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Avellino vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2019
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 83-87
17-19 14-20 27-26 25-22
Position#9
Record15-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#5
Record17-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.8
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Avellino v Brindisi
05 May 2019
AVE83
BRI87
15 Feb 2019
AVE92
BRI95
11 Mar 2018
AVE89
BRI71
27 Nov 2016
AVE76
BRI73
22 Nov 2015
AVE83
BRI81
29 Dec 2014
AVE77
BRI80
26 Dec 2013
AVE85
BRI83
25 Nov 2012
AVE81
BRI71
16 Jan 2011
AVE79
BRI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#2
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#6
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H10/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
91-59
91
59
+32
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A24/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A31/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
H09/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
84-105
84
105
-21
A14/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
109-82
109
82
+27
H20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-28
28-19
40-22
12-26
20-29
21-28
22-18
16-22
15-27
15-26
24-9
22-9
24-17
19-14
29-15
19-13
17-22
15-19
18-21
15-14
28-8
20-32
23-25
18-26
26-19
24-19
13-25
24-24
30-23
18-24
17-32
19-26
28-17
33-21
26-20
22-24
14-22
29-18
12-27
24-18
171.8Avg total
86.0Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.182.0164.1+0.154%
Season at home (14)85.478.0163.4+7.471%
Season away (14)78.986.0164.9-7.136%
Last 10 (10)86.085.8171.8+0.230%
Last 5 (5)91.492.0183.4-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.682.5155.1-9.920%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.684.8161.4-8.233%
vs Weaker (7)90.178.0168.1+12.186%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A17/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#8
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A04/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
H10/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
80-97 OT
80
97
-17
A17/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H24/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A31/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
77-61
77
61
+16
A14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A20/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
19-22
14-17
23-21
21-22
23-22
17-22
18-15
15-24
29-14
24-21
14-23
29-22
10-24
27-19
11-12
21-24
18-16
15-17
27-20
12-22
30-22
18-20
16-18
16-24
20-13
13-21
22-7
17-18
21-12
18-21
21-10
25-16
26-27
18-26
17-24
18-16
19-21
26-16
22-24
161.0Avg total
80.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.878.8160.6+3.061%
Season at home (14)81.376.4157.6+4.971%
Season away (14)82.481.2163.6+1.150%
Last 10 (10)80.580.5161.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)79.075.6154.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.277.5153.8-1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.579.6161.1+1.959%
vs Weaker (8)83.876.1159.9+7.675%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
AvellinoBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#6
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H10/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A24/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A31/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H09/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A14/04
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A28/04
Lega A
86.8Avg total
43.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.382.4-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.940.380.2-0.441%-
Last 30 away (13)40.344.985.2-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.286.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)50.040.690.6+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.941.579.4-3.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.744.282.9-5.633%-
vs Weaker (7)45.739.485.1+6.357%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A17/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/03
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H24/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A31/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A20/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H28/04
Lega A
81.1Avg total
40.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.180.7+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.637.376.9+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)43.540.684.1+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.481.1+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.279.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.275.5-1.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.640.682.2+1.153%-
vs Weaker (8)43.236.179.4+7.175%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.8
50.9%
51.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.7
36.6%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.812.0
75.9%
72.3%12.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.2
53.1%
51.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.0
35.7%
35.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.011.5
76.7%
72.3%11.5
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LWLLLLWWLL
Brindisi
WLWWLWLWLL
#9
League position
#5
-0.8
Net rating
+7.1
109.2
Offensive rating
107.0
110.0
Defensive rating
99.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.6%
3-point %
35.7%
65.8%
Assist %
60.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 107.0Defence110.0 · 99.9Shooting52.5% · 53.3%3-point %36.6% · 35.7%Ball care16.9% · 16.0%Off. rebounds29.2% · 25.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Avellino   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Avellino wins
5
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
15/02/19Avellino v Brindisi92-95
05/01/19Brindisi v Avellino68-70
11/03/18Avellino v Brindisi89-71
05/11/17Brindisi v Avellino92-88 OT
26/03/17Brindisi v Avellino94-74
27/11/16Avellino v Brindisi76-73
14/03/16Brindisi v Avellino82-89
22/11/15Avellino v Brindisi83-81 OT
27/04/15Brindisi v Avellino81-67
29/12/14Avellino v Brindisi77-80
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/19AOlimpia Milano79-85
20/04/19HTorino109-82
14/04/19ASassari84-105
09/04/19HTrieste96-97 OT
31/03/19APesaro89-91
24/03/19AVenezia65-76
17/03/19HReggiana91-59
10/03/19HVarese76-71
03/03/19ATrento79-97
15/02/19HBrindisi92-95
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/19HTrieste85-77
20/04/19ACremona86-93
14/04/19AVirtus Bologna77-61
07/04/19HVenezia71-65
31/03/19AReggiana76-82
24/03/19HVarese81-77
17/03/19ABrescia80-97 OT
10/03/19HTorino96-89 OT
04/03/19ACantu79-81
17/02/19ACremona74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL54%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%71%36%
Points / game82.185.478.9
Allowed / game82.078.086.0
Point differential+0.1+7.4-7.1
Avg total164.1163.4164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Brindisi
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW61%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%71%50%
Points / game81.881.382.4
Allowed / game78.876.481.2
Point differential+3.0+4.9+1.1
Avg total160.6157.6163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%21%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %11%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2821775%87.079.5+7.5
2 Venezia2819968%81.875.2+6.5
3 Cremona2819968%83.779.0+4.6
4 Brindisi28171161%81.878.8+3.0
5 Trieste28161257%88.683.9+4.8
6 Sassari28161257%86.481.8+4.6
7 Trento28161257%79.580.5-1.1
8 Varese28151354%79.176.1+3.0
9 Avellino28151354%82.182.0+0.1
10 Cantu28151354%84.286.0-1.8
11 Brescia29141548%80.681.3-0.7
12 Virtus Bologna29141548%79.480.6-1.2
13 Torino2882029%83.087.6-4.7
14 Reggiana2872125%77.983.5-5.6
15 Pesaro2872125%79.991.5-11.5
16 Pistoia2862221%75.483.0-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino1714272583
Brindisi1920262287
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