PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Avellino Basket vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-81
25-19 24-21 24-23 21-18
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game70.5
Avellino Basket 🏆
Italy
vs
Forli
Italy
Position#8
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game70.5
ItalySerie A2Round 3· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2026-27
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Forli
11 Oct 2026
AVEL94
FORL81
14 Dec 2025
AVEL90
FORL79
20 Oct 2024
AVEL64
FORL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
60avg 72
A19/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
87-68
87
68
+19
87avg 72
H26/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
81-75
81
75
+6
71avg 72
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
58-76
58
76
-18
43avg 72
A07/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
64-69
64
69
-5
55avg 72
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
62avg 72
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
59avg 72
H14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
61-93
61
93
-32
53avg 72
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 72
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
23avg 72
A04/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
14-24
20-26
16-19
23-19
28-17
20-11
16-21
24-24
18-21
15-16
24-14
14-21
8-19
18-23
18-13
21-22
22-17
17-18
4-12
12-21
18-24
27-13
18-13
17-23
18-14
25-16
16-14
9-28
19-17
15-26
18-22
29-10
26-16
11-23
21-20
23-23
11-22
21-11
18-16
148.6Avg total
73.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.070.5150.5+9.5100%
Season at home (1)87.069.0156.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)73.072.0145.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.375.3148.6-2.060%
Last 5 (5)74.474.4148.8+0.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.081.5154.5-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.479.1156.5-1.756%
vs Weaker (8)88.578.4166.9+10.188%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
84-87
84
87
-3
77avg 69
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
73-71
73
71
+2
67avg 69
H25/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 69
A29/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-81
89
81
+8
80avg 69
H04/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
56-89
56
89
-33
43avg 69
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 69
H12/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 69
A19/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
65-96
65
96
-31
55avg 69
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 69
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
80-73
80
73
+7
70avg 69
H03/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
18-28
19-25
19-19
18-19
15-15
26-16
14-21
18-25
20-21
28-28
6-22
22-25
23-24
23-15
21-17
8-22
21-27
13-26
14-14
29-21
19-30
23-22
20-13
17-20
24-27
19-23
13-15
15-21
20-30
9-22
21-23
27-15
21-8
16-23
21-22
31-18
16-19
18-19
15-17
160.0Avg total
76.8Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.570.5153.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)85.068.0153.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.883.2160.0-6.450%
Last 5 (5)78.881.6160.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.984.5158.4-10.621%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.079.8162.8+3.256%
vs Weaker (2)82.570.5153.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
Avellino BasketForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A19/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H26/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/10
Serie A2
78.1Avg total
37.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.180.7-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.337.980.3+4.453%-
Last 30 away (15)36.944.381.2-7.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.678.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.676.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.542.278.8-5.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.242.680.8-4.333%-
vs Weaker (8)44.437.281.6+7.175%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H25/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A29/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H04/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H12/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A19/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H03/10
Serie A2
84.0Avg total
41.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.182.1-2.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.441.883.2-0.433%-
Last 30 away (15)38.742.481.1-3.720%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.084.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.885.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.643.180.7-5.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.442.886.2+0.744%-
vs Weaker (2)47.530.077.5+17.5100%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.313.1
48.0%
51.5%26.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.5
32.4%
34.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.013.3
78.2%
70.9%13.3
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.018.0
56.2%
51.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.4
33.9%
34.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.812.3
69.1%
70.9%12.3
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
WWLWWLLWWL
Forli
WWLLWLWLWL
#2
League position
#8
-3.3
Net rating
-2.1
93.2
Offensive rating
96.3
96.5
Defensive rating
98.4
48.3%
Effective FG%
53.9%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
11.8%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.4%
3-point %
33.9%
61.1%
Assist %
53.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 96.3Defence96.5 · 98.4Shooting48.3% · 53.9%3-point %32.4% · 33.9%Ball care11.8% · 15.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Avellino Basket wins
3
Forli wins
DateGameScore
25/03/26Forli v Avellino Basket73-71
14/12/25Avellino Basket v Forli90-79
26/03/25Forli v Avellino Basket86-85
20/10/24Avellino Basket v Forli64-73
Avellino Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26ARimini73-72
27/09/26HVigevano87-69
17/05/26AFortitudo Bologna61-93
14/05/26HFortitudo Bologna76-67
12/05/26HFortitudo Bologna75-71
09/05/26AFortitudo Bologna64-69
07/05/26AFortitudo Bologna58-76
03/05/26HJuVi Cremona81-75
26/04/26HRoseto87-68
19/04/26AScafati71-93
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HCento80-73
26/09/26ACividale85-68
26/04/26HFortitudo Bologna65-96
19/04/26APesaro73-85
12/04/26HLibertas Livorno91-86
08/04/26AVerona56-89
04/04/26HRoseto89-81
29/03/26AScafati72-96
25/03/26HAvellino Basket73-71
22/03/26ARuvo Di Puglia84-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.087.073.0
Allowed / game70.569.072.0
Point differential+9.5+18.0+1.0
Avg total150.5156.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.580.085.0
Allowed / game70.573.068.0
Point differential+12.0+7.0+17.0
Avg total153.0153.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno220100%75.555.5+20.0
2 Forli220100%82.570.5+12.0
3 Fortitudo Bologna220100%87.575.5+12.0
4 Sebastiani Rieti220100%80.068.5+11.5
5 Avellino Basket220100%80.070.5+9.5
6 Pesaro220100%91.582.5+9.0
7 Brindisi220100%75.070.0+5.0
8 Sassari32167%76.374.3+2.0
9 Rimini21150%78.066.0+12.0
10 Cividale21150%77.084.0-7.0
11 Basket Torino21150%70.578.0-7.5
12 Montecatini21150%70.078.0-8.0
13 Ruvo Di Puglia31233%83.088.7-5.7
14 Mestre31233%67.377.3-10.0
15 Pistoia2020%69.573.5-4.0
16 Urania Milano3030%79.083.3-4.3
17 Caserta2020%77.082.0-5.0
18 JuVi Cremona2020%71.576.5-5.0
19 Cento2020%77.088.0-11.0
20 Vigevano2020%66.583.0-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino Basket2524242194
Forli1921231881
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.