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Trento vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 69-93
17-25 15-27 15-25 22-16
Position#6
Record9-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game82.6
Trento
Italy
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record12-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game75.1
ItalyLega ARound 17· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Trento v Brescia
22 Mar 2026
TRE77
BRE85
27 Sep 2025
TRE75
BRE88
30 Mar 2025
TRE75
BRE78
20 Jan 2024
TRE69
BRE93
05 Mar 2023
TRE83
BRE76
16 Feb 2022
TRE73
BRE78
06 Nov 2021
TRE78
BRE72
20 Mar 2021
TRE91
BRE67
02 Feb 2020
TRE63
BRE56
10 Nov 2018
TRE76
BRE75
14 Oct 2017
TRE56
BRE66
23 Apr 2017
TRE99
BRE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#2
L
67-79
67
79
-12
54avg 74
A13/12
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 74
A17/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
W
98-76
98
76
+22
94avg 74
A19/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
101-94
101
94
+7
107avg 74
H23/12
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#17
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 74
H27/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#14
L
62-75
62
75
-13
55avg 74
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 74
H07/01
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
65avg 74
A10/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#11
L
80-99
80
99
-19
64avg 74
A13/01
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
85avg 74
H16/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-15
23-20
14-21
20-23
24-27
17-17
18-27
19-15
27-31
24-13
28-15
19-17
20-18
35-21
25-24
21-31
20-17
15-10
19-19
22-24
15-14
16-24
20-19
11-18
25-14
16-24
14-19
19-22
20-17
14-21
16-19
20-21
21-26
16-27
21-23
22-23
20-20
18-23
27-16
20-20
160.6Avg total
79.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.782.6166.2+1.156%
Season at home (7)89.483.6173.0+5.971%
Season away (9)79.281.8161.0-2.644%
Last 10 (10)79.181.5160.6-2.440%
Last 5 (5)74.282.0156.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.483.2162.7-3.833%
vs Similar (19)82.282.8164.9-0.653%
vs Weaker (2)84.577.0161.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
116-73
116
73
+43
121avg 72
H26/11
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
89-83
89
83
+6
80avg 72
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
110-65
110
65
+45
113avg 72
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
76avg 72
A16/12
Lega A
Kennesaw State
#227
L
59-91
59
91
-32
no box
A20/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
47-85
47
85
-38
no box
A21/12
NCAA
Venezia
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
61avg 72
A23/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
72-64
72
64
+8
1avg 72
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 72
A07/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
88-67
88
67
+21
87avg 72
H14/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-11
31-22
27-15
25-25
21-25
17-17
25-17
26-24
29-17
33-8
26-13
22-27
23-22
19-16
19-25
16-7
0-0
22-50
0-0
37-41
0-0
23-47
0-0
24-38
22-18
21-20
13-21
15-27
15-18
18-14
19-16
20-16
21-19
19-22
23-26
16-21
18-23
18-17
33-9
19-18
158.0Avg total
80.8Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.975.1161.0+10.975%
Season at home (8)89.173.0162.1+16.188%
Season away (8)82.877.1159.9+5.662%
Last 10 (10)80.877.2158.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)71.478.0149.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)58.088.5146.5-30.50%
vs Similar (7)78.476.9155.3+1.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.774.8161.5+11.981%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
TrentoBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/12
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A19/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H23/12
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#17
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H27/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#14
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H07/01
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A10/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#11
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A13/01
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H16/01
Eurocup
79.5Avg total
39.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.480.7-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.338.680.9+3.650%-
Last 30 away (16)38.642.080.6-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.979.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.078.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.641.484.0+1.144%-
vs Similar (19)39.639.979.5-0.342%-
vs Weaker (2)37.041.078.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
64-33
64
33
+31
H26/11
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
62-25
62
25
+37
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A16/12
Lega A
Kennesaw State
#227
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A20/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A21/12
NCAA
Venezia
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H14/01
Lega A
78.9Avg total
40.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.179.3+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.036.181.1+8.983%-
Last 30 away (18)37.141.178.1-4.044%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.678.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.674.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.545.875.3-16.317%-
vs Similar (7)39.439.378.7+0.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.337.281.5+7.175%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.0
54.9%
53.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.6
35.0%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws12.49.1
73.4%
76.3%9.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.3
57.1%
53.1%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.8
31.8%
35.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.515.2
77.9%
76.3%15.2
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WLLLLWWWLL
Brescia
WLWLLLWWWW
#6
League position
#3
-4.2
Net rating
+13.7
104.6
Offensive rating
113.4
108.8
Defensive rating
99.7
53.9%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
19.9%
Turnover %
13.3%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.0%
3-point %
31.8%
62.8%
Assist %
59.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 113.4Defence108.8 · 99.7Shooting53.9% · 53.6%3-point %35.0% · 31.8%Ball care19.9% · 13.3%Off. rebounds27.4% · 25.6%Free throws0.19 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Trento   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Trento wins
3
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Brescia v Trento82-90
05/03/23Trento v Brescia83-76
07/01/23Brescia v Trento73-78
03/04/22Brescia v Trento86-62
16/02/22Trento v Brescia73-78
06/11/21Trento v Brescia78-72
20/03/21Trento v Brescia91-67
15/11/20Brescia v Trento73-80
02/02/20Trento v Brescia63-56
13/10/19Brescia v Trento92-66
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24HSlask Wroclaw85-79
13/01/24ACremona80-99
10/01/24ATurk Telekom70-78
07/01/24HOlimpia Milano74-79
30/12/23AScafati62-75
27/12/23HLietkabelis76-70
23/12/23HBasket Napoli101-94
19/12/23AGran Canaria98-76
17/12/23ATreviso78-86
13/12/23AJL Bourg67-79
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HTreviso88-67
07/01/24ABrindisi79-88
30/12/23HOlimpia Milano72-64
23/12/23AVenezia71-86
21/12/23AWestern Carolina47-85
20/12/23AKennesaw State59-91
16/12/23AReggiana77-70
10/12/23HSassari110-65
03/12/23AScafati89-83
26/11/23HVarese116-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL56%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%71%44%
Points / game83.789.479.2
Allowed / game82.683.681.8
Point differential+1.1+5.9-2.6
Avg total166.2173.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%88%62%
Points / game85.989.182.8
Allowed / game75.173.077.1
Point differential+10.9+16.1+5.6
Avg total161.0162.1159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1612475%85.975.1+10.9
2 Venezia1612475%82.778.1+4.6
3 Virtus Bologna1611569%87.376.6+10.8
4 Basket Napoli1610662%86.481.9+4.5
5 Olimpia Milano1610662%79.075.0+4.0
6 Trento169756%83.782.6+1.1
7 Reggiana169756%83.383.0+0.3
8 Cremona168850%81.678.4+3.2
9 Scafati168850%85.286.1-0.9
10 Pistoia168850%78.181.8-3.8
11 Sassari167944%76.982.2-5.4
12 Tortona1661038%78.280.9-2.8
13 Varese1661038%86.691.1-4.4
14 Pesaro1651131%78.886.2-7.4
15 Treviso1641225%80.184.6-4.4
16 Brindisi1631319%73.283.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento1715152269
Brescia2527251693
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