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Arkansas State vs Georgia Southern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 109-83
59-40 50-43
Position#186
Record4-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#341
Record1-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game78.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Arkansas State v Georgia Southern
19 Dec 2026
ARKA v GEOR
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
ARKA77
GEOR80
04 Jan 2024
ARKA109
GEOR83
01 Jan 2022
ARKA74
GEOR56
05 Mar 2021
ARKA62
GEOR58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia Southern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#162
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H09/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A14/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-49
35-39
28-27
29-44
51-17
24-41
38-35
33-40
31-27
35-50
28-49
37-40
46-38
41-30
29-31
46-32
43-38
27-36
39-50
51-41
148.4Avg total
73.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.578.9154.4-3.531%
Season at home (3)86.076.3162.3+9.767%
Season away (10)72.379.7152.0-7.420%
Last 10 (10)73.075.4148.4-2.430%
Last 5 (5)77.477.0154.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)62.775.4138.1-12.60%
vs Similar (14)72.174.0146.1-1.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)75.670.6146.2+5.060%
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#227
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A19/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A20/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
L
76-93
76
93
-17
A21/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A28/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H02/12
NCAA
North Florida
#201
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A09/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A13/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H16/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H19/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-50
44-46
29-37
35-45
34-42
42-51
11-38
44-48
39-40
40-41
34-27
22-37
21-49
35-25
29-34
48-48
24-23
18-30
46-38
42-29
146.3Avg total
68.5Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)67.378.2145.5-10.98%
Season at home (4)71.570.8142.2+0.825%
Season away (9)65.481.6147.0-16.10%
Last 10 (10)68.577.8146.3-9.310%
Last 5 (5)63.868.0131.8-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.477.5145.9-9.113%
vs Similar (11)69.272.1141.3-2.936%
vs Weaker (4)60.861.2122.0-0.550%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -3.0-3.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -3.0-3.0
Arkansas StateGeorgia Southern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#162
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
51-17
51
17
+34
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A02/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A14/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/12
NCAA
73.3Avg total
37.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.634.867.4-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (11)32.934.467.3-1.536%-
Last 30 away (19)32.435.167.5-2.632%-
Last 10 (10)37.236.173.3+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.278.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)28.536.064.5-7.59%-
vs Similar (14)33.636.069.6-2.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.828.867.6+10.080%-
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#227
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A19/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
11-38
11
38
-27
A28/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/12
NCAA
North Florida
#201
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A09/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A13/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H16/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H19/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H30/12
NCAA
69.3Avg total
31.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.133.966.0-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.230.563.7+2.767%-
Last 30 away (18)31.436.167.6-4.728%-
Last 10 (10)31.537.869.3-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)30.834.265.0-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.736.369.1-3.640%-
vs Similar (11)32.533.365.7-0.836%-
vs Weaker (4)29.026.255.2+2.875%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Arkansas State wins
1
Georgia Southern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AGeorgia State90-91
21/12/23ABelmont70-74
14/12/23ALouisville75-63
09/12/23HUAB87-68
05/12/23AAlabama65-89
02/12/23AUALR66-77
29/11/23HJackson State71-75
26/11/23AUTRGV75-58
25/11/23ASan Diego Toreros57-71
18/11/23AIowa74-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HSouthern Miss88-67
19/12/23HFlorida Gulf Coast42-53
16/12/23HNC Wilmington77-82
13/12/23ATennessee56-74
09/12/23ANorth Florida56-64
02/12/23HJacksonville Dolphins79-81
28/11/23AMichigan State55-86
21/11/23ANortheastern76-93
20/11/23AEast Carolina64-82
19/11/23AKennesaw State92-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL31%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13310
Win %31%67%20%
Points / game75.586.072.3
Allowed / game78.976.379.7
Point differential-3.5+9.7-7.4
Avg total154.4162.3152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia Southern
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW8%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %8%25%0%
Points / game67.371.565.4
Allowed / game78.270.881.6
Point differential-10.9+0.8-16.1
Avg total145.5142.2147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison13130100%91.872.0+19.8
2 Appalachian State1310377%78.663.3+15.3
3 South Alabama138562%73.473.4+0.0
4 Troy148657%82.670.9+11.8
5 Louisiana Lafayette137654%77.171.5+5.5
6 Georgia State126650%79.974.2+5.7
7 Marshall157847%75.975.9-0.1
8 Texas State136746%69.669.8-0.2
9 Southern Miss136746%69.871.4-1.6
10 Louisiana Monroe124833%68.772.3-3.7
11 Arkansas State134931%75.578.9-3.5
12 Old Dominion1441029%70.577.0-6.5
13 Coastal Carolina123925%79.378.8+0.5
14 Georgia Southern131128%67.378.2-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State5950109
Georgia Southern404383
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