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Avellino vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 57-63
16-21 16-11 8-18 17-13
Position#25
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#2
Record10-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game70.3
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
71-92
71
92
-21
H12/12
Champions League
Trieste
#10
L
64-110
64
110
-46
A16/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H19/12
Champions League
Sassari
#4
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H23/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
96-79
96
79
+17
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A05/01
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A08/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H13/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
21-24
24-16
12-16
16-24
14-19
24-30
17-19
21-33
11-21
20-30
12-26
22-11
21-17
21-28
18-20
24-22
23-18
20-18
19-20
23-30
19-16
24-14
30-19
24-20
18-21
21-17
22-23
16-15
20-24
17-14
17-15
23-15
16-16
17-9
16-22
20-19
17-25
26-18
19-16
159.5Avg total
79.0Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.583.1167.6+1.470%
Season at home (5)86.290.6176.8-4.460%
Season away (5)82.875.6158.4+7.280%
Last 10 (10)79.080.5159.5-1.580%
Last 5 (5)81.073.6154.6+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.985.5166.4-4.650%
vs Similar (16)81.480.6162.1+0.862%
vs Weaker (6)88.277.7165.8+10.5100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A08/12
ACB
Le Mans
#31
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A12/12
Champions League
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H16/12
ACB
Ventspils
#32
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A19/12
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A23/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H30/12
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H03/01
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A06/01
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
H09/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
H13/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
13-15
32-16
20-16
22-18
19-17
20-21
19-15
19-14
23-20
15-21
18-10
13-13
17-11
16-19
21-18
8-18
22-24
26-16
18-22
13-10
22-20
14-26
24-22
23-23
20-21
18-24
12-20
14-31
13-12
17-18
24-27
17-17
14-23
20-12
22-21
8-16
20-17
29-20
14-18
156.0Avg total
77.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.470.3147.8+7.183%
Season at home (5)81.877.6159.4+4.280%
Season away (7)74.365.1139.4+9.186%
Last 10 (10)77.678.4156.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)79.888.0167.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.287.5160.8-14.20%
vs Similar (12)75.371.3146.7+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)78.271.4149.6+6.880%
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
AvellinoMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H12/12
Champions League
Trieste
#10
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H19/12
Champions League
Sassari
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H23/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/01
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A08/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H13/01
Lega A
80.9Avg total
39.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.782.5+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.842.486.2+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)39.638.778.4+0.936%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.580.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.279.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.042.282.2-2.250%-
vs Similar (16)41.941.483.2+0.544%-
vs Weaker (6)44.336.781.0+7.750%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A08/12
ACB
Le Mans
#31
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/12
Champions League
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/12
ACB
Ventspils
#32
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A19/12
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A23/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H30/12
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H03/01
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A06/01
ACB
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H09/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#7
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H13/01
ACB
69.6Avg total
33.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.936.572.5-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.135.772.7+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)34.837.472.2-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)33.636.069.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.838.070.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.541.273.8-8.812%-
vs Similar (12)36.136.372.4-0.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.533.071.5+5.580%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.3
48.3%
52.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.2
36.9%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.513.6
73.5%
73.8%13.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.6
47.6%
52.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.7
35.6%
34.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.812.0
67.4%
73.8%12.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WWWWWWWLLW
Murcia
LWLLLLWWWW
#25
League position
#2
-2.6
Net rating
-4.5
101.6
Offensive rating
100.9
104.2
Defensive rating
105.4
51.1%
Effective FG%
49.6%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.9%
3-point %
35.6%
70.9%
Assist %
54.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 100.9Defence104.2 · 105.4Shooting51.1% · 49.6%3-point %36.9% · 35.6%Ball care17.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds22.7% · 30.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Avellino   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellino wins
1
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
30/10/18Murcia v Avellino72-69
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19HPistoia82-78
08/01/19AAnwil Wloclawek72-62
05/01/19ABrindisi70-68
30/12/18HOlimpia Milano85-81
26/12/18ATorino96-79
23/12/18HSassari86-78
19/12/18HLudwigsburg82-76
16/12/18ATrieste64-110
12/12/18HNizhny Novgorod71-92
09/12/18HPesaro82-81
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19HTenerife91-96 OT
09/01/19HNizhny Novgorod94-90 OT
06/01/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza68-88
03/01/19HEstudiantes73-88
30/12/18HJoventut Badalona73-78
23/12/18AReal Madrid74-80
19/12/18AVentspils67-61
16/12/18HFuenlabrada75-65
12/12/18ALe Mans80-71
08/12/18AGipuzkoa81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Champions League 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW70%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game84.586.282.8
Allowed / game83.190.675.6
Point differential+1.4-4.4+7.2
Avg total167.6176.8158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %20%20%20%
Murcia
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %83%80%86%
Points / game77.481.874.3
Allowed / game70.377.665.1
Point differential+7.1+4.2+9.1
Avg total147.8159.4139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia1210283%77.470.3+7.1
2 Tenerife119282%81.368.5+12.8
3 Hapoel M. Jerusalem119282%87.876.5+11.4
4 Virtus Bologna119282%86.877.6+9.2
5 AEK Athens119282%80.273.7+6.5
6 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
7 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
8 Venezia118373%85.580.1+5.4
9 Avellino107370%84.583.1+1.4
10 Antwerp Giants1510567%82.878.4+4.4
11 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
12 Banvit117464%80.674.1+6.5
13 Hapoel Holon117464%83.978.5+5.4
14 Bamberg117464%82.180.4+1.7
15 Promitheas117464%82.482.4+0.0
16 PAOK106460%80.376.5+3.8
17 Nizhny Novgorod1710759%79.873.4+6.4
18 Nanterre127558%84.771.3+13.3
19 Besiktas116555%77.977.1+0.8
20 Strasbourg116555%76.675.8+0.8
21 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
22 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
23 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
24 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
25 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
26 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
27 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
28 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
29 Oostende105550%75.380.8-5.5
30 Fribourg Olympic178947%78.381.3-3.0
31 Neptunas115645%83.583.1+0.5
32 Bayreuth135838%78.977.1+1.8
33 Lietkabelis114736%75.676.9-1.3
34 Anwil Wloclawek114736%79.182.1-3.0
35 Le Mans114736%72.676.8-4.2
36 Ventspils114736%78.583.0-4.5
37 Bonn114736%80.586.9-6.5
38 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
39 Ludwigsburg113827%77.182.4-5.3
40 Dijon113827%73.979.5-5.6
41 Nymburk113827%76.582.5-5.9
42 Fuenlabrada113827%75.984.6-8.7
43 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
44 Petrol Olimpija101910%76.084.0-8.0
45 Opava111109%72.593.5-20.9
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino161681757
Murcia2111181363
← all games of the day
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