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Avellino vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 86-71
20-20 25-15 19-22 22-14
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game73.0
Avellino 🏆
Italy
vs
Cantu
Italy
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game87.2
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Avellino v Cantu
06 Oct 2018
AVE98
KAN81
28 Oct 2017
AVE86
KAN71
09 Apr 2017
AVE92
KAN86
06 Mar 2016
AVE81
KAN77
01 Feb 2015
AVE76
KAN79
23 Feb 2014
AVE59
KAN77
03 Mar 2013
AVE20
KAN0
04 Mar 2012
AVE63
KAN72
20 Nov 2010
AVE71
KAN75
24 Apr 2010
AVE76
KAN85
08 Feb 2009
AVE61
KAN65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A03/06
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H05/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-96
75
96
-21
A08/10
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A11/10
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H14/10
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A18/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A22/10
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H25/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
13-18
22-16
21-19
22-19
6-23
22-18
16-18
24-21
19-31
13-18
27-14
18-22
14-8
23-16
11-16
26-20
18-29
20-21
11-26
23-31
24-17
27-16
12-16
23-18
15-19
17-14
17-12
19-19
11-19
18-19
33-32
14-19
26-10
26-20
20-22
18-27
17-6
14-13
17-11
150.9Avg total
75.4Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.873.0147.8+1.875%
Season at home (2)69.062.5131.5+6.5100%
Season away (2)80.583.5164.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)75.475.5150.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)78.272.0150.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)79.179.9159.1-0.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)75.171.5146.6+3.667%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H02/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A09/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H15/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A23/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
H30/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A01/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H07/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
64-95
64
95
-31
A16/10
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H22/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
20-20
14-23
14-16
13-29
25-12
20-24
28-27
21-21
12-14
21-18
19-18
14-29
19-26
27-13
22-25
17-28
23-23
25-18
12-22
23-21
22-21
9-25
17-22
22-21
23-26
16-28
19-19
25-17
28-18
29-24
15-21
16-20
19-28
10-22
19-25
20-22
25-22
22-19
21-17
166.0Avg total
79.0Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.287.2169.5-5.050%
Season at home (2)92.580.0172.5+12.5100%
Season away (2)72.094.5166.5-22.50%
Last 10 (10)79.087.0166.0-8.030%
Last 5 (5)80.087.6167.6-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.884.7163.5-5.933%
vs Similar (15)77.882.8160.6-5.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
AvellinoCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A03/06
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H05/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A08/10
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A11/10
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H14/10
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A18/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A22/10
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H25/10
Champions League
76.5Avg total
36.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.675.4-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.437.474.8+0.053%-
Last 30 away (15)36.339.776.0-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.876.5-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.075.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)36.640.977.5-4.424%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.135.272.2+1.975%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H02/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A23/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H30/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A07/05
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A01/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H07/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A16/10
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H22/10
Lega A
85.5Avg total
41.1Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.881.3-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.141.681.7-1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)38.942.080.9-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.485.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.287.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.341.681.9-1.347%-
vs Similar (15)38.542.180.6-3.547%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.2
57.0%
51.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.3
37.9%
34.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.513.3
76.0%
73.0%13.3
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.6
50.6%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.013.9
77.2%
73.0%13.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WWLWWLWLLL
Cantu
WLWLLLLWLL
#4
League position
#9
-0.1
Net rating
-10.4
106.2
Offensive rating
104.8
106.4
Defensive rating
115.2
56.9%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
22.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.9%
3-point %
34.7%
60.4%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 104.8Defence106.4 · 115.2Shooting56.9% · 51.2%3-point %37.9% · 34.7%Ball care22.0% · 18.8%Off. rebounds25.9% · 28.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Avellino   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Avellino wins
7
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
09/04/17Avellino v Cantu92-86
12/12/16Cantu v Avellino75-74
06/03/16Avellino v Cantu81-77
15/11/15Cantu v Avellino84-82
01/02/15Avellino v Cantu76-79
19/10/14Cantu v Avellino74-65
23/02/14Avellino v Cantu59-77
10/11/13Cantu v Avellino74-67
03/03/13Avellino v Cantu20-0
04/11/12Cantu v Avellino79-67
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/17HOostende66-57
22/10/17APistoia86-71
18/10/17ANanterre81-89
14/10/17HTorino72-63
11/10/17ABesiktas86-80
08/10/17ABrescia75-96
02/10/17HReggiana66-62
05/06/17HVenezia83-84
03/06/17AVenezia66-78
01/06/17HVenezia73-75
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/17HTrento88-80
16/10/17AVarese64-95
07/10/17HCremona97-80
01/10/17ASassari80-94
07/05/17AOlimpia Milano71-89
30/04/17HTrento77-91
23/04/17ACremona82-93
15/04/17HPistoia73-71
09/04/17AAvellino86-92
02/04/17HVarese72-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game74.869.080.5
Allowed / game73.062.583.5
Point differential+1.8+6.5-3.0
Avg total147.8131.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.292.572.0
Allowed / game87.280.094.5
Point differential-5.0+12.5-22.5
Avg total169.5172.5166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano440100%77.867.0+10.8
2 Brescia440100%77.067.0+10.0
3 Venezia440100%82.073.8+8.2
4 Virtus Bologna43175%83.069.2+13.8
5 Torino43175%80.077.5+2.5
6 Avellino43175%74.873.0+1.8
7 Sassari42250%83.883.2+0.5
8 Pistoia42250%76.078.0-2.0
9 Cantu42250%82.287.2-5.0
10 Varese41325%74.272.8+1.5
11 Pesaro41325%81.584.2-2.8
12 Trento41325%73.076.8-3.8
13 Cremona41325%78.285.5-7.2
14 Capo d'Orlando41325%61.574.5-13.0
15 Reggiana4040%73.280.0-6.8
16 Brindisi4040%72.881.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2025192286
Cantu2015221471
← all games of the day
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