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Panathinaikos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 13:45
Final 96-79
24-7 21-17 29-25 22-30
Position#2
Record9-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#7
Record6-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game73.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 12
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Aris
07 Mar 2027
PAO v ARI
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
PAO82
ARI77
22 Dec 2024
PAO126
ARI74
28 Sep 2024
PAO81
ARI68
31 May 2024
PAO89
ARI71
17 Feb 2024
PAO76
ARI65
05 Feb 2024
PAO70
ARI73
15 Jan 2023
PAO96
ARI79
22 May 2022
PAO109
ARI79
30 Jan 2022
PAO103
ARI83
28 Feb 2021
PAO94
ARI72
26 Oct 2019
PAO108
ARI86
28 Jan 2019
PAO85
ARI65
02 Apr 2018
PAO84
ARI63
05 Mar 2017
PAO70
ARI54
18 Feb 2017
PAO68
ARI59
27 Dec 2015
PAO90
ARI69
16 Dec 2014
PAO76
ARI69
02 Mar 2014
PAO71
ARI59
09 Feb 2014
PAO90
ARI53
28 Jan 2013
PAO81
ARI62
19 Apr 2012
PAO83
ARI68
23 Oct 2011
PAO84
ARI72
29 Dec 2010
PAO87
ARI58
11 Dec 2010
PAO93
ARI62
14 Feb 2010
PAO90
ARI56
16 May 2009
PAO71
ARI69
09 May 2009
PAO84
ARI80
07 Dec 2008
PAO84
ARI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Valencia
#13
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
no box
A13/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
58avg 74
A16/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
69-88
69
88
-19
60avg 74
A23/12
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#10
W
96-65
96
65
+31
94avg 74
A26/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-95
71
95
-24
58avg 74
H30/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
75-44
75
44
+31
75avg 74
A02/01
Basket League
Bayern
#16
L
68-84
68
84
-16
48avg 74
A05/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#3
W
72-71
72
71
+1
68avg 74
H07/01
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
no box
H10/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
88-86
88
86
+2
76avg 74
H13/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
15-24
22-26
21-14
12-28
18-15
21-19
17-12
13-21
13-21
22-25
21-21
26-12
19-14
26-24
25-15
20-26
16-27
14-20
21-22
25-8
21-17
19-15
10-4
11-21
17-22
16-18
24-23
23-8
23-20
19-16
7-27
19-18
20-18
20-15
19-27
24-17
21-20
20-21
23-28
158.1Avg total
78.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.665.3145.9+15.482%
Season at home (5)80.065.6145.6+14.4100%
Season away (6)81.265.0146.2+16.267%
Last 10 (10)78.679.5158.1-0.940%
Last 5 (5)78.275.8154.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.085.4163.4-7.417%
vs Similar (7)80.082.3162.3-2.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.664.4146.0+17.391%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 65
A15/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 65
H24/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
76-63
76
63
+13
72avg 65
A29/10
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
70-57
70
57
+13
65avg 65
H05/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
90-92
90
92
-2
81avg 65
A19/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
71avg 65
H26/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
87-61
87
61
+26
81avg 65
H04/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
no box
A11/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
68-74
68
74
-6
53avg 65
H26/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
61-64
61
64
-3
48avg 65
A07/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
14-26
15-18
16-23
13-20
12-21
21-27
20-15
25-18
22-18
16-16
13-11
11-22
19-10
17-15
23-10
21-23
23-30
28-18
18-21
15-13
29-18
17-22
24-15
25-18
23-17
17-16
22-10
12-22
14-11
25-18
28-28
13-22
19-13
14-14
22-25
16-19
15-17
16-13
14-15
150.6Avg total
76.6Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.973.2149.1+2.755%
Season at home (6)74.268.0142.2+6.267%
Season away (5)78.079.4157.4-1.440%
Last 10 (10)76.674.0150.6+2.650%
Last 5 (5)79.671.4151.0+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.489.1163.5-14.812%
vs Similar (15)73.775.9149.6-2.347%
vs Weaker (6)80.367.7148.0+12.783%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
PanathinaikosAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A16/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A23/12
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#10
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A26/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H30/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A02/01
Basket League
Bayern
#16
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A05/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#3
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H07/01
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/01
Euroleague
75.9Avg total
38.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.477.0+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.537.377.9+3.253%-
Last 30 away (15)38.737.576.1+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.775.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.874.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.243.680.8-6.425%-
vs Similar (7)37.039.976.9-2.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.929.173.0+14.891%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H24/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A29/10
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H05/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A19/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H26/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H04/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A11/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H26/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/01
Basket League
74.1Avg total
36.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.439.074.4-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.536.873.3-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)34.341.175.4-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.974.1-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.070.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.145.076.1-13.912%-
vs Similar (15)36.938.375.2-1.540%-
vs Weaker (6)36.031.767.7+4.350%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.7
50.9%
53.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.8
32.7%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
71.9%12.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.7
49.2%
53.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.3
31.8%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.88.9
64.5%
71.9%8.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWLWLWLLL
Aris
LLWWWLWWLL
#2
League position
#7
+1.4
Net rating
+3.7
104.1
Offensive rating
99.7
102.7
Defensive rating
96.0
50.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
21.1%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.7%
3-point %
31.8%
52.5%
Assist %
53.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 99.7Defence102.7 · 96.0Shooting50.1% · 48.6%3-point %32.7% · 31.8%Ball care16.8% · 21.1%Off. rebounds28.6% · 36.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Panathinaikos wins
2
Aris wins
DateGameScore
09/10/22Aris v Panathinaikos69-65
24/05/22Aris v Panathinaikos65-85
22/05/22Panathinaikos v Aris109-79
30/01/22Panathinaikos v Aris103-83
03/10/21Aris v Panathinaikos81-71
28/02/21Panathinaikos v Aris94-72
17/01/21Aris v Panathinaikos75-93
15/02/20Aris v Panathinaikos81-88
26/10/19Panathinaikos v Aris108-86
28/01/19Panathinaikos v Aris85-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-86
10/01/23HFenerbahce88-94 OT
07/01/23HPeristeri72-71
05/01/23ABayern68-84
02/01/23APromitheas75-44
30/12/22HOlympiacos71-95
26/12/22AApollon Patras96-65
23/12/22AAnadolu Efes69-88
16/12/22ABarcelona68-74
13/12/22AValencia91-94 OT
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23APromitheas61-64
26/12/22HKolossos Rhodes68-74
11/12/22AIonikos97-90 OT
04/12/22HLavrio87-61
26/11/22HAS Karditsas85-68
19/11/22APeristeri90-92
05/11/22HApollon Patras70-57
29/10/22AAEK Athens76-63
24/10/22HOlympiacos66-83
15/10/22APAOK66-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game80.680.081.2
Allowed / game65.365.665.0
Point differential+15.4+14.4+16.2
Avg total145.9145.6146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game75.974.278.0
Allowed / game73.268.079.4
Point differential+2.7+6.2-1.4
Avg total149.1142.2157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos11110100%93.769.5+24.3
2 Panathinaikos119282%80.665.3+15.4
3 Peristeri117464%85.279.5+5.7
4 PAOK117464%81.676.4+5.3
5 Kolossos Rhodes127558%75.175.3-0.2
6 AEK Athens127558%74.575.2-0.8
7 Aris116555%75.973.2+2.7
8 Promitheas126650%74.978.1-3.2
9 Apollon Patras113827%69.378.3-9.0
10 Ionikos123925%74.789.2-14.6
11 Lavrio1221017%73.082.5-9.5
12 AS Karditsas121118%70.282.6-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2421292296
Aris717253079
← all games of the day
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