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Arkansas State vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 83-63
39-21 44-42
Position#98
Record5-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#150
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game63.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arkansas State v UT Arlington
02 Dec 2025
ARKA83
UT A63
12 Dec 2024
ARKA83
UT A79
20 Jan 2022
ARKA75
UT A70
30 Jan 2021
ARKA64
UT A65
29 Jan 2021
ARKA83
UT A75
02 Jan 2020
ARKA52
UT A73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#31
W
103-78
103
78
+25
H19/03
NIT
North Texas
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A23/03
NIT
Ohio
#241
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A04/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A08/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A12/11
NCAA
Christian Brothers Buccaneers
#456
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H16/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A20/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H25/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
H28/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
50-37
0-0
53-41
0-0
33-34
0-0
30-31
0-0
32-39
0-0
57-46
0-0
31-46
0-0
34-44
0-0
33-46
0-0
53-39
0-0
45-28
0-0
50-39
0-0
39-47
0-0
33-38
0-0
30-50
0-0
39-50
0-0
38-32
0-0
36-31
0-0
39-35
0-0
31-35
159.9Avg total
80.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.481.9161.2-2.562%
Season at home (3)84.770.0154.7+14.7100%
Season away (5)76.289.0165.2-12.840%
Last 10 (10)80.179.8159.9+0.360%
Last 5 (5)79.079.0158.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.085.0159.0-11.033%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.776.6148.2-4.933%
vs Weaker (16)81.369.1150.4+12.281%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#179
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A09/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
75-98
75
98
-23
A13/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#632
W
91-40
91
40
+51
H04/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A08/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#684
W
117-61
117
61
+56
H11/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H15/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A19/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A21/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A23/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
39-34
32-46
43-52
46-14
45-26
19-31
37-43
56-31
61-30
34-25
33-24
35-34
49-42
31-28
36-43
33-27
41-46
26-33
40-28
143.8Avg total
76.5Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.863.1140.9+14.675%
Season at home (4)85.252.8138.0+32.5100%
Season away (4)70.273.5143.8-3.250%
Last 10 (10)76.567.3143.8+9.260%
Last 5 (5)71.666.0137.6+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.578.5148.0-9.118%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.470.1141.5+1.360%
vs Weaker (8)79.267.2146.5+12.075%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +5.6+5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +5.6+5.6
Arkansas StateUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#31
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H19/03
NIT
North Texas
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A23/03
NIT
Ohio
#241
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Christian Brothers Buccaneers
#456
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H16/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A20/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H25/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H28/11
NCAA
76.4Avg total
37.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.134.672.7+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.430.070.4+10.492%-
Last 30 away (17)36.338.274.5-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)37.039.476.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.476.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.342.779.0-6.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.136.971.0-2.856%-
vs Weaker (16)39.432.171.6+7.375%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#179
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A09/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A13/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#632
W
46-14
46
14
+32
H04/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#684
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H15/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A19/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A21/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A23/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H29/11
NCAA
64.6Avg total
34.1Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.464.6-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.828.463.2+6.457%-
Last 30 away (16)30.135.865.9-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)34.130.564.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)31.829.461.2+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)28.934.563.5-5.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.231.963.1-0.750%-
vs Weaker (8)36.532.268.8+4.250%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Arkansas State wins
5
UT Arlington wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HNorth Dakota St85-80 OT
25/11/25HJacksonville State74-63
22/11/25ASMU Mustangs69-100
20/11/25ASt. Marys (CA)72-85
16/11/25HChristian Brothers Buccaneers95-67
12/11/25AMissouri State86-85
08/11/25AStephen F. Austin65-90
04/11/25AOhio89-85
23/03/25ANorth Texas63-65
19/03/25HSt. Louis Billikens103-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HStephen F. Austin66-61
23/11/25AWeber State74-73
21/11/25ACampbell67-71
19/11/25AEvansville84-76
15/11/25HMissouri State67-49
11/11/25HArlington Baptist Patriots117-61
08/11/25ANew Mexico56-74
04/11/25HNorth Texas-Dallas91-40
13/03/25AGrand Canyon75-98
09/03/25ACalifornia Baptist68-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%100%40%
Points / game79.484.776.2
Allowed / game81.970.089.0
Point differential-2.5+14.7-12.8
Avg total161.2154.7165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %12%33%0%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game77.885.270.2
Allowed / game63.152.873.5
Point differential+14.6+32.5-3.2
Avg total140.9138.0143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall75271%81.679.7+1.9
2 South Alabama96367%75.467.8+7.7
3 Coastal Carolina85362%74.967.0+7.9
4 Arkansas State85362%79.481.9-2.5
5 Texas State106460%73.764.3+9.4
6 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
7 James Madison95456%76.876.3+0.4
8 Troy105550%88.182.8+5.3
9 Georgia Southern94544%79.880.8-1.0
10 Appalachian State94544%68.069.7-1.7
11 Old Dominion93633%75.177.8-2.7
12 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
13 Louisiana Lafayette81712%57.072.8-15.8
14 Georgia State91811%63.675.2-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist87188%74.864.9+9.9
2 UT Arlington86275%77.863.1+14.6
3 Utah Valley State75271%85.962.9+23.0
4 Abilene Christian85362%73.865.6+8.1
5 Tarleton95456%74.476.2-1.8
6 Utah Tech105550%77.872.5+5.3
7 Southern Utah104640%81.480.2+1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State394483
UT Arlington214263
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