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Trento vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-79
25-14 16-24 14-19 19-22
Position#6
Record9-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#1
Record8-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game74.6
ItalyLega ARound 15· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Trento v Olimpia Milano
11 Apr 2027
TRE v MIL
upcoming
10 May 2026
TRE84
MIL74
19 May 2025
TRE70
MIL67
17 May 2025
TRE70
MIL73
03 Nov 2024
TRE91
MIL57
19 May 2024
TRE69
MIL87
17 May 2024
TRE68
MIL83
07 Jan 2024
TRE74
MIL79
18 Dec 2022
TRE77
MIL75
05 Feb 2022
TRE73
MIL79
16 May 2021
TRE65
MIL74
07 Mar 2021
TRE61
MIL60
13 Apr 2020
TRE v MIL
upcoming
05 May 2019
TRE77
MIL79
15 Jun 2018
TRE71
MIL96
11 Jun 2018
TRE77
MIL74
09 Jun 2018
TRE72
MIL65
11 Nov 2017
TRE55
MIL74
31 May 2017
TRE88
MIL64
29 May 2017
TRE66
MIL87
04 Dec 2016
TRE74
MIL92
12 May 2016
TRE61
MIL62
15 Mar 2016
TRE83
MIL73
08 Oct 2015
TRE80
MIL73
01 Feb 2015
TRE84
MIL102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Aris
#11
W
69-67
69
67
+2
64avg 73
H29/11
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
W
106-79
106
79
+27
99avg 73
H03/12
Lega A
Ulm
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
76avg 73
H06/12
Eurocup
Pesaro
#16
W
87-74
87
74
+13
82avg 73
A10/12
Lega A
JL Bourg
#2
L
67-79
67
79
-12
54avg 73
A13/12
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 73
A17/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
W
98-76
98
76
+22
94avg 73
A19/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
101-94
101
94
+7
107avg 73
H23/12
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#17
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 73
H27/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#14
L
62-75
62
75
-13
55avg 73
A30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
15-15
21-11
16-24
33-17
27-21
21-26
25-15
13-21
29-22
21-20
20-22
19-12
17-22
25-13
26-27
10-15
23-20
14-21
20-23
24-27
17-17
18-27
19-15
27-31
24-13
28-15
19-17
20-18
35-21
25-24
21-31
20-17
15-10
19-19
22-24
15-14
16-24
20-19
11-18
161.2Avg total
82.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.681.6166.3+3.064%
Season at home (6)92.084.3176.3+7.783%
Season away (8)79.179.6158.8-0.550%
Last 10 (10)82.778.5161.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)83.080.2163.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.183.8163.9-3.638%
vs Similar (21)83.082.0165.0+1.057%
vs Weaker (1)84.075.0159.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
82-80
82
80
+2
78avg 77
H10/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 77
A15/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 77
A17/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
84-61
84
61
+23
85avg 77
H20/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 77
H22/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
74-51
74
51
+23
75avg 77
H24/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
73avg 77
H28/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
L
64-72
64
72
-8
49avg 77
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 77
A02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
76-62
76
62
+14
71avg 77
H05/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
27-21
19-21
15-15
29-19
22-21
17-19
22-27
17-18
22-21
17-18
18-13
22-21
24-15
21-12
17-13
24-22
17-19
15-18
12-17
16-11
16-11
22-25
20-4
20-12
26-19
14-17
16-19
18-15
14-18
16-19
16-20
19-18
16-22
15-23
24-16
19-12
15-15
16-20
26-15
146.6Avg total
76.2Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.774.6153.3+4.157%
Season at home (7)82.775.3158.0+7.471%
Season away (7)74.773.9148.6+0.943%
Last 10 (10)76.270.4146.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)72.866.2139.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.582.0151.5-12.50%
vs Similar (17)79.375.4154.7+3.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.473.5152.9+5.855%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
TrentoOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#11
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H29/11
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H03/12
Lega A
Ulm
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H06/12
Eurocup
Pesaro
#16
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A10/12
Lega A
JL Bourg
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/12
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A19/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H23/12
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#17
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H27/12
Eurocup
Scafati
#14
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A30/12
Lega A
79.0Avg total
41.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.280.6+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.139.081.1+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)38.741.580.1-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.479.0+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.481.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.841.984.6+0.938%-
vs Similar (21)39.739.779.4+0.043%-
vs Weaker (1)36.039.075.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H10/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A15/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A17/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H24/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/01
Euroleague
75.7Avg total
40.4Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.776.8+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.335.376.6+6.081%-
Last 30 away (14)38.638.476.9+0.236%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.375.7+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.830.666.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.541.583.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (17)40.537.578.1+3.059%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.034.673.6+4.473%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.2
56.8%
53.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.1
35.2%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws12.29.0
73.8%
76.3%9.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.5
53.6%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.7
35.5%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws13.110.3
78.6%
76.3%10.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LWWWLLWLWW
Olimpia Milano
WLLWWLWWWW
#6
League position
#1
+5.3
Net rating
+8.8
108.6
Offensive rating
106.7
103.3
Defensive rating
97.9
55.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.2%
3-point %
35.5%
62.9%
Assist %
60.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 106.7Defence103.3 · 97.9Shooting55.1% · 53.4%3-point %35.2% · 35.5%Ball care19.0% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.5% · 24.0%Free throws0.18 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Trento   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trento wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AScafati62-75
27/12/23HLietkabelis76-70
23/12/23HBasket Napoli101-94
19/12/23AGran Canaria98-76
17/12/23ATreviso78-86
13/12/23AJL Bourg67-79
10/12/23APesaro87-74
06/12/23HUlm83-85
03/12/23HVenezia106-79
29/11/23HAris69-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HBayern76-62
02/01/24AOlympiacos74-79
30/12/23ABrescia64-72
28/12/23HBaskonia76-67
24/12/23HCremona74-51
22/12/23HPanathinaikos68-76
20/12/23HLyon-Villeurbanne84-61
17/12/23AVarese74-70
15/12/23ABarcelona90-86
10/12/23HVirtus Bologna82-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL64%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%83%50%
Points / game84.692.079.1
Allowed / game81.684.379.6
Point differential+3.0+7.7-0.5
Avg total166.3176.3158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game78.782.774.7
Allowed / game74.675.373.9
Point differential+4.1+7.4+0.9
Avg total153.3158.0148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1411379%86.374.7+11.6
2 Venezia1411379%81.476.3+5.1
3 Virtus Bologna1410471%87.776.9+10.8
4 Trento149564%84.681.6+3.0
5 Olimpia Milano148657%78.774.6+4.1
6 Basket Napoli148657%85.782.4+3.3
7 Reggiana148657%84.682.9+1.8
8 Cremona147750%81.979.3+2.6
9 Pistoia147750%79.781.6-1.9
10 Scafati157847%84.186.8-2.7
11 Tortona156940%77.980.8-2.9
12 Varese156940%86.390.3-4.0
13 Sassari156940%74.983.1-8.3
14 Pesaro1551033%79.185.7-6.7
15 Treviso1541127%81.084.3-3.3
16 Brindisi1421214%71.982.6-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2516141974
Olimpia Milano1424192279
← all games of the day
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