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Avellino vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-78
20-19 17-25 26-18 19-16
Position#9
Record10-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game81.9
Avellino 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#16
Record4-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game88.3
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Avellino v Pistoia
13 Jan 2019
AVE82
PIS78
11 Feb 2018
AVE101
PIS71
15 Oct 2016
AVE83
PIS67
09 May 2016
AVE83
PIS70
07 May 2016
AVE93
PIS76
07 Feb 2016
AVE84
PIS76
13 Apr 2015
AVE73
PIS69
26 Jan 2014
AVE75
PIS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
49-79
49
79
-30
H25/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
71-92
71
92
-21
H12/12
Champions League
Trieste
#10
L
64-110
64
110
-46
A16/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H19/12
Champions League
Sassari
#4
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H23/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
96-79
96
79
+17
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A05/01
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A08/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
11-23
6-16
18-20
25-25
21-24
24-16
12-16
16-24
14-19
24-30
17-19
21-33
11-21
20-30
12-26
22-11
21-17
21-28
18-20
24-22
23-18
20-18
19-20
23-30
19-16
24-14
30-19
24-20
18-21
21-17
22-23
16-15
20-24
17-14
17-15
23-15
16-16
17-9
16-22
156.3Avg total
75.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.581.9165.4+1.671%
Season at home (7)85.781.1166.9+4.671%
Season away (7)81.382.7164.0-1.471%
Last 10 (10)75.780.6156.3-4.970%
Last 5 (5)81.873.6155.4+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.985.5166.4-4.650%
vs Similar (17)80.879.6160.4+1.165%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)89.477.6167.0+11.8100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
79-96
79
96
-17
A04/11
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H11/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
113-111
113
111
+2
A18/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H09/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H16/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A30/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H06/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
14-21
15-23
29-21
17-20
22-22
15-22
19-26
30-28
22-29
25-26
36-28
21-15
19-17
23-20
21-30
19-15
16-20
22-20
16-15
12-28
16-22
16-21
27-10
21-13
29-23
17-26
13-24
20-23
16-12
18-21
16-22
17-26
18-24
21-25
23-25
23-17
13-18
16-16
19-14
165.2Avg total
79.3Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.388.3166.6-10.029%
Season at home (7)71.681.6153.1-10.029%
Season away (7)85.095.0180.0-10.029%
Last 10 (10)79.385.9165.2-6.640%
Last 5 (5)74.282.0156.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)77.186.1163.2-9.032%
vs Similar (4)76.882.0158.8-5.225%
vs Weaker (1)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
AvellinoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H25/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H12/12
Champions League
Trieste
#10
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H19/12
Champions League
Sassari
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H23/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/01
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A08/01
Champions League
79.6Avg total
38.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.181.9+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.342.386.5+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)39.238.077.2+1.240%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.479.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.480.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.042.282.2-2.250%-
vs Similar (17)41.440.681.9+0.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.835.281.0+10.660%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A04/11
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H11/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A18/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H09/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H16/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A30/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/01
Lega A
81.0Avg total
38.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.980.8-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.338.876.1-1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.544.985.5-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.481.0-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.278.2-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.443.081.3-4.636%-
vs Similar (4)40.837.077.8+3.875%-
vs Weaker (1)46.034.080.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.0
50.3%
51.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.2
37.1%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.413.0
74.7%
72.3%13.0
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.5
48.9%
51.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.7
39.0%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.613.5
65.5%
72.3%13.5
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WWWWWWLLWL
Pistoia
WLLLLWWWLL
#9
League position
#16
+1.8
Net rating
-12.9
105.0
Offensive rating
105.4
103.2
Defensive rating
118.3
52.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.1%
3-point %
39.0%
66.8%
Assist %
55.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 105.4Defence103.2 · 118.3Shooting52.3% · 52.6%3-point %37.1% · 39.0%Ball care16.7% · 20.2%Off. rebounds23.4% · 35.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Avellino   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Avellino wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
11/02/18Avellino v Pistoia101-71
22/10/17Pistoia v Avellino71-86
05/02/17Pistoia v Avellino67-59
15/10/16Avellino v Pistoia83-67
11/05/16Pistoia v Avellino90-92 OT
09/05/16Avellino v Pistoia83-70
07/05/16Avellino v Pistoia93-76
07/02/16Avellino v Pistoia84-76
25/10/15Pistoia v Avellino76-70
13/04/15Avellino v Pistoia73-69
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/19AAnwil Wloclawek72-62
05/01/19ABrindisi70-68
30/12/18HOlimpia Milano85-81
26/12/18ATorino96-79
23/12/18HSassari86-78
19/12/18HLudwigsburg82-76
16/12/18ATrieste64-110
12/12/18HNizhny Novgorod71-92
09/12/18HPesaro82-81
25/11/18HVenezia49-79
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19HVarese71-65
30/12/18ACantu79-100
26/12/18HTrento70-78
23/12/18ATorino80-86
16/12/18HVirtus Bologna71-81
09/12/18HBrescia73-70
24/11/18AReggiana84-82
18/11/18ASassari113-111
11/11/18HCremona73-90
04/11/18ATrieste79-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game83.585.781.3
Allowed / game81.981.182.7
Point differential+1.6+4.6-1.4
Avg total165.4166.9164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLWLLW29%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game78.371.685.0
Allowed / game88.381.695.0
Point differential-10.0-10.0-10.0
Avg total166.6153.1180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1413193%91.680.2+11.4
2 Avellino1410471%83.581.9+1.6
3 Venezia1510567%81.270.7+10.5
4 Varese149564%77.772.7+5.0
5 Cremona149564%88.283.8+4.4
6 Sassari158753%89.783.8+5.9
7 Brindisi158753%78.376.3+2.1
8 Trieste147750%85.883.6+2.1
9 Virtus Bologna147750%81.182.8-1.6
10 Brescia156940%78.079.7-1.7
11 Trento156940%76.381.0-4.7
12 Reggiana145936%79.681.6-1.9
13 Cantu1551033%82.989.2-6.3
14 Pesaro1551033%82.392.8-10.5
15 Pistoia1441029%78.388.3-10.0
16 Torino1541127%81.787.1-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2017261982
Pistoia1925181678
← all games of the day
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