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Astana vs Saratov Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 73-80
14-15 18-20 22-22 19-23
Position#11
Record5-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Saratov 🏆
Russia
Position#9
Record11-16
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game82.7
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Astana v Saratov
21 Mar 2025
AST56
SAR88
06 Oct 2024
AST52
SAR74
12 Feb 2024
AST65
SAR82
25 Oct 2023
AST75
SAR62
09 Mar 2023
AST73
SAR80
13 Dec 2022
AST70
SAR69
20 Mar 2022
AST61
SAR84
31 Jan 2021
AST83
SAR92
15 Mar 2020
AST v SAR
upcoming
23 Dec 2018
AST100
SAR83
12 May 2018
AST75
SAR92
02 Oct 2016
AST83
SAR78
06 Dec 2015
AST93
SAR131
15 Nov 2014
AST86
SAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saratov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H07/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
77-48
77
48
+29
H11/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A14/01
VTB United League
Aktobe
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H17/01
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H18/01
National League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H20/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H28/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H01/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A15/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H04/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
18-16
22-23
20-24
20-13
18-5
16-18
23-12
15-30
21-30
24-27
12-13
22-25
33-23
14-8
19-22
30-16
21-20
24-17
14-18
20-30
15-25
16-25
16-18
18-26
20-21
16-21
13-15
29-15
14-26
24-12
19-29
16-26
14-25
24-17
21-21
17-13
20-17
15-28
21-16
158.5Avg total
76.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)66.785.8152.5-19.019%
Season at home (14)67.283.5150.7-16.329%
Season away (12)66.288.4154.6-22.28%
Last 10 (10)76.981.6158.5-4.740%
Last 5 (5)73.685.2158.8-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)64.687.3151.9-22.66%
vs Similar (3)79.765.0144.7+14.7100%
vs Weaker (10)83.176.5159.6+6.650%
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SaratovRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#12
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H22/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
H04/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A08/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A15/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H20/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H29/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A08/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H14/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A26/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H03/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
24-10
25-18
19-25
18-17
19-25
23-27
24-15
13-28
25-15
23-24
21-20
20-23
19-19
22-24
23-22
20-27
22-15
11-18
18-23
30-25
24-18
20-20
19-20
19-24
26-19
18-17
23-22
20-13
20-16
11-24
27-17
26-23
20-26
25-19
20-15
13-15
17-24
19-17
9-17
164.6Avg total
82.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.982.7162.6-2.841%
Season at home (14)80.580.2160.7+0.357%
Season away (13)79.285.3164.5-6.123%
Last 10 (10)82.582.1164.6+0.450%
Last 5 (5)81.278.2159.4+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.490.9168.3-13.621%
vs Similar (11)78.480.8159.2-2.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.272.2157.4+13.080%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
AstanaSaratov
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H07/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H11/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A14/01
VTB United League
Aktobe
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/01
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H18/01
National League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H20/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H28/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A15/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H04/03
VTB United League
82.8Avg total
39.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.343.180.5-5.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.479.1-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)35.945.981.8-9.920%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.282.8-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.644.881.4-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.946.077.9-14.16%-
vs Similar (3)41.031.072.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (10)45.541.987.4+3.660%-
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SaratovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H22/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A08/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H29/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A08/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A26/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H03/03
VTB United League
82.1Avg total
41.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.281.6-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.039.878.8-0.833%-
Last 30 away (15)39.744.784.4-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.682.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.683.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.645.784.4-7.121%-
vs Similar (11)37.742.780.5-5.09%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.031.476.4+13.6100%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
-20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
-7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Saratovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saratov: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.7
49.7%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.9
35.9%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
-11.4
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astana
LLWLLWWLWL
Saratov
LWWWWLLLLW
#11
League position
#9
-32.5
Net rating
-19.1
82.8
Offensive rating
100.9
115.3
Defensive rating
120.0
45.4%
Effective FG%
51.3%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
26.7%
Turnover %
20.9%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.4%
3-point %
35.9%
60.7%
Assist %
65.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Astana   ■ Saratov
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Astana wins
7
Saratov wins
DateGameScore
13/12/22Astana v Saratov70-69
04/10/22Saratov v Astana94-72
20/03/22Astana v Saratov61-84
07/11/21Saratov v Astana83-82
31/01/21Astana v Saratov83-92
22/10/20Saratov v Astana107-85
16/11/19Saratov v Astana90-85
02/02/19Saratov v Astana64-88
23/12/18Astana v Saratov100-83 OT
12/05/18Astana v Saratov75-92
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HParma Perm73-74
15/02/23ASamara75-89
01/02/23HMinsk86-82
28/01/23HEnisey67-83
20/01/23HLokomotiv Kuban67-98
18/01/23HAktobe89-71
17/01/23HAktobe88-78
14/01/23ACSKA Moscow72-100
11/01/23HMinsk77-48
07/01/23HZenit Petersburg75-93
Saratovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HEnisey58-73
26/02/23AParma Perm91-83
14/02/23HMinsk78-70
08/02/23AEnisey86-82
29/01/23HSamara93-83
20/01/23HUnics Kazan71-83
15/01/23AEnisey84-88
08/01/23ASamara82-87
04/01/23HParma Perm94-95 OT
22/12/22HMinsk88-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL19%
HomeWLLWL29%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %19%29%8%
Points / game66.767.266.2
Allowed / game85.883.588.4
Point differential-19.0-16.3-22.2
Avg total152.5150.7154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saratov
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL41%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayLLLWW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %41%57%23%
Points / game79.980.579.2
Allowed / game82.780.285.3
Point differential-2.8+0.3-6.1
Avg total162.6160.7164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2927293%97.275.8+21.3
2 Unics Kazan2923679%86.375.4+10.9
3 Zenit Petersburg2921872%82.072.4+9.6
4 Nizhny Novgorod28161257%75.775.8-0.1
5 Lokomotiv Kuban29161355%79.376.9+2.4
6 MBA Moscow28131546%76.979.2-2.4
7 Parma Perm27121544%78.881.0-2.2
8 Samara28121643%78.576.5+2.0
9 Enisey29121741%74.576.7-2.2
10 Saratov27111641%79.982.7-2.8
11 Astana2652119%66.785.8-19.0
12 Minsk291283%61.781.6-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astana1418221973
Saratov1520222380
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