PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trento vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 90-84
20-29 25-15 21-21 24-19
Position#6
Record9-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game83.7
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record7-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game90.0
ItalyLega ARound 19· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Trento v Varese
18 Oct 2026
TRE87
VAR85
08 Feb 2026
TRE84
VAR78
13 Oct 2024
TRE106
VAR100
04 Feb 2024
TRE90
VAR84
22 Jan 2023
TRE90
VAR80
28 Jan 2022
TRE84
VAR90
22 Nov 2020
TRE74
VAR77
19 Apr 2020
TRE v VAR
upcoming
02 Feb 2019
TRE74
VAR71
10 Mar 2018
TRE82
VAR74
18 Dec 2016
TRE84
VAR68
15 Nov 2015
TRE89
VAR63
02 Mar 2015
TRE78
VAR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 74
H27/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#14
L
62-75
62
75
-13
55avg 74
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 74
H07/01
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
65avg 74
A10/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#11
L
80-99
80
99
-19
64avg 74
A13/01
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
85avg 74
H16/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
61avg 74
H20/01
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 74
A23/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
L
68-93
68
93
-25
56avg 74
A27/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#13
L
78-97
78
97
-19
73avg 74
H31/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
15-10
19-19
22-24
15-14
16-24
20-19
11-18
25-14
16-24
14-19
19-22
20-17
14-21
16-19
20-21
21-26
16-27
21-23
22-23
20-20
18-23
27-16
20-20
17-25
15-27
15-25
22-16
18-28
20-14
22-24
23-22
15-22
14-22
18-24
21-25
14-22
25-23
17-34
22-18
159.6Avg total
74.5Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.083.7165.7-1.750%
Season at home (8)86.984.8171.6+2.162%
Season away (10)78.182.9161.0-4.840%
Last 10 (10)74.585.1159.6-10.620%
Last 5 (5)76.690.0166.6-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.885.4164.2-6.630%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.884.3167.1-1.450%
vs Weaker (2)84.577.0161.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-74
70
74
-4
64avg 83
H17/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 83
A23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
116-93
116
93
+23
121avg 83
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-96
101
96
+5
98avg 83
A06/01
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
100-81
100
81
+19
98avg 83
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
92-103
92
103
-11
84avg 83
H14/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-81
69
81
-12
56avg 83
H21/01
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
88avg 83
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 83
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
77-81
77
81
-4
64avg 83
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
21-22
18-17
13-18
18-21
19-24
24-21
27-15
39-17
31-24
25-28
21-24
24-26
33-24
23-20
21-26
26-19
26-19
29-16
19-27
22-31
25-29
18-26
27-17
20-27
20-20
16-17
13-17
25-21
20-16
18-20
27-21
19-12
20-23
26-22
18-25
27-19
13-27
18-19
19-16
173.6Avg total
88.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.490.0175.4-4.639%
Season at home (10)84.484.5168.9-0.140%
Season away (8)86.896.9183.6-10.138%
Last 10 (10)88.685.0173.6+3.660%
Last 5 (5)82.285.0167.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.497.2178.6-15.912%
vs Similar ◀ (15)90.088.0178.0+2.053%
vs Weaker (7)91.382.6173.9+8.771%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
TrentoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H27/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#14
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H07/01
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A10/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#11
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A13/01
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H16/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H20/01
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A23/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A27/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H31/01
Eurocup
77.4Avg total
35.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.980.7-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.839.581.3+2.350%-
Last 30 away (16)38.142.180.2-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)35.442.077.4-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.245.280.4-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.442.683.0-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.839.979.7-0.244%-
vs Weaker (2)37.041.078.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A23/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
70-41
70
41
+29
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A06/01
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H14/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/01
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
90.4Avg total
46.6Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.444.990.2+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.642.890.3+4.856%-
Last 30 away (14)42.947.390.1-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)46.643.890.4+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.087.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.053.195.1-11.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.643.288.8+2.453%-
vs Weaker (7)48.739.087.7+9.771%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.5
52.1%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.6
30.8%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws12.99.9
76.7%
76.3%9.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.317.3
53.6%
53.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.312.8
40.9%
35.7%38.4
🏀 Free throws20.114.9
74.1%
76.3%14.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LLLLWLLLLW
Varese
LWWLLWWWWL
#6
League position
#12
-15.6
Net rating
+5.0
96.1
Offensive rating
111.8
111.7
Defensive rating
106.8
49.5%
Effective FG%
57.4%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.3%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.8%
3-point %
40.9%
68.3%
Assist %
55.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 111.8Defence111.7 · 106.8Shooting49.5% · 57.4%3-point %30.8% · 40.9%Ball care18.7% · 19.3%Off. rebounds23.0% · 25.0%Free throws0.20 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Trento   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Trento wins
5
Varese wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23Varese v Trento84-85
22/01/23Trento v Varese90-80
16/10/22Varese v Trento91-94 OT
30/01/22Varese v Trento90-89
28/01/22Trento v Varese84-90
28/03/21Varese v Trento88-70
22/11/20Trento v Varese74-77
29/12/19Varese v Trento81-86
02/02/19Trento v Varese74-71
21/10/18Varese v Trento93-85
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HBuducnost78-97
27/01/24AVenezia68-93
23/01/24ACluj-Napoca83-88
20/01/24HBrescia69-93
16/01/24HSlask Wroclaw85-79
13/01/24ACremona80-99
10/01/24ATurk Telekom70-78
07/01/24HOlimpia Milano74-79
30/12/23AScafati62-75
27/12/23HLietkabelis76-70
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24ALeiden77-81
28/01/24ACremona83-82
24/01/24HChemnitz90-78
21/01/24HVirtus Bologna69-81
14/01/24HVenezia92-103
10/01/24HCSM Oradea100-81
06/01/24ATreviso101-96
29/12/23HReggiana116-93
23/12/23APesaro88-81
17/12/23HOlimpia Milano70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %50%62%40%
Points / game82.086.978.1
Allowed / game83.784.882.9
Point differential-1.7+2.1-4.8
Avg total165.7171.6161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW39%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayLLWWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %39%40%38%
Points / game85.484.486.8
Allowed / game90.084.596.9
Point differential-4.6-0.1-10.1
Avg total175.4168.9183.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1915479%88.575.9+12.5
2 Virtus Bologna1813572%87.776.8+10.9
3 Venezia1913668%81.377.3+4.0
4 Olimpia Milano1812667%79.473.9+5.5
5 Basket Napoli1911858%86.083.8+2.2
6 Reggiana1911858%81.781.7+0.0
7 Scafati1910953%84.985.8-0.9
8 Trento189950%82.083.7-1.7
9 Pistoia189950%78.782.7-4.0
10 Tortona1881044%78.879.3-0.5
11 Cremona1981142%81.079.0+2.0
12 Sassari1981142%76.481.7-5.4
13 Varese1871139%85.490.0-4.6
14 Treviso1851328%80.784.3-3.7
15 Pesaro1951426%78.285.9-7.7
16 Brindisi1841422%74.183.1-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2025212490
Varese2915211984
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.