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Aris vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-77
15-25 19-16 17-11 33-25
Position#11
Record8-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game75.0
Aris 🏆
vs
Position#16
Record7-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game83.8
EuropeEurocupRound 18· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 68
A31/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 68
H06/01
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 68
A10/01
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
58avg 68
A14/01
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 68
H17/01
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
88avg 68
A20/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
55avg 68
H24/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
98-91
98
91
+7
90avg 68
H28/01
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
86-66
86
66
+20
81avg 68
A31/01
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 68
A05/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
16-21
27-18
17-26
17-14
18-17
21-10
20-22
22-23
16-22
16-31
20-14
19-23
19-21
20-15
13-21
17-18
17-21
20-24
22-12
19-22
24-20
24-29
26-20
10-22
24-17
17-20
17-17
23-18
30-30
18-21
27-22
23-26
26-14
22-8
15-18
25-10
14-24
12-23
22-13
157.3Avg total
78.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.075.0149.0-1.047%
Season at home (8)73.473.8147.1-0.450%
Season away (9)74.676.1150.7-1.644%
Last 10 (10)78.678.7157.3-0.160%
Last 5 (5)83.678.8162.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.477.2146.6-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.675.9155.4+3.775%
vs Weaker (4)83.872.0155.8+11.875%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
L
62-75
62
75
-13
55avg 74
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 74
H07/01
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
65avg 74
A10/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#11
L
80-99
80
99
-19
64avg 74
A13/01
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
85avg 74
H16/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
61avg 74
H20/01
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 74
A23/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
L
68-93
68
93
-25
56avg 74
A27/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#13
L
78-97
78
97
-19
73avg 74
H31/01
Eurocup
Varese
#12
W
90-84
90
84
+6
82avg 74
H04/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
16-24
20-19
11-18
25-14
16-24
14-19
19-22
20-17
14-21
16-19
20-21
21-26
16-27
21-23
22-23
20-20
18-23
27-16
20-20
17-25
15-27
15-25
22-16
18-28
20-14
22-24
23-22
15-22
14-22
18-24
21-25
14-22
25-23
17-34
22-18
20-29
25-15
21-21
24-19
162.4Avg total
75.9Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.983.8163.6-3.941%
Season at home (9)77.484.2161.7-6.844%
Season away (8)82.683.2165.9-0.638%
Last 10 (10)75.986.5162.4-10.620%
Last 5 (5)77.691.0168.6-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.485.2164.7-5.833%
vs Similar ◀ (19)83.284.3167.5-1.153%
vs Weaker (2)84.577.0161.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
ArisTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A31/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/01
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A10/01
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A14/01
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H17/01
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A20/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H24/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H28/01
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A31/01
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A05/02
Basket League
79.3Avg total
39.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.175.6-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.234.971.1+1.364%-
Last 30 away (16)38.640.979.5-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.379.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.684.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.137.871.9-3.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.238.477.6+0.956%-
vs Weaker (4)39.037.876.8+1.275%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H07/01
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A10/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#11
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A13/01
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H16/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H20/01
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A23/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A27/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H31/01
Eurocup
Varese
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H04/02
Lega A
80.1Avg total
36.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.980.8-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.139.581.6+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)38.142.180.2-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)36.443.780.1-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)36.645.482.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.342.482.8-2.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.140.280.2-0.147%-
vs Weaker (2)37.041.078.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.8
52.0%
54.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.7
35.8%
35.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.012.9
75.9%
74.5%12.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.7
50.5%
54.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.5
30.6%
35.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.311.2
78.3%
74.5%11.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WWWLWWLLWL
Trento
WLLLLWLLLL
#11
League position
#16
-0.7
Net rating
-15.5
106.7
Offensive rating
97.4
107.4
Defensive rating
112.9
52.8%
Effective FG%
48.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
20.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.8%
3-point %
30.6%
52.7%
Assist %
68.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 97.4Defence107.4 · 112.9Shooting52.8% · 48.5%3-point %35.8% · 30.6%Ball care20.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds32.0% · 24.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Aris   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
1
Trento wins
DateGameScore
29/11/23Trento v Aris69-67
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/24APanathinaikos73-70
31/01/24AUlm86-66
28/01/24HKolossos Rhodes98-91
24/01/24HJL Bourg68-76
20/01/24AAEK Athens93-91
17/01/24HBuducnost76-75
14/01/24AAS Karditsas71-80
10/01/24ACluj-Napoca74-90
06/01/24HApollon Patras76-63
31/12/23AOlympiacos71-85
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HVarese90-84
31/01/24HBuducnost78-97
27/01/24AVenezia68-93
23/01/24ACluj-Napoca83-88
20/01/24HBrescia69-93
16/01/24HSlask Wroclaw85-79
13/01/24ACremona80-99
10/01/24ATurk Telekom70-78
07/01/24HOlimpia Milano74-79
30/12/23AScafati62-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW47%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game74.073.474.6
Allowed / game75.073.876.1
Point differential-1.0-0.4-1.6
Avg total149.0147.1150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%12%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Trento
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL41%
HomeWLWWL44%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%44%38%
Points / game79.977.482.6
Allowed / game83.884.283.2
Point differential-3.9-6.8-0.6
Avg total163.6161.7165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %12%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1716194%98.279.9+18.3
2 JL Bourg1814478%83.476.4+7.0
3 Cluj-Napoca1813572%86.582.7+3.8
4 Gran Canaria1712571%89.680.4+9.3
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1712571%96.289.8+6.4
6 London Lions1712571%90.987.2+3.7
7 Prometey1810856%88.887.4+1.3
8 Joventut Badalona1810856%86.385.3+0.9
9 Ulm1810856%86.886.6+0.2
10 Besiktas179853%79.379.6-0.4
11 Aris178947%74.075.0-1.0
12 Turk Telekom1881044%80.280.2+0.0
13 Venezia1881044%84.785.8-1.2
14 Buducnost1771041%79.181.7-2.6
15 Trento1771041%79.983.8-3.9
16 BC Wolves1771041%81.687.6-6.0
17 Lietkabelis1871139%82.687.1-4.4
18 Slask Wroclaw1821611%76.784.9-8.3
19 Hamburg1821611%82.398.7-16.4
20 Cedevita Olimpija171166%85.591.4-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1519173384
Trento2516112577
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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