PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Arkansas vs Missouri Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#110
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#145
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game66.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Arkansas v Missouri
02 Jan 2027
ARKA v MISS
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ARKA94
MISS86
22 Feb 2025
ARKA92
MISS85
24 Feb 2024
ARKA88
MISS73
04 Jan 2023
ARKA74
MISS68
12 Jan 2022
ARKA87
MISS43
12 Mar 2021
ARKA70
MISS64
02 Jan 2021
ARKA68
MISS81
22 Feb 2020
ARKA78
MISS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H15/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
97-78
97
78
+19
H19/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H22/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
88-109
88
109
-21
A27/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
106-61
106
61
+45
H04/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H12/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#192
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-39
45-40
37-36
42-43
41-39
45-36
54-36
43-42
43-42
51-46
43-54
45-55
47-28
59-33
27-46
45-45
39-30
37-23
43-27
36-39
166.3Avg total
87.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.267.8151.0+15.575%
Season at home (3)87.060.0147.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)72.091.0163.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)87.379.0166.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)84.276.0160.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.298.6181.8-15.420%
vs Similar (12)89.881.8171.6+8.175%
vs Weaker (13)91.376.2167.5+15.292%
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A28/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H12/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A21/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#246
W
111-50
111
50
+61
H04/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
96-58
96
58
+38
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-47
45-47
26-29
47-40
54-23
34-41
26-35
38-45
36-39
38-35
29-38
43-40
26-27
40-53
56-18
55-32
38-49
46-41
48-24
48-34
157.5Avg total
82.4Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.066.0163.0+31.067%
Season at home (3)97.066.0163.0+31.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.475.1157.5+7.340%
Last 5 (5)85.871.2157.0+14.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.282.2154.4-10.033%
vs Similar (11)74.480.1154.5-5.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.964.8152.7+23.190%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +2.6+2.6
ArkansasMissouri
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H14/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H14/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H15/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H19/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H22/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A27/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#192
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H14/11
NCAA
78.8Avg total
41.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.179.7+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.635.678.2+6.979%-
Last 30 away (11)39.742.582.2-2.745%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.778.8+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.076.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.648.886.4-11.220%-
vs Similar (12)43.238.081.2+5.267%-
vs Weaker (13)41.534.275.6+7.385%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
54-23
54
23
+31
A28/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H12/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A21/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#246
W
56-18
56
18
+38
H04/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#14
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H10/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
38.0Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.870.8+3.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.632.572.1+7.153%-
Last 30 away (13)33.635.669.2-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)38.032.970.9+5.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.270.6+8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.635.967.4-4.311%-
vs Similar (11)32.737.470.1-4.618%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.628.174.7+18.5100%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Arkansas wins
2
Missouri wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Missouri v Arkansas84-88 OT
21/02/26Arkansas v Missouri94-86
23/02/25Arkansas v Missouri92-85
18/01/25Missouri v Arkansas83-65
24/02/24Arkansas v Missouri88-73
01/02/24Missouri v Arkansas84-91
19/01/23Missouri v Arkansas79-76
05/01/23Arkansas v Missouri74-68
16/02/22Missouri v Arkansas57-76
13/01/22Arkansas v Missouri87-43
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCentral Arkansas79-66
12/11/26HRobert Morris76-53
08/11/26AVirginia72-91
04/11/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff106-61
27/03/26AArizona88-109
22/03/26HHigh Point94-88
19/03/26HHawaii97-78
15/03/26HVanderbilt86-75
14/03/26HOle Miss93-90 OT
14/03/26HOklahoma82-79
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HSiu Edwardsville96-58
07/11/26HSt. Louis Billikens84-90
04/11/26HCleveland State111-50
21/03/26AMiami (FL)66-80
12/03/26HKentucky72-78
07/03/26HArkansas84-88 OT
04/03/26AOklahoma64-80
28/02/26AMississippi St.88-64
25/02/26HTennessee73-69
21/02/26AArkansas86-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game83.287.072.0
Allowed / game67.860.091.0
Point differential+15.5+27.0-19.0
Avg total151.0147.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+31.0+31.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.