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Avellino Basket vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-94 (OT)
23-19 25-19 28-24 9-23 14-9
Position#6
Record11-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#19
Record6-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game82.2
ItalySerie A2Round 21
Other2025-26
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Pistoia
28 Feb 2027
AVEL v PIS
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
AVEL99
PIS94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 74
A12/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
75-79
75
79
-4
62avg 74
H16/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 74
H22/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
78-65
78
65
+13
78avg 74
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
85-62
85
62
+23
no box
H03/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
90-101
90
101
-11
80avg 74
A07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
90-79
90
79
+11
84avg 74
H14/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 74
A20/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
58avg 74
H28/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 74
A04/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
20-26
19-23
18-24
26-22
13-22
15-19
21-16
21-24
22-17
10-17
34-20
24-14
14-12
19-17
21-22
24-20
29-11
12-18
20-13
18-29
26-28
21-24
25-20
23-11
18-23
22-21
27-24
21-12
25-21
18-19
18-23
10-18
21-14
20-25
21-23
21-28
15-17
22-24
19-13
160.2Avg total
80.8Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.377.4157.8+2.955%
Season at home (10)80.675.1155.7+5.560%
Season away (10)80.179.7159.8+0.450%
Last 10 (10)80.879.4160.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.283.4165.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.884.4165.2-3.620%
vs Similar (19)81.579.3160.7+2.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.575.5155.0+4.050%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 67
A12/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 67
H16/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
71avg 67
A23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
65-78
65
78
-13
53avg 67
H26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 67
H30/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 67
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 67
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 67
A21/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
69-95
69
95
-26
56avg 67
A28/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
H04/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-22
19-27
18-22
15-21
19-17
23-18
24-17
9-30
22-13
18-15
22-19
14-24
12-14
17-19
22-21
26-17
24-17
14-23
27-23
27-19
18-29
19-21
8-16
23-25
25-18
14-20
16-18
22-20
21-10
15-19
10-27
20-25
14-20
23-27
12-23
20-21
17-26
12-18
30-17
157.0Avg total
75.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.882.2160.0-4.530%
Season at home (10)79.582.8162.3-3.330%
Season away (10)76.081.7157.7-5.730%
Last 10 (10)75.181.9157.0-6.820%
Last 5 (5)73.283.8157.0-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)74.785.5160.3-10.817%
vs Similar (7)79.482.4161.9-3.043%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
Avellino BasketPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A12/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H22/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H03/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H14/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A20/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H28/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A04/01
Serie A2
79.5Avg total
40.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.180.4+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.138.778.8+1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)40.641.682.2-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.979.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.279.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.883.6-2.020%-
vs Similar (19)41.139.780.8+1.458%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)37.339.076.3-1.750%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A12/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H30/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A28/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/01
Serie A2
79.7Avg total
38.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.278.8-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.641.578.1-4.933%-
Last 30 away (15)38.541.079.5-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.979.7-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.684.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.540.977.3-4.435%-
vs Similar (7)41.042.483.4-1.429%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
50.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.8
31.6%
34.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.016.8
80.0%
74.4%16.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.4
50.7%
50.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.8
33.2%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.013.1
81.9%
74.4%13.1
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
LLWWLWWWLL
Pistoia
LLLLLWLLWL
#6
League position
#19
-0.3
Net rating
-9.9
111.1
Offensive rating
105.3
111.4
Defensive rating
115.2
50.4%
Effective FG%
50.3%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.6%
3-point %
33.2%
53.2%
Assist %
51.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 105.3Defence111.4 · 115.2Shooting50.4% · 50.3%3-point %31.6% · 33.2%Ball care13.9% · 15.9%Off. rebounds27.7% · 25.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Avellino Basket wins
0
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
26/11/25Pistoia v Avellino Basket65-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ALibertas Livorno77-82
28/12/25HScafati72-80
20/12/25ACividale82-75
14/12/25HForli90-79
07/12/25ACento90-101
03/12/25HFortitudo Bologna85-62
26/11/25APistoia78-65
22/11/25HRimini87-78
16/11/25HMestre75-79
12/11/25APesaro72-93
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia79-82
28/12/25ARimini69-95
21/12/25ABrindisi68-76
14/12/25HCividale78-81
08/12/25AForli72-85
30/11/25HCento91-80
26/11/25HAvellino Basket65-78
23/11/25AScafati71-77
16/11/25HRoseto81-73
12/11/25AUrania Milano77-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game80.380.680.1
Allowed / game77.475.179.7
Point differential+3.0+5.5+0.4
Avg total157.8155.7159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeWLWLL30%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%30%30%
Points / game77.879.576.0
Allowed / game82.282.881.7
Point differential-4.5-3.3-5.7
Avg total160.0162.3157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini2014670%82.075.5+6.5
2 Pesaro2014670%81.876.8+4.9
3 Brindisi2114767%76.571.6+4.9
4 Verona2114767%77.273.3+4.0
5 Libertas Livorno2113862%78.073.1+4.9
6 Scafati2113862%81.877.3+4.5
7 Cividale2113862%77.175.8+1.3
8 Fortitudo Bologna2112957%75.172.4+2.7
9 Sebastiani Rieti2112957%79.576.9+2.6
10 Avellino Basket2011955%80.377.4+3.0
11 Basket Torino20101050%74.173.1+1.0
12 Cento2091145%79.080.2-1.2
13 Blu Basket Bergamo2091145%80.281.5-1.2
14 Mestre2091145%76.580.0-3.5
15 JuVi Cremona2181338%74.078.9-4.8
16 Forli2171433%76.280.3-4.1
17 Urania Milano2171433%77.382.9-5.6
18 Pistoia2061430%77.882.2-4.5
19 Ruvo Di Puglia2061430%74.784.9-10.2
20 Roseto2041620%79.485.0-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Avellino Basket23252891499
Pistoia19192423994
← all games of the day
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