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Arkansas State vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 51-75
23-36 28-39
Position#101
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#76
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#275
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H23/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A27/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Harding
#440
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
53-92
53
92
-39
A13/11
NCAA
Central Baptist
#449
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H16/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-22
37-43
25-21
27-36
31-31
40-42
33-35
23-29
31-26
31-32
33-34
35-37
40-25
41-30
26-48
27-44
38-30
52-33
39-33
33-27
133.0Avg total
67.2Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.067.5141.5+6.575%
Season at home (2)85.559.0144.5+26.5100%
Season away (2)62.576.0138.5-13.550%
Last 10 (10)67.265.8133.0+1.450%
Last 5 (5)72.868.2141.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.478.2139.6-16.820%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.671.3140.9-1.833%
vs Weaker (11)78.765.5144.2+13.373%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#9
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
H27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A07/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#81
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A20/03
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
54-77
54
77
-23
A10/11
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A13/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#401
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H16/11
NCAA
Transylvania
#438
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-31
42-43
29-20
32-34
31-28
36-36
43-32
43-39
31-38
36-46
24-44
30-33
23-46
48-39
37-29
45-28
35-28
49-31
28-29
18-37
140.6Avg total
70.7Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)67.468.8136.2-1.440%
Season at home (2)83.058.0141.0+25.0100%
Season away (3)57.076.0133.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)70.769.9140.6+0.860%
Last 5 (5)67.468.8136.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.371.4140.7-2.157%
vs Similar ◀ (8)65.267.1132.4-1.962%
vs Weaker (14)72.257.6129.9+14.693%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
Arkansas StateMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#275
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H23/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#181
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#38
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Harding
#440
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A13/11
NCAA
Central Baptist
#449
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/11
NCAA
63.1Avg total
32.6Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.065.8+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.629.166.7+8.580%-
Last 30 away (15)30.034.964.9-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)32.630.563.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.069.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.638.265.8-10.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.430.962.3+0.542%-
vs Weaker (11)38.331.169.4+7.273%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#9
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A07/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#81
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A20/03
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A10/11
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A13/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#401
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Transylvania
#438
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A21/11
NCAA
63.8Avg total
31.3Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.230.963.1+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.928.460.3+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)32.533.566.0-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)31.332.563.8-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)29.435.264.6-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.436.968.3-5.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)29.031.060.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (14)34.228.162.4+6.179%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
1
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
29/11/20Morehead State v Arkansas State69-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/21ASoutheast Missouri State72-60
16/11/21HCentral Baptist90-63
13/11/21AIllinois53-92
10/11/21HHarding81-55
06/03/21AGeorgia State68-71
05/03/21HGeorgia Southern62-58
27/02/21AUT Arlington56-64
27/02/21AUT Arlington71-73
23/02/21HTexas State52-57
13/02/21AUALR67-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/21AMississippi St.46-66
19/11/21HTransylvania84-59
16/11/21HKentucky Christian82-57
13/11/21AUAB71-85
10/11/21AAuburn54-77
20/03/21AWest Virginia67-84
07/03/21ABelmont86-71
06/03/21HEastern Kentucky67-64
04/03/21HSoutheast Missouri State61-54
27/02/21HBelmont89-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game74.085.562.5
Allowed / game67.559.076.0
Point differential+6.5+26.5-13.5
Avg total141.5144.5138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game67.483.057.0
Allowed / game68.858.076.0
Point differential-1.4+25.0-19.0
Avg total136.2141.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia State54180%81.864.0+17.8
2 Marshall54180%82.871.6+11.2
3 Arkansas State43175%74.067.5+6.5
4 South Alabama75271%77.458.9+18.6
5 James Madison75271%78.365.6+12.7
6 Georgia Southern64267%72.560.0+12.5
7 Troy64267%77.866.0+11.8
8 Texas State64267%75.367.7+7.7
9 Southern Miss64267%65.868.7-2.8
10 Louisiana Lafayette53260%70.866.6+4.2
11 Coastal Carolina42250%72.069.5+2.5
12 Appalachian State73443%67.761.9+5.9
13 Old Dominion73443%61.965.4-3.6
14 Louisiana Monroe52340%77.683.0-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UALR64267%77.366.0+11.3
2 Western Illinois64267%80.072.8+7.2
3 Southeast Missouri State53260%77.680.4-2.8
4 UT Martin63350%78.371.0+7.3
5 Morehead State52340%67.468.8-1.4
6 Tennessee Tech62433%74.774.0+0.7
7 Siu Edwardsville62433%68.369.0-0.7
8 Tennessee State51420%76.473.2+3.2
9 Eastern Illinois61517%60.373.0-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State232851
Morehead State363975
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