%
Last 5 (5)78.477.0155.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.989.9164.8-15.011%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.474.5148.9-0.150%
vs Weaker (6)80.367.7148.0+12.783%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
92-63
92
63
+29
94avg 68
A04/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 68
H11/12
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
75avg 68
H13/12
Champions League
Dijon
#22
W
74-69
74
69
+5
70avg 68
A20/12
Champions League
AEK Athens
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
A27/12
Basket League
Rytas
#13
L
62-85
62
85
-23
42avg 68
A03/01
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
97-60
97
60
+37
96avg 68
H08/01
Basket League
Rytas
#13
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 68
H11/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
70-81
70
81
-11
63avg 68
H15/01
Basket League
Rytas
#13
L
63-82
63
82
-19
50avg 68
A17/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
25-15
30-16
17-17
14-23
17-25
12-25
25-15
13-25
23-19
24-15
25-29
18-14
10-26
18-14
28-15
20-21
19-15
17-16
27-19
16-23
16-23
12-19
18-20
23-10
27-17
23-13
24-20
17-23
29-11
11-24
24-20
20-17
20-21
15-20
15-23
15-18
22-23
13-22
13-19
154.0Avg total
77.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.776.8157.4+3.958%
Season at home (6)83.777.5161.2+6.267%
Season away (6)77.776.0153.7+1.750%
Last 10 (10)77.576.5154.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)74.677.2151.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.282.9153.1-12.79%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.173.5152.6+5.555%
vs Weaker (8)84.071.6155.6+12.475%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
ArisPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H24/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A29/10
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H05/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A19/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H26/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H04/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A11/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H26/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A15/01
Basket League
72.8Avg total
35.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.338.774.0-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.536.873.3-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)34.140.574.7-6.420%-
Last 10 (10)35.137.772.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.236.869.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.345.075.3-14.711%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.637.274.9+0.443%-
vs Weaker (6)36.031.767.7+4.350%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A04/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H11/12
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H13/12
Champions League
Dijon
#22
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A20/12
Champions League
AEK Athens
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/12
Basket League
Rytas
#13
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A03/01
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H08/01
Basket League
Rytas
#13
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H11/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/01
Basket League
Rytas
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A17/01
Champions League
76.8Avg total
38.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.676.1-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.638.679.2+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)34.538.673.1-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.476.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.278.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.542.277.6-6.718%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.837.873.6-2.036%-
vs Weaker (8)42.834.877.5+8.075%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.5
49.0%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.7
32.0%
33.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws13.88.9
64.5%
71.9%8.9
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.414.8
48.7%
53.1%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.6
39.7%
33.3%34.8
🏀 Free throws16.412.3
75.0%
71.9%12.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLLWWWLWWL
PAOK
LLWWLWWLLW
#7
League position
#6
+0.3
Net rating
+1.3
99.5
Offensive rating
108.5
99.3
Defensive rating
107.2
48.6%
Effective FG%
54.0%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.1%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.0%
3-point %
39.7%
56.7%
Assist %
55.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 108.5Defence99.3 · 107.2Shooting48.6% · 54.0%3-point %32.0% · 39.7%Ball care20.4% · 19.1%Off. rebounds34.9% · 28.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Aris   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aris wins
8
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
15/10/22PAOK v Aris88-66
20/04/22Aris v PAOK77-76
11/12/21PAOK v Aris96-64
20/03/21Aris v PAOK71-77
13/12/20PAOK v Aris75-64
05/01/20PAOK v Aris101-84
29/09/19Aris v PAOK85-82 OT
23/03/19Aris v PAOK58-62
25/11/18PAOK v Aris95-79
21/03/18Aris v PAOK65-66
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23APanathinaikos79-96
07/01/23APromitheas61-64
26/12/22HKolossos Rhodes68-74
11/12/22AIonikos97-90 OT
04/12/22HLavrio87-61
26/11/22HAS Karditsas85-68
19/11/22APeristeri90-92
05/11/22HApollon Patras70-57
29/10/22AAEK Athens76-63
24/10/22HOlympiacos66-83
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/23ARytas63-82
15/01/23HPeristeri70-81
11/01/23HRytas81-78
08/01/23HApollon Patras97-60
03/01/23ARytas62-85
27/12/22AAEK Athens83-71
20/12/22ADijon74-69
13/12/22HUnicaja85-88
11/12/22HOlympiacos68-88
04/12/22AAS Karditsas92-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game76.274.278.2
Allowed / game75.168.082.2
Point differential+1.1+6.2-4.0
Avg total151.2142.2160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
PAOK
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game80.783.777.7
Allowed / game76.877.576.0
Point differential+3.9+6.2+1.7
Avg total157.4161.2153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos12120100%94.068.7+25.3
2 Panathinaikos1210283%81.966.4+15.5
3 Peristeri128467%84.878.7+6.2
4 Kolossos Rhodes138562%74.974.3+0.6
5 AEK Athens138562%74.174.2-0.1
6 PAOK127558%80.776.8+3.9
7 Promitheas137654%74.877.2-2.3
8 Aris126650%76.275.1+1.1
9 Apollon Patras1331023%67.979.0-11.1
10 Ionikos1331023%74.088.1-14.1
11 Lavrio1221017%73.082.5-9.5
12 AS Karditsas131128%69.581.8-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2019201877
PAOK1622151770
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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