Atyrau vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	80.4	81.3	161.7	-0.9	47%
Season at home (16)	80.8	84.1	164.8	-3.3	44%
Season away (16)	80.1	78.6	158.6	+1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	79.1	163.4	+5.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	77.4	165.8	+11.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	69.5	86.4	155.9	-16.9	14%
vs Similar (8)	84.9	82.9	167.8	+2.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	93.9	72.0	165.9	+21.9	88%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

92-85

H13/02

National League

Atyrau

76-106

106

-30

H14/02

National League

Almaty

72-84

-12

H27/02

National League

Almaty

79-73

H28/02

National League

Astana

73-88

-15

A15/03

National League

Astana

48-101

101

-53

A16/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

66-105

105

-39

A19/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

75-99

-24

A20/03

National League

Atyrau

82-97

-15

A23/03

National League

Atyrau

66-106

106

-40

A24/03

National League

27-23

27-18

24-18

14-26

22-26

17-27

21-35

16-18

17-20

24-19

18-21

13-24

18-21

24-17

23-20

14-15

22-27

23-19

19-21

9-21

21-23

5-26

9-27

13-25

14-37

15-31

18-15

19-22

29-20

16-37

14-26

16-16

24-22

18-26

20-18

20-31

13-30

18-26

18-32

17-18

167.3Avg total

72.9Scored

94.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	67.9	96.0	163.9	-28.1	9%
Season at home (16)	67.6	93.1	160.7	-25.4	12%
Season away (16)	68.2	98.9	167.1	-30.8	6%
Last 10 (10)	72.9	94.4	167.3	-21.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	67.4	101.6	169.0	-34.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	68.5	95.7	164.2	-27.2	10%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AtyrauTobol Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.7	42.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	22.1	43.1	-1.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.2	42.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	23.0	42.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	21%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.0	22.6	45.6	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	24.6	18.4	43.0	+6.2	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	26.0	44.6	-7.3	17%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	25.1	42.9	-7.2	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	27.0	46.6	-7.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	24.9	45.6	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	26.4	46.6	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	18.7	26.0	44.6	-7.3	17%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.4	37.9	-2.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.4	22.7	39.1	-6.4	7%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.9	21.5	38.4	-4.6	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.1	18.1	40.2	+4.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	24.0	40.8	-7.1	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	22.4	40.2	-4.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.8	25.8	41.6	-10.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	24.6	43.3	-5.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	29.2	43.6	-14.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	16.9	24.0	40.8	-7.1	20%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

41-54

-13

A13/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

53-39

+14

A14/02

National League

Astana

33-43

-10

A25/02

National League

Astana

25-42

-17

A26/02

National League

Almaty

37-46

-9

A14/03

National League

Almaty

30-45

-15

A15/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

48-42

H23/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

56-31

+25

H24/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

36-40

-4

H29/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

32-47

-15

H30/03

National League

82.0Avg total

39.1Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	42.8	82.0	-3.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.5	43.9	83.4	-4.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.7	41.6	80.3	-2.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	42.9	82.0	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.0	81.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	34.4	45.7	80.1	-11.4	7%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.9	44.1	84.0	-4.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	46.8	36.5	83.2	+10.2	88%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

54-41

+13

H13/02

National League

Atyrau

39-53

-14

H14/02

National League

Almaty

41-39

H27/02

National League

Almaty

42-38

H28/02

National League

Astana

45-46

-1

A15/03

National League

Astana

26-49

-23

A16/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

29-68

-39

A19/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

45-57

-12

A20/03

National League

Atyrau

42-48

-6

A23/03

National League

Atyrau

31-56

-25

A24/03

National League

88.9Avg total

39.4Scored

49.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	49.9	85.5	-14.4	13%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.6	47.4	83.1	-11.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	52.8	88.2	-17.4	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	49.5	88.9	-10.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	55.6	90.2	-21.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	35.5	49.9	85.5	-14.4	13%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.8	42.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	36%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	25.4	18.2	43.6	+7.1	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	23.3	40.6	-6.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	23.2	41.4	-5.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.2	23.5	39.7	-7.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	23.3	41.7	-4.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	23.6	39.4	-7.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	17.3	23.3	40.6	-6.1	23%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.8	38.3	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	17.8	36.6	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	17.1	39.9	+5.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	17.6	42.0	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	15.2	19.9	35.1	-4.6	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.9	18.5	43.4	+6.4	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.8	17.2	39.0	+4.5	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.7	22.5	38.2	-6.8	13%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	13.8	22.4	36.2	-8.6	6%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	22.5	40.4	-4.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	21.6	36.7	-6.5	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.4	39.4	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	15.7	22.5	38.2	-6.8	13%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	38.5	79.2	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	39.6	80.4	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	37.2	77.9	+3.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	36.2	81.4	+9.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	36.4	84.4	+11.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	35.1	40.6	75.8	-5.5	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	44.1	37.8	81.9	+6.4	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	47.1	35.5	82.6	+11.6	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.0	45.8	78.8	-12.8	7%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	32.0	45.6	77.6	-13.6	6%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.1	46.0	80.1	-11.9	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.5	44.9	78.4	-11.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	46.0	78.8	-13.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	33.0	45.8	78.8	-12.8	7%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Atyrautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau: 77.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	19.2	49.4%	50.5%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	8.7	29.8%	30.4%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.6	12.5	67.2%	69.6%	12.5

They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Tobol Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tobol Kostanay: 69.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	18.3	48.9%	50.5%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	7.7	26.2%	30.4%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	15.3	10.0	65.4%	69.6%	10.0

They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	19.5	52.0%	50.5%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	8.0	28.2%	30.4%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.9	74.8%	69.6%	16.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.5	27.0	60.7%	50.5%	54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.4	10.4	32.1%	30.4%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	15.8	10.8	68.4%	69.6%	10.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	18.4	47.6%	50.5%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	9.5	31.8%	30.4%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	18.5	12.7	68.5%	69.6%	12.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	18.2	48.3%	50.5%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	8.2	28.2%	30.4%	24.5
🏀 Free throws	14.7	9.3	63.6%	69.6%	9.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	18.9	51.7%	50.5%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	8.2	28.6%	30.4%	24.5
🏀 Free throws	25.1	18.8	74.8%	69.6%	18.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.0	27.8	60.5%	50.5%	55.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.1	10.7	33.2%	30.4%	32.0
🏀 Free throws	16.7	11.5	69.0%	69.6%	11.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Atyrau

LWWWLLLLWL

Tobol Kostanay

LLLLLLWLLW

League position

-3.8

Net rating

-33.4

101.2

Offensive rating

88.6

105.0

Defensive rating

122.0

47.4%

Effective FG%

44.7%

47.8%

Opp. effective FG%

55.4%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.23

29.8%

3-point %

26.2%

59.5%

Assist %

51.2%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Atyrau ■ Tobol Kostanay

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Atyrau wins

Tobol Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
24/03/26	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	106-66
23/03/26	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	97-82
14/02/26	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	76-106
13/02/26	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	92-85
23/12/25	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	90-72
22/12/25	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	94-72
19/11/25	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	56-86
18/11/25	Tobol Kostanay v Atyrau	60-87
09/03/25	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	108-79
08/03/25	Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay	75-84

Atyraulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/03/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	81-86
29/03/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	86-79
24/03/26	H	Tobol Kostanay	106-66
23/03/26	H	Tobol Kostanay	97-82
15/03/26	A	Almaty	72-74
14/03/26	A	Almaty	69-72
26/02/26	A	Astana	72-79
25/02/26	A	Astana	69-85
14/02/26	A	Tobol Kostanay	106-76
13/02/26	A	Tobol Kostanay	85-92

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/26	A	Atyrau	66-106
23/03/26	A	Atyrau	82-97
20/03/26	A	Kaspiy Aktau	75-99
19/03/26	A	Kaspiy Aktau	66-105
16/03/26	A	Astana	48-101
15/03/26	A	Astana	73-88
28/02/26	H	Almaty	79-73
27/02/26	H	Almaty	72-84
14/02/26	H	Atyrau	76-106
13/02/26	H	Atyrau	92-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau

National League 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	47%
Home	WWWWL	44%
Away	WLLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	47%	44%	50%
Points / game	80.4	80.8	80.1
Allowed / game	81.3	84.1	78.6
Point differential	-0.9	-3.3	+1.5
Avg total	161.7	164.8	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	31%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	33% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2025-26

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	9%
Home	LWLLW	12%
Away	LLLLL	6%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	9%	12%	6%
Points / game	67.9	67.6	68.2
Allowed / game	96.0	93.1	98.9
Point differential	-28.1	-25.4	-30.8
Avg total	163.9	160.7	167.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	32	28	4	88%	87.8	65.9	+22.0
2	Kaspiy Aktau	32	18	14	56%	81.4	76.5	+4.8
3	Almaty	32	16	16	50%	81.7	79.5	+2.2
4	Atyrau	32	15	17	47%	80.4	81.3	-0.9
5	Tobol Kostanay	32	3	29	9%	67.9	96.0	-28.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Atyrau	27	22	23	17	89
Tobol Kostanay	22	9	17	14	62

← all games of the day

Atyrau vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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